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China Life Insurance Co Ltd A (601628) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 5, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of China Life Insurance Co Ltd A stock ¥40.47, price ¥35.85, upside +12.9%, quality 63 out of 100. Rating: undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 6 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Financial Services CN · ISIN CNE000001Q93

CL China Life Insurance Co Ltd A logo Broad data Nov 1, 2026

China Life Insurance Co Ltd A

601628 · SHG
Undervalued, but in a downtrend

The stock costs 11% less than our calculation considers fair.

Fair value ¥40.47 · Undervalued (11%)
Quality 63/100
Healthy Growth (revenue YoY +18.9 %/yr in CNY)
Highly profitable · 54.2% net margin (TTM)
2.7% dividend yield · Low payout
Ranks above peers (12/15)
Broad data
Costs just 3.9 times its yearly profit.
Wide moat 80/100 · thin data
Negative coverage

Risks from the AI analysis

🚩Regulatory penalties for compliance violations

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥51.03 ¥23.25 Fair Value ¥40.47 May 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 1, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥23.25 – ¥51.03 · fair‑value band ¥31.22 – ¥62.47 · the ¥35.85 price screens below the ¥40.47 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 1, 2026.

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Company profile

China Life Insurance Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a life insurance company in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through Life Insurance Business, Health Insurance Business, Accident Insurance Business, and Other Businesses segments.

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It offers life, annuity, health, and accident insurance products to individuals and groups. The company was founded in 1949 and is based in Beijing, the People's Republic of China. China Life Insurance Company Limited operates as a subsidiary of China Life Insurance (Group) Company.

Stock analysis

China Life Insurance Co Ltd A (601628) currently trades at ¥35.85, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥40.47, implying the stock looks roughly 11% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of ¥40.47 per share, and 2 of the 6 models we run sit above the ¥35.85 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥13.92, and 4 of the 6 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: ¥31.22 (bear) to ¥62.47 (bull), the price of ¥35.85 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

China Life Insurance Co Ltd A reported revenue of 609B CNY in FY2025 versus 795B CNY in FY2021, a compound −6.4%/yr. Reported net income was 154B CNY in FY2025, compounding +32.0%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 1.0T CNY (≈ $152B) Large · P/E ratio 3.9 · P/S ratio 2.22 · EPS (TTM) ¥8.74 · Dividend yield 2.7% · Net margin 54.2% · Return on equity 41.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.3%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 80 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −39% fair-value upside, at 13%, 601628 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥31.22 Fair Value ¥40.47 Bull ¥62.47
Price ¥35.85 · Upside +12.9%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥6.59 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income ¥31.22 ¥40.47 ¥69.81 72
DDM Multi-Stage ¥8.16 ¥13.97 ¥16.97 65
Gordon GGM ¥8.16 ¥16.06 ¥24.01 64
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥8.16 ¥16.06 ¥24.01 64
DDM Multi-Stage ¥8.16 ¥13.97 ¥16.97 65
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥53.15 ¥70.87 ¥88.58 61
P/B Multiple ¥21.81 ¥29.08 ¥36.35 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥10.39 ¥13.92 ¥20.77 52
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥31.22 ¥40.47 ¥69.81 72

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 63/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 47
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 68
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 100
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 1
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 59
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 67
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 30
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 16
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 82
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+30.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+28.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.7%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.24.9% vs 16.9%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.7% → 30%
2025 sits 201% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)

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Earlier news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (58 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Negative
Recent news coverage is more negative than average.
Note from the team Oct 15, 2026
AI conclusion: Core life insurance operations deliver solid returns on equity and margins as the main strength, while thin qualitative evidence across moat factors limits confirmation of durability.
Main risk: Regulatory bodies could impose further fines or restrictions on China Life branches for violations such as fabricating business or misleading policyholders, potentially disrupting local operations and increasing compliance costs.
Bull case: By strengthening internal controls and governance across branches, China Life could reduce regulatory scrutiny and maintain its operational scale.
Bear case: Persistent compliance failures might lead to repeated penalties, bans on agents, and restrictions that erode trust and hinder business expansion in key regions.
China Life posted strong growth in new business value even as first-half profits surged mainly on investment returns. It is now committing up to 4.5 billion yuan to a fund focused on AI and semiconductor companies. Our models currently see it as undervalued. Will the core life insurance franchise or these technology bets deliver more durable returns?
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Insurance - Life · 77 stocks

Beats the industry median on 12/15 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 63 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +12.9% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 41.3% · Top 25%
Return on assets 2.0% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months) 54.2% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 76.8% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 153.7% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months) 2.7% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.06× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Insurance - Life median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 3.9× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 1.70× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months) 2.22× · Pricier than median
Price / free cash flow 1.6× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 3.3× · Cheapest 25%
PEG 0.68× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)51 · sector 6
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 44
PAST (return on equity)100 · sector 52
HEALTH (low debt)97 · sector 87
DIVIDEND (yield)54 · sector 55

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Insurance - Life stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
China Pacific Insurance (Group) Co 601601 ¥31.90 ¥48.28 +51% vs 601628
Ping An Insurance (Group) Company 601318 ¥54.35 ¥66.91 +23% vs 601628
Life Insurance Corporation LICI ₹408.00 ₹298.84 −27% vs 601628
Cathay Financial Holding 2882 112.00 TWD 71.53 TWD −36% vs 601628
Manulife Financial Corporation MFC $43.99 $27.02 −39% vs 601628
Aflac Incorporated AFL $126.24 $67.30 −47% vs 601628
AIA Group 1299 HK$78.85 HK$41.65 −47% vs 601628
MetLife, Inc MET $99.75 $48.73 −51% vs 601628
Great-West Lifeco Inc GWO C$90.09 C$41.76 −54% vs 601628
Power Corporation POW C$91.75 C$33.01 −64% vs 601628

