WH Group Ltd (WHGLY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 27, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of WH Group Ltd stock $45.12, price $15.04, upside +200.0%, quality 67 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Fair value above price?Yes
Good quality?Yes
Keep an eye on it?Free in your watchlist: 5 stocks without an account, 10 with oneYes, for free
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 28, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $7.22 – $26.44 · fair‑value band $31.44 – $56.80 · the $15.04 price screens below the $45.12 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 28, 2026.
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WH Group Limited, an investment holding company, produces and sells packaged meats, pork, and hogs in China, North America, and Europe. It operates through Packaged Meats, Pork, and Others segments.
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The company is involved in production, wholesale, and retail sale of low temperature and high temperature meat products; hog farming, slaughtering, and wholesale and retail sale of fresh and frozen pork; slaughtering, production, and sale of poultry; and sale of ancillary products and services, such as logistics and supply chain management services, flavoring ingredients and natural casings, condiments, biological pharmaceutical materials, and packaging materials.
It also engages in the operation of finance and property development companies, and a chain of retail food stores; and livestock breeding. The company was founded in 1958 and is headquartered in Kowloon, Hong Kong.
Stock analysis
WH Group Ltd (WHGLY) currently trades at $15.04, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $45.12, implying the stock looks roughly 66.7% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $54.11 per share, and 23 of the 25 models we run sit above the $15.04 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $7.60, and 2 of the 25 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $31.44 (bear) to $56.80 (bull), the price of $15.04 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
WH Group Ltd ADR reported revenue of $28.1B in FY2025 versus $27.3B in FY2021, a compound +0.7%/yr. Reported net income was $1.6B in FY2025, compounding +10.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $9.9B Mid · P/E ratio 6.2 · P/S ratio 0.35 · EPS (TTM) $2.41 · Dividend yield 9.5% · Net margin 5.4% · Return on equity 15.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −18% fair-value upside, at 200%, WHGLY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$31.44Fair Value $45.12Bull$56.80
Price $15.04 · Upside +200.0%
Capped: our models arrive at a very high value here. We deliberately show a more cautious Fair Value.
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then ($1.92 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
+8.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +2.9% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.9%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+19.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+10.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)9.5%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.10.2% vs 7.2%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.4% → 9%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−18.6%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+2.2%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −20.5% a year for the price and −0.2% for the forecasts.
AI conclusion: Scale in pork processing combined with a shift to packaged meats supports steadier margins, yet commoditized output and ongoing cyclical exposure in fresh pork limit overall durability.
Main risk: Margin compression in fresh pork processing amid cautious consumer spending would directly reduce earnings predictability and regional cash generation.
WH Group has cut its hog production by more than a third since 2019, shifting earnings toward packaged meats with steadier margins and less commodity volatility. This change underpins the recent credit rating upgrades and more predictable cash generation across regions. Yet fresh pork processing still contends with margin compression in a cautious consumer environment. Will the packaged meats business deliver enough stability to outweigh the lingering cyclical exposure?
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 628 stocks
Beats the industry median on 12/15 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score67 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+200.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)15.4% · Top 25%
Return on assets7.2% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)5.4% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)8.9% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)3.3% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months)9.5% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.18× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "WH Group Ltd ADR Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/WHGLY
Frequently asked questions
Is WH Group Ltd (WHGLY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 28, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $45.12 versus a price of $15.04, about +200% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of WHGLY?
Our model-based fair value for WH Group Ltd ADR is $45.12 (as of Oct 28, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $15.04.
What is the quality score of WHGLY?
WH Group Ltd ADR has a Quality Score of 67/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for WH Group Ltd (WHGLY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $45.12 (as of Oct 28, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario $31.44, optimistic scenario $56.80. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the WH Group Ltd ADR stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $45.12, about +200% upside versus a price of $15.04 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $31.44, optimistic scenario $56.80. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of WH Group Ltd (WHGLY)?
WH Group Ltd ADR reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $28.5B (latest available figure, as of Oct 28, 2026).
Does WH Group Ltd ADR pay a dividend?
WH Group Ltd ADR currently shows a dividend yield of 9.47% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 28, 2026).
