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Contango Global Growth Limited (WQG) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · AU · Market cap A$523M

CG Contango Global Growth Limited WQG · AU
PriceA$2.04
Fair ValueA$1.76
Upside-13.8%
Quality51/100
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Mixed Growth
Highly profitable · 61.2% net margin
negative free cash flow
4.39% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (8/12)
Wide moat 73/100
Evidence: Medium Range A$1.32 – A$2.19 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 27, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 15 days ago

A solid business, but screening 14% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

A$2.08 A$0.8788 Fair Value A$1.76 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.8788 – A$2.08 · fair‑value band A$1.32 – A$2.19 · the A$2.04 price screens above the A$1.76 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

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Analysis

Contango Global Growth Limited (WQG) currently trades at A$2.04, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$1.76, implying the stock looks roughly 13.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Contango Global Growth Limited generated revenue of A$74.0M at a net margin of 61.2%. Revenue declined 48.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of A$17.9M. Fundamentals as of Jul 27, 2026

Our scenario range runs from A$1.32 (bear case) to A$2.19 (bull case); at A$2.04, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 28% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -12% fair-value upside, at -14%, WQG screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income A$1.46 A$1.91 A$5.08 76
P/E Multiple A$2.46 A$3.27 A$4.09 63
P/B Multiple A$1.55 A$2.07 A$2.58 55
All 6 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd A$1.71 A$11.94 A$16.76 54
Lynch FV A$6.17 A$8.81 A$11.46 50
Multiples
P/E Multiple A$2.46 A$3.27 A$4.09 63
P/B Multiple A$1.55 A$2.07 A$2.58 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.7400 A$0.9900 A$1.48 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income A$1.46 A$1.91 A$5.08 76

Widest divergence: Earnings-Based (A$8.81) versus Asset-Based (A$0.9900). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) A$74.0M
Revenue growth (YoY) -48.1%
Net margin 61.2%
Return on equity 11.1%
Free cash flow −A$54.7M FY2025
P/E ratio 10.0
More key figures
Operating margin 90.4%
EPS (TTM) A$0.1900
Dividend yield 4.4%
EPS growth (YoY) -59.6%
Net cash A$17.9M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100

Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 68

Profitability 60
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 57
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 78
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 89
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 53
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 69
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 20
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Contango Global Growth Limited is an equity mutual fund launched by Contango International Management Pty Ltd. The fund is managed by WCM Investment Management. It invests in public equity markets of emerging countries across the globe. The fund seeks to invest in stocks of companies operating across diversified sectors.

Full company description

Contango Global Growth Limited is an equity mutual fund launched by Contango International Management Pty Ltd. The fund is managed by WCM Investment Management. It invests in public equity markets of emerging countries across the globe. The fund seeks to invest in stocks of companies operating across diversified sectors. It employs fundamental analysis with bottom-up stock picking approach to create its portfolio. The fund seeks to benchmark the performance of its portfolio against the MSCI All Country World Index ex-Australia. Contango Global Growth Limited was formed on June 23, 2017 and is domiciled in Australia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Contango Global Growth Limited reported revenue of A$108M in FY2025 versus A$73.4M in FY2021, a compound +10.1%/yr. Reported net income was A$69.5M in FY2025, compounding +9.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 52/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
A$108M
Latest YoY
+54.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+20.9%
Avg. growth/yr (7Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+29.3%
Revenue +10.1%/yr
FY21 A$73.4M
FY22 −A$63.5M
FY23 A$57.5M
FY24 A$69.8M
FY25 A$108M
Net income +9.5%/yr
FY21 A$48.4M
FY22 −A$48.1M
FY23 A$37.2M
FY24 A$45.3M
FY25 A$69.5M

WQG screens 14% overvalued. Compare with Fondul Proprietatea SA →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Contango Global Growth Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/WQG

Peer Group

Asset Management · 970 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 50 · Below median
Fair Value upside −14% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 11% · Above median
Return on assets 9% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 61% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 90% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -48% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.4% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 10.0× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.91× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 4.99× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 3.6× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 15 · sector 37
FUTURE 0 · sector 6
PAST 44 · sector 26
HEALTH 0 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 88 · sector 70

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 27, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Fondul Proprietatea SA FP $0.0420 $0.0800 +90%
BlackRock, Inc BLK $1,136 $465.75 -59%
Blackstone Inc BX $124.56 $16.35 -87%
Investor AB INVEB kr 423.70 kr 847.40 +100%
Brookfield Corporation BN C$62.45 C$10.12 -84%
KKR & Co KKR $100.94 $44.88 -56%
AB Industrivärden INDUA kr 532.50 kr 1,065 +100%
Jio Financial Services Limited JIOFIN ₹242.98 ₹40.19 -83%
Hedef Holding HEDEF 267.25 TRY 320.98 TRY +20%
Bajaj Holdings BAJAJHLDNG ₹10,398 ₹9,202 -12%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Contango Global Growth Limited (WQG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$1.76 versus a price of A$2.04, about −14% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of WQG?
Our model-based fair value for Contango Global Growth Limited is A$1.76 (as of Jul 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is A$2.04.
What is the quality score of WQG?
Contango Global Growth Limited has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Contango Global Growth Limited (WQG)?
Contango Global Growth Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$74.0M (latest available figure, as of Jul 27, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of WQG?
The net profit margin of Contango Global Growth Limited is about 61.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 61.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Contango Global Growth Limited pay a dividend?
Contango Global Growth Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.39% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 27, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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