Hon. Precision, Inc. (7769) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 5, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Hon. Precision, Inc. stock TWD 4,378, price TWD 3,980, upside +10.0%, quality 65 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
24‑month range 569.55 TWD – 8,156 TWD · fair‑value band 2,837 TWD – 8,010 TWD · the 3,980 TWD price screens below the 4,378 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 5, 2026.
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Hon. Precision, Inc. engages in the manufacture and sale of machinery and related components, automatic control equipment engineering, and machinery installations in Taiwan.
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The company provides automated test sorting machines and related visual AOI/AI computing processing, normal/high/low temperature control, down force, bar code, network, communication, and database products.
It also offers handlers, such as the final test, system-level test, flash test, dynamic random access memory test, automatic optical inspection, and micro-electro-mechanical systems test handler; temperature control solution; laboratory development equipment; and burn-in ovens.
The company was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Taichung, Taiwan.
Stock analysis
Hon. Precision, Inc. (7769) currently trades at 3,980 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 4,378 TWD, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 9.1%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 3,472 TWD per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the 3,980 TWD price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at 577.65 TWD, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 2,837 TWD (bear) to 8,010 TWD (bull), the price of 3,980 TWD sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Hon. Precision, Inc. reported revenue of 30.3B TWD in FY2025 versus 444M TWD in FY2021, a compound +187.4%/yr. Reported net income was 12.4B TWD in FY2025, compounding +222.3%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
Key figures
Market cap 716B TWD (≈ $21.7B) Large · P/E ratio 39.6 · P/S ratio 17.1 · EPS (TTM) 100.57 TWD · Dividend yield 1.6% · Net margin 41.5% · Return on equity 48.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 527%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 92 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 51% below its 52-week high and 80% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −27% fair-value upside, at 10%, 7769 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear2,837 TWDFair Value 4,378 TWDBull8,010 TWD
Price 3,980 TWD · Upside +10.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (30.21 TWD per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+116.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+31.0%
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years), in TWD (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in TWD: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+58.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+56.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.6%
Profit margin 2021 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.35% → 50%
2025 sits 179% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 3 years, not that single year.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+23.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+57.7%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Taiwan: IMF forecast 1.6% a year to 2030, 1.5% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +21.7% a year for the price and +55.3% for the forecasts.
AI conclusion: The business gains from a rising share of AI and HPC orders supported by mega tray handlers that lift average selling prices, yet thin public data restricts conclusions on durable competitive advantages.
Main risk: Competitors with more validation machines at OSAT customers might secure more post-2027 orders, reducing the company's market share in test handlers and ATC systems.
Bull case: By expanding into large-package and CPO testing solutions the company could capture additional growth even if core AI demand moderates.
Bear case: If competitors increase their validations and AI demand slows, the company might lose significant market share and see revenue decline sharply.
Hon Precision has lifted the share of AI and HPC orders to 78 percent while rolling out mega tray handlers for much larger chip packages. These systems already make up 20 to 30 percent of 2027 orders and raise average selling prices by more than 30 percent. Will the shift to bigger, higher-value equipment deliver sustained margin expansion or bring ramp-up challenges that offset the gains?
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Semiconductor Equipment & Materials · 233 stocks
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hon. Precision, Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/7769
Frequently asked questions
Is Hon. Precision, Inc. (7769) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 4,378 TWD versus a price of 3,980 TWD, about +10% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 7769?
Our model-based fair value for Hon. Precision, Inc. is 4,378 TWD (as of Nov 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 3,980 TWD.
What is the quality score of 7769?
Hon. Precision, Inc. has a Quality Score of 65/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Hon. Precision, Inc. (7769)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 4,378 TWD (as of Nov 5, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 2,837 TWD, optimistic scenario 8,010 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Hon. Precision, Inc. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 4,378 TWD, about +10% upside versus a price of 3,980 TWD (fairly valued). Cautious scenario 2,837 TWD, optimistic scenario 8,010 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Hon. Precision, Inc. (7769)?
Hon. Precision, Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 42.0B TWD (latest available figure, as of Nov 5, 2026).
Does Hon. Precision, Inc. pay a dividend?
Hon. Precision, Inc. currently shows a dividend yield of 1.63% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 5, 2026).
