Select Energy Services Inc (WTTR) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Select Energy Services Inc $2.39, price $19.29, upside -87.6%, quality 41 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Structural break:
The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.
Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.
!Fair value $2.39 · Strongly overvalued (−88%)
!Quality 41/100
!Expensive Growth(revenue 5y +18.4 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 1.5% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
·1.09% dividend yield
!Trails peers(1/13)
!Narrow moat22/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $4.51 – $22.26 · fair‑value band $1.79 – $3.03 · the $19.29 price screens above the $2.39 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Select Water Solutions, Inc. provides water management solutions to the energy industry in the United States. It operates in three segments: Water Infrastructure, Water Services, and Chemical Technologies.
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Select Water Solutions, Inc. provides water management solutions to the energy industry in the United States. It operates in three segments: Water Infrastructure, Water Services, and Chemical Technologies. Its Water Infrastructure segment engages in the recycling, gathering, transferring, and disposal of water through a network of permanent pipeline infrastructure, water recycling and treatment facilities, water storage facilities, and SWDs and landfills; fluid disposals; pipelines and logistics; and solid management services. The Water Services segment offers water-related services, including water sourcing, water transfer, flowback and well testing, water containment, fluids hauling, water monitoring, and water network automation; AquaView automation services; technology solutions comprising hydrographic mapping, water volume and quality monitoring, remote pit and tank monitoring, leak detection, asset and fuel tracking, and automated-equipment services; and various surface rental equipment and workforce accommodation services. The Chemical Technologies segment offers technical solutions, products, and services related to chemical applications in the oil and gas industry; and water treatment and flow assurance solutions. This segment also develops, manufactures, manages logistics, and provides chemicals, including polymers for use in hydraulic fracturing, stimulation, cementing, and well completions; and offers production chemical solutions for underperforming wells, corrosion and scale monitoring, chemical inventory management, well failure analysis, and lab services. It serves oil and gas producers. The company was formerly known as Select Energy Services, Inc. and changed its name to Select Water Solutions, Inc. in May 2023. Select Water Solutions, Inc. was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in Gainesville, Texas.
Stock analysis
Select Energy Services Inc (WTTR) currently trades at $19.29, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.39, implying the stock looks roughly 707.1% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of $4.34 per share, and 0 of the 16 models we run sit above the $19.29 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at $0.5800, and 16 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $1.79 (bear) to $3.03 (bull), the price of $19.29 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Select Energy Services Inc reported revenue of $1.4B in FY2025 versus $765M in FY2021, a compound +16.5%/yr. Reported net income was $21.2M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $2.6B · P/E ratio 89.5 · P/S ratio 1.35 · EPS (TTM) $0.2100 · Dividend yield 1.1% · Net margin 1.5% · Return on equity 2.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 27 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 107% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at −88%, WTTR screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely ($0.5800 to $8.25). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear $1.79Fair Value $2.39Bull $3.03
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.46/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−3.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +10.1% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted.
+9.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+8.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.1%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−65% → 3%
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (96 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas Equipment & Services · 190 stocks
Beats the industry median on 1/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score41 · Below median
Fair Value upside−88% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)2% · Below median
Return on assets2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)7% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)1.1% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.35× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas Equipment & Services median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)89.5× · Priciest 25%
P/B3.28× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)1.89× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA12.6× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 20
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 4
PAST (return on equity)8· sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)82· sector 91
DIVIDEND (yield)22· sector 34
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Select Energy Services Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/WTTR
Frequently asked questions
Is Select Energy Services Inc (WTTR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.39 versus a price of $19.29, about −88% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of WTTR?
Our model-based fair value for Select Energy Services Inc is $2.39 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $19.29.
What is the quality score of WTTR?
Select Energy Services Inc has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Select Energy Services Inc (WTTR)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $2.39 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.79, optimistic scenario $3.03. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Select Energy Services Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $2.39, about −88% upside versus a price of $19.29 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $1.79, optimistic scenario $3.03. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Select Energy Services Inc (WTTR)?
Select Energy Services Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.4B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Select Energy Services Inc pay a dividend?
Select Energy Services Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.09% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Select Energy Services Inc (WTTR)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Select Energy Services Inc it is $2.39 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $19.29. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Select Energy Services Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, WTTR trades above its calculated fair value: price $19.29, fair value $2.39, a gap of about −88% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of WTTR?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($19.29); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($2.39). For Select Energy Services Inc the two are $16.90 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Select Energy Services Inc worth?
The market values Select Energy Services Inc at about $2.6B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $19.29; our models calculate a fair value of $2.39 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about WTTR?
Our models span a range for Select Energy Services Inc: cautious scenario $1.79, base $2.39, optimistic $3.03 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $19.29). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of WTTR?
Select Energy Services Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 89.5 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $2.39 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 3.3, P/S 1.9, EV/EBITDA 12.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Select Energy Services Inc (WTTR)?
Balance-sheet figures for Select Energy Services Inc (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 2.1%, debt of 0.35 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 41/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is WTTR from its 52-week high?
Select Energy Services Inc trades at $19.29, about 13% below its 52-week high of $22.26 and 107% above the low of $9.31 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $2.39 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Select Energy Services Inc?
From the same area (Energy) we also value SLB N.V, Baker Hughes Company, TechnipFMC plc, Halliburton Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Select Energy Services Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $19.29, calculated fair value $2.39 (−88%), Quality Score 41/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of WTTR calculated?
We run Select Energy Services Inc through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $2.39, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Select Energy Services Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Select Energy Services Inc (WTTR)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $19.29. Our model-based fair value is $2.39, about −88% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Select Energy Services Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($3.03). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Select Energy Services Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Select Energy Services Inc (WTTR)?
The market capitalisation of Select Energy Services Inc is $2.6B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Select Energy Services Inc (WTTR)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Select Energy Services Inc is 1.35 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Select Energy Services Inc (WTTR)?
Earnings per share at Select Energy Services Inc are $0.2100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 89.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Select Energy Services Inc (WTTR)?
The dividend yield of Select Energy Services Inc is 1.1% (payout 100%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Select Energy Services Inc (WTTR)?
The net margin of Select Energy Services Inc is 1.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Select Energy Services Inc (WTTR)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Select Energy Services Inc is 2.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Select Energy Services Inc (WTTR)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Select Energy Services Inc is 1.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Select Energy Services Inc (WTTR)?
The operating margin of Select Energy Services Inc is 6.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Select Energy Services Inc (WTTR)?
Revenue at Select Energy Services Inc is growing −2.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Select Energy Services Inc (WTTR)?
Earnings per share at Select Energy Services Inc are growing −4.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Select Energy Services Inc (WTTR) generate?
The free cash flow of Select Energy Services Inc is −$79.9M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Select Energy Services Inc (WTTR) carry?
The net debt of Select Energy Services Inc is $356M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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