Expion360 Inc (XPON) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $3.3M
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 23, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated yesterday
Fair value updated Aug 23, 2026, revised from $0.4800 to $5.78 (+1,104.2%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price −3.8% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 68% undervalued on our models.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($3.81). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid quality (52/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range ($3.81 to $7.22) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (4 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
53‑month range $3.27 – $9,516 · fair‑value band $3.81 – $7.22 · the $3.44 price screens below the $5.78 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 23, 2026.
Analysis
Expion360 Inc (XPON) currently trades at $3.44, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $5.78, implying the stock looks roughly 68.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Expion360 Inc generated revenue of $9.2M at a net margin of -74.7%. Revenue declined 23.6% year over year. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $2.1M. Fundamentals as of Aug 23, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $3.81 (bear case) to $7.22 (bull case); at $3.44, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at 68%, XPON screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 15
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Expion360 Inc. designs, assembles, manufactures, and sells lithium iron phosphate (LiFePO4) batteries and supporting accessories in North America. The company offers 12V batteries, including Group 24, Group 27, GC2, and EX1 custom; and 48V batteries, such as GC2.
Full company description
Expion360 Inc. designs, assembles, manufactures, and sells lithium iron phosphate (LiFePO4) batteries and supporting accessories in North America. The company offers 12V batteries, including Group 24, Group 27, GC2, and EX1 custom; and 48V batteries, such as GC2. It also provides accessories comprising battery monitors, DC-DC battery chargers, solar charge controller battery chargers, CANBus communication cables, 120W portable solar panels, industrial battery mounting kits, terminal blocks, bus bars, AURA Powercap 600W inverters, and e360 SmartTalk mobile app. In addition, the company offers e360 Home Energy Storage solutions, a wall mounted all-in-one inverter comprising 10kWh battery and an expandable server rack style battery cabinet system. It sells its products for recreational vehicles, marine, golf, home energy storage, industrial, residential, and off-the-grid applications. The company serves dealers, wholesalers, private label customers, and original equipment manufacturers. The company has a strategic partnership with Dealer Accessory Supply for the development of DASGen Hybrid Energy Storage System, an energy storage solution intended for use on construction and industrial job sites. Expion360 Inc. was formerly known as Yozamp Products Company, LLC and changed its name to Expion360 Inc. in November 2021. The company was founded in 2016 and is headquartered in Redmond, Oregon.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Expion360 Inc reported revenue of $9.7M in FY2025 versus $4.5M in FY2021, a compound +20.9%/yr. Reported net income was −$6.2M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Electrical Equipment & Parts · 550 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Electrical Equipment & Parts median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Electrical Equipment & Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 23, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Contemporary Amperex Technology Co 3750 | HK$652.50 | HK$394.19 | -40% |
| ABB Ltd ABBN | CHF 80.38 | CHF 28.31 | -65% |
| Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company TDED | 10.40 SGD | 1.47 SGD | -86% |
| Vertiv Holdings VRT | $288.36 | $63.13 | -78% |
| LG Energy Solution, Ltd 373220 | 365,500 KRW | 201,455 KRW | -45% |
| Prysmian S.p.A PRY | €131.40 | €84.15 | -36% |
| Legrand SA LR | €134.65 | €78.82 | -41% |
| Sungrow Power Supply Co 300274 | ¥117.53 | ¥123.83 | +5% |
| Hubbell Incorporated HUBB | $512.90 | $285.77 | -44% |
| Shenzhen Inovance Technology Co 300124 | ¥61.07 | ¥33.04 | -46% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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