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Xamble Group Ltd (XGL) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 11, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Xamble Group Ltd stock A$0.01, price A$0.01, that is 28.3% below the price, quality 34 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. The value is an estimate: none of our valuation models currently carries, it draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies. Updated daily.

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Communication Services AU · Based in Malaysia · ISIN AU000000NCL9

XG Xamble Group Ltd logo Thin data Nov 10, 2026

Xamble Group Ltd

XGL · AU
Expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 28% below what the stock costs today.

Revenue last quarter +16% vs. a year ago.
Negative equity (buybacks among others)
Fair value A$0.0050 · Overvalued
Quality 34/100
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −3.4 %/yr in AUD)
Loss-making · -20.2% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/8)
Narrow moat 10/100 · thin data
Thin data
Estimate⚠ Thinly traded
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26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

A$0.1600 A$0.0050 Fair Value A$0.0050 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0050 – A$0.1600 · fair‑value band A$0.0050 – A$0.0051 · the A$0.0070 price screens above the A$0.0050 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 10, 2026.

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Company profile

Xamble Group Limited engages in the digital media business in Malaysia and Taiwan. The company engages social media influencers to promote their products and services.

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It also provides social media strategy and campaign management services for advertisers, as well as the involved manufacturing and construction of advertising devices across various media. In addition, the company provides automated livestream shopping experience to merchants and their customers.

It operates under the nuffnang, Xamble CREATORS, Sashimi, Xamble LIVE, platapunta, and Xamble SOCIAL WALLET brands. The company was formerly known as Netccentric Limited and changed its name to Xamble Group Limited in June 2023.

Xamble Group Limited was incorporated in 2006 and is based in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia.

Stock analysis

Xamble Group Ltd (XGL) currently trades at A$0.0070, while our estimate is A$0.0050, 28% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Scenario range: A$0.0050 (bear) to A$0.0051 (bull), the price of A$0.0070 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Xamble Group Ltd reported revenue of A$6.8M in FY2025 versus A$11.3M in FY2021, a compound −12.0%/yr. Reported net income was −A$2.4M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap A$3.6M (≈ $2.5M) Micro · P/S ratio 0.35 · Dividend yield 4.5% · Net margin −35.8% · Return on equity −193% · Return on assets (EBIT) −44.4% (5-year average) · Operating margin −30.5% · Revenue (TTM) A$7.3M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 10 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 59% below its 52-week high and 40% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 12% fair-value upside, at −28%, XGL screens richer than that median.

Fair Value

Bear A$0.0050 Fair Value A$0.0050 Bull A$0.0051
Price A$0.0070 · Downside -28.3%
Estimate. None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 34/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 50
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 28
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 13
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 29
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 98
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 50
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 7
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 8
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−26.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−12.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −6.3% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.8%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−1.2% (2020) → −48.3% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

XGL screens overvalued: fair value 28% below the price. Compare with AppLovin Corporation →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Advertising Agencies · 191 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 34 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −28.3% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets −66.2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −20.2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −30.5% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 15.6% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months) 4.5% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.

Valuation Multiplesvs Advertising Agencies median · lower = cheaper

P/B Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
P/S (12 months) 0.49× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 33
FUTURE (revenue growth)78 · sector 19
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 7
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)90 · sector 55

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Advertising Agencies stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
The Trade Desk, Inc TTD $15.42 $46.26 +200% vs XGL
Publicis Groupe S.A PUB €103.95 €145.63 +40% vs XGL
Omnicom Group OMC $88.84 $113.06 +27% vs XGL
AppLovin Corporation APP $395.51 $451.00 +14% vs XGL
Magnite, Inc MGNI $28.52 $31.94 +12% vs XGL
Focus Media Information Technology Co 002027 ¥5.64 ¥6.11 +8% vs XGL
JCDecaux SE DEC €27.56 €20.99 −24% vs XGL
Easy Click Worldwide Network Technology Co 301171 ¥34.63 ¥11.05 −68% vs XGL
Leo Group 002131 ¥4.32 ¥1.06 −75% vs XGL
Stagwell Inc STGW $11.28 $2.62 −77% vs XGL