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China Life Insurance Co Ltd A: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China Life Insurance Co Ltd A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/601628

Frequently asked questions

Is China Life Insurance Co Ltd A (601628) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 1, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥40.47 versus a price of ¥35.85, about +13% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 601628?
Our model-based fair value for China Life Insurance Co Ltd A is ¥40.47 (as of Nov 1, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥35.85.
What is the quality score of 601628?
China Life Insurance Co Ltd A has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for China Life Insurance Co Ltd A (601628)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥40.47 (as of Nov 1, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥31.22, optimistic scenario ¥62.47. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the China Life Insurance Co Ltd A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥40.47, about +13% upside versus a price of ¥35.85 (undervalued). Cautious scenario ¥31.22, optimistic scenario ¥62.47. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of China Life Insurance Co Ltd A (601628)?
China Life Insurance Co Ltd A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 457B CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 1, 2026).
Does China Life Insurance Co Ltd A pay a dividend?
China Life Insurance Co Ltd A currently shows a dividend yield of 2.72% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 1, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of China Life Insurance Co Ltd A (601628)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For China Life Insurance Co Ltd A it is ¥40.47 per share (as of Nov 1, 2026), against a price of ¥35.85. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is China Life Insurance Co Ltd A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 1, 2026, 601628 trades below its calculated fair value: price ¥35.85, fair value ¥40.47, a gap of about +13% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 601628?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥35.85); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥40.47). For China Life Insurance Co Ltd A the two are ¥4.62 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is China Life Insurance Co Ltd A worth?
The market values China Life Insurance Co Ltd A at about 1.0T CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 1, 2026). Per share that is ¥35.85; our models calculate a fair value of ¥40.47 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 601628?
Our models span a range for China Life Insurance Co Ltd A: cautious scenario ¥31.22, base ¥40.47, optimistic ¥62.47 per share (as of Nov 1, 2026, price ¥35.85). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 601628?
China Life Insurance Co Ltd A trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 3.9 (as of Nov 1, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥40.47 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings: 19.3. Other multiples: PEG 0.7, P/B 1.7, P/S 2.2, EV/EBITDA 3.3.
What is the PEG ratio of 601628?
The PEG ratio of China Life Insurance Co Ltd A is 0.68 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 1, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of China Life Insurance Co Ltd A (601628)?
Balance-sheet figures for China Life Insurance Co Ltd A (as of Nov 1, 2026): return on equity 41.3%, debt of 0.06 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 63/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 601628 from its 52-week high?
China Life Insurance Co Ltd A trades at ¥35.85, about 30% below its 52-week high of ¥51.03 and 10% above the low of ¥32.49 (as of Nov 5, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥40.47 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to China Life Insurance Co Ltd A?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Ping An Insurance (Group) Company, AIA Group, Manulife Financial Corporation, MetLife, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is China Life Insurance Co Ltd A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 1, 2026: price ¥35.85, calculated fair value ¥40.47 (+13%), Quality Score 63/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 601628 calculated?
We run China Life Insurance Co Ltd A through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥40.47, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.5% above its aggregate fair value. China Life Insurance Co Ltd A currently trades 11% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of China Life Insurance Co Ltd A (601628)?
The closing price on Nov 5, 2026 was ¥35.85. Our model-based fair value is ¥40.47, about +13% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with China Life Insurance Co Ltd A right now?
A fairly wide model range (¥31.22 to ¥62.47) leaves room in how you read the outcome. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Where does the earnings growth of China Life Insurance Co Ltd A (601628) come from?
Earnings per share at China Life Insurance Co Ltd A grew +15.4 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +2.4 %, EBIT margin +10.9 %, tax rate +1.6 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.0 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of China Life Insurance Co Ltd A

How large is the market capitalisation of China Life Insurance Co Ltd A (601628)?
The market capitalisation of China Life Insurance Co Ltd A is 1.0T CNY (≈ $152B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of China Life Insurance Co Ltd A (601628)?
The price-to-sales ratio of China Life Insurance Co Ltd A is 2.22 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of China Life Insurance Co Ltd A (601628)?
Earnings per share at China Life Insurance Co Ltd A are ¥8.74 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 3.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of China Life Insurance Co Ltd A (601628)?
The dividend yield of China Life Insurance Co Ltd A is 2.7% (payout 11.2%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of China Life Insurance Co Ltd A (601628)?
The net margin of China Life Insurance Co Ltd A is 54.2% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of China Life Insurance Co Ltd A (601628)?
The return on equity (ROE) of China Life Insurance Co Ltd A is 41.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of China Life Insurance Co Ltd A (601628)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of China Life Insurance Co Ltd A is 1.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of China Life Insurance Co Ltd A (601628)?
The operating margin of China Life Insurance Co Ltd A is 76.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at China Life Insurance Co Ltd A (601628)?
Revenue at China Life Insurance Co Ltd A is growing +154% versus a year earlier (3y avg −9.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at China Life Insurance Co Ltd A (601628)?
Earnings per share at China Life Insurance Co Ltd A are growing +849% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does China Life Insurance Co Ltd A (601628) generate?
The free cash flow of China Life Insurance Co Ltd A is 653B CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does China Life Insurance Co Ltd A (601628) carry?
The net debt of China Life Insurance Co Ltd A is 349B CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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