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Zevra Therapeutics Inc. (ZVRA) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Zevra Therapeutics Inc. $15.25, price $11.32, upside +34.7%, quality 52 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Healthcare · US · ISIN US4884452065

ZT Zevra Therapeutics Inc. logo Some data Sep 23, 2026

Zevra Therapeutics Inc.

ZVRA · US

UndervaluedThe stock appears undervalued with acceptable quality.

✓Fair value $15.25 · Undervalued (+35%)
!Quality 52/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +51.6 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 101.6% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers (8/13)
✓Wide moat 73/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!The models disagree: range $9.36 to $54.45
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$14.75 $4.02 Fair Value $15.25 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $4.02 – $14.75 · fair‑value band $9.36 – $54.45 · the $11.32 price screens below the $15.25 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Zevra Therapeutics, Inc., a commercial-stage company, focuses on addressing unmet needs for the treatment of rare diseases in the United States. The company develops its products through Ligand Activated Technology platform.

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Zevra Therapeutics, Inc., a commercial-stage company, focuses on addressing unmet needs for the treatment of rare diseases in the United States. The company develops its products through Ligand Activated Technology platform. Its lead product candidate is KP1077, consisting of KP1077IH, which is under Phase 3 clinical trial for the treatment of idiopathic hypersomnia, and KP1077N, which is under Phase 3 clinical trial to treat narcolepsy. The company is developing Celiprolol, an investigational product candidate that is under Phase 3 clinical trial for the treatment of vascular Ehlers Danlos syndrome. In addition, it offers AZSTARYS, a once-daily treatment for attention deficit and hyperactivity disorder in patients aged six years and older; OLPRUVA to treat urea cycle disorders; and MIPLYFFA for the treatment of niemann-pick disease type C, an ultra-rare neurodegenerative disease. The company has collaboration and license agreement with Commave Therapeutics SA to develop, manufacture and commercialize the company's product candidates containing SDX and d-methylphenidate; and license agreement with Acer and Relief Therapeutics, Inc. to develop and commercialize rights for OLPRUVA. The company was formerly known as KemPharm, Inc. and changed its name to Zevra Therapeutics, Inc. in February 2023. The company was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Boston, Massachusetts.

Stock analysis

Zevra Therapeutics Inc. (ZVRA) currently trades at $11.32, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $15.25, implying the stock looks roughly 25.8% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $65.41 per share, and 8 of the 10 models we run sit above the $11.32 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $1.75, and 2 of the 10 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $9.36 (bear) to $54.45 (bull), the price of $11.32 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Zevra Therapeutics Inc. reported revenue of $106M in FY2025 versus $28.7M in FY2021, a compound +38.8%/yr. Reported net income was $83.2M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $773M · P/E ratio 5.6 · P/S ratio 4.40 · EPS (TTM) $2.01 · Net margin 78.2% · Return on equity 101% · Return on assets (EBIT) −22.0% · Operating margin 24.4%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 55 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 40% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at −5% fair-value upside, at 35%, ZVRA screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $9.36 Fair Value $15.25 Bull $54.45
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($1.47 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings $20.00 $41.45 $81.24 69
Growth-Adj P/E $45.79 $65.41 $85.04 65
P/E Multiple $23.23 $30.97 $38.72 63
All 10 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $20.00 $41.45 $81.24 69
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $9.57 $66.77 $93.70 61
Lynch FV $34.49 $49.28 $64.06 59
PEG = 1.0 $34.49 $49.28 $64.06 55
Multiples
P/E Multiple $23.23 $30.97 $38.72 63
P/S Multiple $4.73 $6.30 $7.88 58
P/B Multiple $8.83 $11.77 $14.72 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.31 $1.75 $2.62 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income $10.94 $17.81 $316.07 56
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $45.79 $65.41 $85.04 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 52/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 54

Profitability 75
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 100
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 10
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 75
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 35
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 61
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 64
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 60/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+350.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+51.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+42.3%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−42.2% (2020) → −4.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no profitable base year
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Biotechnology · 651 stocks

Beats the industry median on 8/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 52 · Above median
Fair Value upside +35% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 101% · Top 25%
Return on assets 3% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 102% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 24% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 78% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.40× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 5.6× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 5.00× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 6.32× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 60.7× · Priciest 25%
PEG 10.67× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)80 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)100 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)80 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 23