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Xamble Group Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Xamble Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/XGL

Frequently asked questions

Is Xamble Group Ltd (XGL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our estimate of fair value is A$0.0050 versus a price of A$0.0070, about 28% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of XGL?
Our estimate for Xamble Group Ltd is A$0.0050 (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0070.
What is the quality score of XGL?
Xamble Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 34/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Xamble Group Ltd (XGL)?
Our calculated price target is the estimate of A$0.0050 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Cautious scenario A$0.0050, optimistic scenario A$0.0051. It is an estimate from revenue and assets compared with similar companies, because none of our valuation models currently carries, not an analyst target.
What is the Xamble Group Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our estimate puts fair value at A$0.0050, about 28% lower versus a price of A$0.0070 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0050, optimistic scenario A$0.0051. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Xamble Group Ltd (XGL)?
Xamble Group Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$7.3M (latest available figure, as of Nov 10, 2026).
Does Xamble Group Ltd pay a dividend?
Xamble Group Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 4.49% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 10, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Xamble Group Ltd (XGL)?
Xamble Group Ltd has a dividend yield of 4.5%.
What is the intrinsic value of Xamble Group Ltd (XGL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Xamble Group Ltd it is A$0.0050 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of A$0.0070.
Is Xamble Group Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, XGL trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.0070, fair value A$0.0050, a gap of about −28% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of XGL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0070); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0050). For Xamble Group Ltd the two are A$0.0020 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Xamble Group Ltd worth?
The market values Xamble Group Ltd at about A$3.6M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0070; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0050 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about XGL?
Our models span a range for Xamble Group Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0050, base A$0.0050, optimistic A$0.0051 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price A$0.0070). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Xamble Group Ltd (XGL)?
Balance-sheet figures for Xamble Group Ltd (as of Nov 10, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 34/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is XGL from its 52-week high?
Xamble Group Ltd trades at A$0.0070, about 59% below its 52-week high of A$0.0170 and 40% above the low of A$0.0050 (as of Nov 11, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0050 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Xamble Group Ltd?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value AppLovin Corporation, Publicis Groupe S.A, Omnicom Group, Focus Media Information Technology Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Xamble Group Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price A$0.0070, calculated fair value A$0.0050 (−28%), Quality Score 34/100. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.1% above its aggregate fair value. Xamble Group Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Xamble Group Ltd (XGL)?
The closing price on Nov 11, 2026 was A$0.0070. Our estimate is A$0.0050, about 28% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Xamble Group Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0051). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (34/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The models converge in a tight band (A$0.0050 to A$0.0051), unusually little disagreement for a valuation. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Xamble Group Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Xamble Group Ltd (XGL)?
The market capitalisation of Xamble Group Ltd is A$3.6M (≈ $2.5M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Xamble Group Ltd (XGL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Xamble Group Ltd is 0.35 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of Xamble Group Ltd (XGL)?
The dividend yield of Xamble Group Ltd is 4.5%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Xamble Group Ltd (XGL)?
The net margin of Xamble Group Ltd is −35.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Xamble Group Ltd (XGL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Xamble Group Ltd is −193% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Xamble Group Ltd (XGL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Xamble Group Ltd is −44.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Xamble Group Ltd (XGL)?
The operating margin of Xamble Group Ltd is −30.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Xamble Group Ltd (XGL)?
Revenue at Xamble Group Ltd is growing +15.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −12.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Xamble Group Ltd (XGL)?
Earnings per share at Xamble Group Ltd are growing +449% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Xamble Group Ltd (XGL) generate?
The free cash flow of Xamble Group Ltd is −A$2.9M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Xamble Group Ltd (XGL) hold?
Xamble Group Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$771K net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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