What growth is priced into Hon. Precision, Inc. (7769)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Hon. Precision, Inc. would have to grow free cash flow by +23.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 4 years revenue grew +187.4 % per year. As of Nov 5, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 7769 use?
Our models discount Hon. Precision, Inc. at 9.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), country premium for Taiwan. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Hon. Precision, Inc. that is +23.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Hon. Precision, Inc. (7769) delivered so far?
Over the past 4 years revenue at Hon. Precision, Inc. grew +187.4 % a year. The price currently implies +23.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Hon. Precision, Inc. (7769) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +15.5 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Hon. Precision, Inc. (+23.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Hon. Precision, Inc. (7769)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.22 %: that much free cash flow Hon. Precision, Inc. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Hon. Precision, Inc. (7769)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Hon. Precision, Inc. it is 4,378 TWD per share (as of Nov 5, 2026), against a price of 3,980 TWD. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Hon. Precision, Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 5, 2026, 7769 trades below its calculated fair value: price 3,980 TWD, fair value 4,378 TWD, a gap of about +10% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 7769?
No. The price is what the market pays today (3,980 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (4,378 TWD). For Hon. Precision, Inc. the two are 398.00 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Hon. Precision, Inc. worth?
The market values Hon. Precision, Inc. at about 716B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Nov 5, 2026). Per share that is 3,980 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 4,378 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 7769?
Our models span a range for Hon. Precision, Inc.: cautious scenario 2,837 TWD, base 4,378 TWD, optimistic 8,010 TWD per share (as of Nov 5, 2026, price 3,980 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 7769?
Hon. Precision, Inc. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 39.6 (as of Nov 5, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 4,378 TWD is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 12.3, P/S 17.1, EV/EBITDA 32.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Hon. Precision, Inc. (7769)?
Balance-sheet figures for Hon. Precision, Inc. (as of Nov 5, 2026): return on equity 48.4%. They feed the Quality Score of 65/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 7769 from its 52-week high?
Hon. Precision, Inc. trades at 3,980 TWD, about 51% below its 52-week high of 8,156 TWD and 80% above the low of 2,207 TWD (as of Nov 5, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 4,378 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Hon. Precision, Inc.?
From the same area (Technology) we also value ASML Holding, Applied Materials, Inc, Lam Research Corporation, KLA Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Hon. Precision, Inc. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 5, 2026: price 3,980 TWD, calculated fair value 4,378 TWD (+10%), Quality Score 65/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 7769 calculated?
We run Hon. Precision, Inc. through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 4,378 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.5% above its aggregate fair value. Hon. Precision, Inc. currently trades 9% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Hon. Precision, Inc. (7769)?
The closing price on Nov 5, 2026 was 3,980 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 4,378 TWD, about +10% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Hon. Precision, Inc. right now?
The model range is unusually wide (2,837 TWD to 8,010 TWD). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
Key figures of Hon. Precision, Inc.
How large is the market capitalisation of Hon. Precision, Inc. (7769)?
The market capitalisation of Hon. Precision, Inc. is 716B TWD (≈ $21.7B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Hon. Precision, Inc. (7769)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Hon. Precision, Inc. is 17.1 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Hon. Precision, Inc. (7769)?
Earnings per share at Hon. Precision, Inc. are 100.57 TWD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 39.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Hon. Precision, Inc. (7769)?
The dividend yield of Hon. Precision, Inc. is 1.6% (payout 64.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Hon. Precision, Inc. (7769)?
The net margin of Hon. Precision, Inc. is 41.5% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Hon. Precision, Inc. (7769)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Hon. Precision, Inc. is 48.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Hon. Precision, Inc. (7769)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Hon. Precision, Inc. is 527% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Hon. Precision, Inc. (7769)?
The operating margin of Hon. Precision, Inc. is 48.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Hon. Precision, Inc. (7769)?
Revenue at Hon. Precision, Inc. is growing +100% versus a year earlier (3y avg +31.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Hon. Precision, Inc. (7769)?
Earnings per share at Hon. Precision, Inc. are growing +99.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Hon. Precision, Inc. (7769) hold?
Hon. Precision, Inc. holds more cash than debt, 53.4B TWD net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Broad data
Nov 5, 2026