What growth is priced into WH Group Ltd (WHGLY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, WH Group Ltd ADR would have to grow free cash flow by -18.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +1.9 % per year. As of Oct 28, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of WHGLY use?
Our models discount WH Group Ltd ADR at 8.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.20, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For WH Group Ltd ADR that is -18.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has WH Group Ltd (WHGLY) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at WH Group Ltd ADR grew +1.9 % a year. The price currently implies -18.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of WH Group Ltd (WHGLY) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into WH Group Ltd ADR (-18.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of WH Group Ltd (WHGLY)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 19.85 %: that much free cash flow WH Group Ltd ADR produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of WH Group Ltd (WHGLY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For WH Group Ltd ADR it is $45.12 per share (as of Oct 28, 2026), against a price of $15.04. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is WH Group Ltd ADR stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 28, 2026, WHGLY trades below its calculated fair value: price $15.04, fair value $45.12, a gap of about +200% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of WHGLY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($15.04); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($45.12). For WH Group Ltd ADR the two are $30.08 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is WH Group Ltd ADR worth?
The market values WH Group Ltd ADR at about $9.9B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 28, 2026). Per share that is $15.04; our models calculate a fair value of $45.12 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about WHGLY?
Our models span a range for WH Group Ltd ADR: cautious scenario $31.44, base $45.12, optimistic $56.80 per share (as of Oct 28, 2026, price $15.04). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of WHGLY?
WH Group Ltd ADR trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 6.2 (as of Oct 28, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $45.12 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 20.5, P/B 0.9, P/S 0.3, EV/EBITDA 2.8.
What is the PEG ratio of WHGLY?
The PEG ratio of WH Group Ltd ADR is 20.46 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Oct 28, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of WH Group Ltd (WHGLY)?
Balance-sheet figures for WH Group Ltd ADR (as of Oct 28, 2026): return on equity 15.4%, debt of 0.18 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 67/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is WHGLY from its 52-week high?
WH Group Ltd ADR trades at $15.04, about 43% below its 52-week high of $26.44 and at the low of $15.04 (as of Oct 27, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $45.12 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to WH Group Ltd ADR?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, The Kraft Heinz Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is WH Group Ltd ADR stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 28, 2026: price $15.04, calculated fair value $45.12 (+200%), Quality Score 67/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of WHGLY calculated?
We run WH Group Ltd ADR through 25 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $45.12, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. WH Group Ltd ADR currently trades 67 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of WH Group Ltd (WHGLY)?
The closing price on Oct 27, 2026 was $15.04. Our model-based fair value is $45.12, about +200% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with WH Group Ltd ADR right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($31.44). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (67/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range ($31.44 to $56.80) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of WH Group Ltd (WHGLY) come from?
Earnings per share at WH Group Ltd ADR grew +5.2 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +3.1 %, EBIT margin −3.1 %, tax rate +0.9 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +4.2 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of WH Group Ltd ADR
How large is the market capitalisation of WH Group Ltd (WHGLY)?
The market capitalisation of WH Group Ltd ADR is $9.9B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of WH Group Ltd (WHGLY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of WH Group Ltd ADR is 0.35 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of WH Group Ltd (WHGLY)?
Earnings per share at WH Group Ltd ADR are $2.41 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 6.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of WH Group Ltd (WHGLY)?
The dividend yield of WH Group Ltd ADR is 9.5% (payout 59.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of WH Group Ltd (WHGLY)?
The net margin of WH Group Ltd ADR is 5.4% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of WH Group Ltd (WHGLY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of WH Group Ltd ADR is 15.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of WH Group Ltd (WHGLY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of WH Group Ltd ADR is 8.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of WH Group Ltd (WHGLY)?
The operating margin of WH Group Ltd ADR is 8.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at WH Group Ltd (WHGLY)?
Revenue at WH Group Ltd ADR is growing +3.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg 0.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at WH Group Ltd (WHGLY)?
Earnings per share at WH Group Ltd ADR are growing −2.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does WH Group Ltd (WHGLY) carry?
The net debt of WH Group Ltd ADR is $1.6B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.9 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Oct 28, 2026