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Expion360 Inc (XPON) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $3.3M

EI Expion360 Inc logo Expion360 Inc XPON · US
Price$3.44
Fair Value$5.78
Upside+68.3%
Quality52/100
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Strengths

Trades 41% below our fair value of $5.78

Risks

!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +43.8 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -82.3% net margin
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (4/10)
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +43.8 %/yr)
Loss-making · -82.3% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (4/10)
Narrow moat 9/100
Evidence: Low Range $3.81 – $7.22 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 23, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated yesterday

Fair value updated Aug 23, 2026, revised from $0.4800 to $5.78 (+1,104.2%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price −3.8% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 68% undervalued on our models.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($3.81). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid quality (52/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range ($3.81 to $7.22) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (4 years)

$9,516 $3.27 Fair Value $5.78 Apr 2022 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

53‑month range $3.27 – $9,516 · fair‑value band $3.81 – $7.22 · the $3.44 price screens below the $5.78 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 23, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Expion360 Inc (XPON) currently trades at $3.44, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $5.78, implying the stock looks roughly 68.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Expion360 Inc generated revenue of $9.2M at a net margin of -74.7%. Revenue declined 23.6% year over year. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $2.1M. Fundamentals as of Aug 23, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $3.81 (bear case) to $7.22 (bull case); at $3.44, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at 68%, XPON screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $3.43 $4.59 $6.86 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $3.43 $4.59 $6.86 50

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 0.58 TTM
Net margin -74.7% TTM
Return on equity -148% TTM
Return on assets -84.4% TTM
Operating margin -113% TTM
EPS (TTM) $-0.9300
More key figures
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $9.2M TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) -23.6% 3y avg +10.5%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −$6.1M FY2025
Net cash $2.1M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 52/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 15

Profitability 24
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 80
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 11
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 75
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 49
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 0
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 2
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 50
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Expion360 Inc. designs, assembles, manufactures, and sells lithium iron phosphate (LiFePO4) batteries and supporting accessories in North America. The company offers 12V batteries, including Group 24, Group 27, GC2, and EX1 custom; and 48V batteries, such as GC2.

Full company description

Expion360 Inc. designs, assembles, manufactures, and sells lithium iron phosphate (LiFePO4) batteries and supporting accessories in North America. The company offers 12V batteries, including Group 24, Group 27, GC2, and EX1 custom; and 48V batteries, such as GC2. It also provides accessories comprising battery monitors, DC-DC battery chargers, solar charge controller battery chargers, CANBus communication cables, 120W portable solar panels, industrial battery mounting kits, terminal blocks, bus bars, AURA Powercap 600W inverters, and e360 SmartTalk mobile app. In addition, the company offers e360 Home Energy Storage solutions, a wall mounted all-in-one inverter comprising 10kWh battery and an expandable server rack style battery cabinet system. It sells its products for recreational vehicles, marine, golf, home energy storage, industrial, residential, and off-the-grid applications. The company serves dealers, wholesalers, private label customers, and original equipment manufacturers. The company has a strategic partnership with Dealer Accessory Supply for the development of DASGen Hybrid Energy Storage System, an energy storage solution intended for use on construction and industrial job sites. Expion360 Inc. was formerly known as Yozamp Products Company, LLC and changed its name to Expion360 Inc. in November 2021. The company was founded in 2016 and is headquartered in Redmond, Oregon.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Expion360 Inc reported revenue of $9.7M in FY2025 versus $4.5M in FY2021, a compound +20.9%/yr. Reported net income was −$6.2M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$9.7M
Latest YoY
+71.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+43.8%
Avg. growth/yr (6Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+37.8%
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue +20.9%/yr
FY21 $4.5M
FY22 $7.2M
FY23 $6.0M
FY24 $5.6M
FY25 $9.7M
Net income
FY21 −$4.7M
FY22 −$7.5M
FY23 −$7.5M
FY24 −$13.5M
FY25 −$6.2M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Expion360 Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/XPON

Peer Group

Electrical Equipment & Parts · 550 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 51 · Below median
Fair Value upside +68% · Top 25%
Return on assets -96% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -82% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -64% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -32% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.03× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Electrical Equipment & Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.50× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.40× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE100 · sector 0
FUTURE0 · sector 57
PAST0 · sector 26
HEALTH99 · sector 97
DIVIDEND0 · sector 23

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Electrical Equipment & Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 23, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Contemporary Amperex Technology Co 3750 HK$652.50 HK$394.19 -40%
ABB Ltd ABBN CHF 80.38 CHF 28.31 -65%
Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company TDED 10.40 SGD 1.47 SGD -86%
Vertiv Holdings VRT $288.36 $63.13 -78%
LG Energy Solution, Ltd 373220 365,500 KRW 201,455 KRW -45%
Prysmian S.p.A PRY €131.40 €84.15 -36%
Legrand SA LR €134.65 €78.82 -41%
Sungrow Power Supply Co 300274 ¥117.53 ¥123.83 +5%
Hubbell Incorporated HUBB $512.90 $285.77 -44%
Shenzhen Inovance Technology Co 300124 ¥61.07 ¥33.04 -46%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Expion360 Inc (XPON) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $5.78 versus a price of $3.44, about +68% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of XPON?
Our model-based fair value for Expion360 Inc is $5.78 (as of Aug 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $3.44.
What is the quality score of XPON?
Expion360 Inc has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Expion360 Inc (XPON)?
Expion360 Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $9.2M (latest available figure, as of Aug 23, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of XPON?
The net profit margin of Expion360 Inc is about -74.7%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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