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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argenx SE ARGX $963.79 $918.60 −5%
Samsung Biologics Co 207940 1,366,000 KRW 1,502,600 KRW +10%
CSL Limited CSL A$179.24 A$197.16 +10%
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc ALNY $251.65 $218.36 −13%
Royalty Pharma plc RPRX $58.52 $24.22 −59%
BeOne Medicines AG 6160 HK$218.20 HK$169.72 −22%
Celltrion, Inc 068270 177,400 KRW 74,519 KRW −58%
BioNTech SE BNTX $100.87 $63.62 −37%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Zevra Therapeutics Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ZVRA

Frequently asked questions

Is Zevra Therapeutics Inc. (ZVRA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $15.25 versus a price of $11.32, about +35% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ZVRA?
Our model-based fair value for Zevra Therapeutics Inc. is $15.25 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $11.32.
What is the quality score of ZVRA?
Zevra Therapeutics Inc. has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Zevra Therapeutics Inc. (ZVRA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $15.25 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario $9.36, optimistic scenario $54.45. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Zevra Therapeutics Inc. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $15.25, about +35% upside versus a price of $11.32 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $9.36, optimistic scenario $54.45. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Zevra Therapeutics Inc. (ZVRA)?
Zevra Therapeutics Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $122M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Zevra Therapeutics Inc. (ZVRA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Zevra Therapeutics Inc. it is $15.25 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $11.32. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Zevra Therapeutics Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, ZVRA trades below its calculated fair value: price $11.32, fair value $15.25, a gap of about +35% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ZVRA?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($11.32); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($15.25). For Zevra Therapeutics Inc. the two are $3.93 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Zevra Therapeutics Inc. worth?
The market values Zevra Therapeutics Inc. at about $773M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $11.32; our models calculate a fair value of $15.25 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ZVRA?
Our models span a range for Zevra Therapeutics Inc.: cautious scenario $9.36, base $15.25, optimistic $54.45 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $11.32). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ZVRA?
Zevra Therapeutics Inc. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 5.6 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $15.25 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 10.7, P/B 5.0, P/S 6.3, EV/EBITDA 60.7.
What is the PEG ratio of ZVRA?
The PEG ratio of Zevra Therapeutics Inc. is 10.67 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Zevra Therapeutics Inc. (ZVRA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Zevra Therapeutics Inc. (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 100.7%, debt of 0.40 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 52/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ZVRA from its 52-week high?
Zevra Therapeutics Inc. trades at $11.32, about 23% below its 52-week high of $14.75 and 40% above the low of $8.10 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $15.25 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Zevra Therapeutics Inc.?
From the same area (Healthcare) we also value Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc, argenx SE, Samsung Biologics Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Zevra Therapeutics Inc. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $11.32, calculated fair value $15.25 (+35%), Quality Score 52/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ZVRA calculated?
We run Zevra Therapeutics Inc. through 10 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $15.25, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Zevra Therapeutics Inc. currently trades 35 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Zevra Therapeutics Inc. (ZVRA)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $11.32. Our model-based fair value is $15.25, about +35% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Zevra Therapeutics Inc. right now?
The model range is unusually wide ($9.36 to $54.45). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid quality (52/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.

Key figures of Zevra Therapeutics Inc.

How large is the market capitalisation of Zevra Therapeutics Inc. (ZVRA)?
The market capitalisation of Zevra Therapeutics Inc. is $773M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Zevra Therapeutics Inc. (ZVRA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Zevra Therapeutics Inc. is 4.40 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Zevra Therapeutics Inc. (ZVRA)?
Earnings per share at Zevra Therapeutics Inc. are $2.01 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 5.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Zevra Therapeutics Inc. (ZVRA)?
The net margin of Zevra Therapeutics Inc. is 78.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Zevra Therapeutics Inc. (ZVRA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Zevra Therapeutics Inc. is 101% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Zevra Therapeutics Inc. (ZVRA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Zevra Therapeutics Inc. is −22.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Zevra Therapeutics Inc. (ZVRA)?
The operating margin of Zevra Therapeutics Inc. is 24.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Zevra Therapeutics Inc. (ZVRA)?
Revenue at Zevra Therapeutics Inc. is growing +77.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +119%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Zevra Therapeutics Inc. (ZVRA) generate?
The free cash flow of Zevra Therapeutics Inc. is −$2.4M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Zevra Therapeutics Inc. (ZVRA) carry?
The net debt of Zevra Therapeutics Inc. is $800K (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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