Advanced Micro-Fabrication Equipment Inc (688012) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · CN · Market cap 336B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 19 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from ¥42.73 to ¥41.79 (−2.2%) since Jul 12, 2026. Share price −13.9% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 88% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥59.23). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (65/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥80.15 – ¥490.33 · fair‑value band ¥33.07 – ¥59.23 · the ¥361.59 price screens above the ¥41.79 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
Advanced Micro-Fabrication Equipment Inc (688012) currently trades at ¥361.59, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥41.79, implying the stock looks roughly 88.4% overvalued today. We read business quality at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Advanced Micro-Fabrication Equipment Inc generated revenue of 13.1B CNY at a net margin of 20.8%. Revenue grew 34.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 7.0B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥33.07 (bear case) to ¥59.23 (bull case); at ¥361.59, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 119% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -75% fair-value upside, at -88%, 688012 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥99.42) versus Dividend Discount (¥3.68). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 68 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 62
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Advanced Micro-Fabrication Equipment Inc. China engages in the research and development, manufacture, and sale of high-end semiconductor equipment and related semiconductor equipment in China, Taiwan, and internationally.
Full company description
Advanced Micro-Fabrication Equipment Inc. China engages in the research and development, manufacture, and sale of high-end semiconductor equipment and related semiconductor equipment in China, Taiwan, and internationally. The company offers etch products, including Primo D-RIE, Primo AD-RIE, Primo SSC AD-RIE, Primo iDEA, Primo HD-RIE, Primo TSV, Primo Nanova, Primo Twin-Star, and Primo UD-RIE; and MOCVD products, such as Prismo D-BLUE, Prismo A7, Prismo HiT3, and Prismo UniMax. It also provides Preforma Uniflex CW system, a CVD metal-tungsten deposition equipment; and Volatile Organic Compounds (VOC) air purifier for industrial use. Advanced Micro-Fabrication Equipment Inc. China was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Advanced Micro-Fabrication Equipment Inc reported revenue of ¥12.4B in FY2025 versus ¥3.1B in FY2021, a compound +41.3%/yr. Reported net income was ¥2.1B in FY2025, compounding +20.2%/yr from FY2021.
688012 screens 88% overvalued. Compare with ASML Holding →
Peer Group
Semiconductor Equipment & Materials · 208 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Semiconductor Equipment & Materials median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 30/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Semiconductor Equipment & Materials stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| ASML Holding ASML | C$50.50 | C$15.57 | -69% |
| Applied Materials, Inc AMAT | $579.43 | $143.08 | -75% |
| Lam Research Corporation LRCX | $346.10 | $67.57 | -80% |
| KLA Corporation KLAC | $212.75 | $53.01 | -75% |
| NAURA Technology Group 002371 | ¥774.20 | ¥151.43 | -80% |
| Piotech Inc 688072 | ¥832.00 | ¥431.44 | -48% |
| Hon. Precision, Inc 7769 | 6,005 TWD | 1,804 TWD | -70% |
| Hangzhou Changchuan Technology Co 300604 | ¥325.24 | ¥33.33 | -90% |
| MPI Corporation 6223 | 5,600 TWD | 609.44 TWD | -89% |
| HANMI Semiconductor Co 042700 | 222,000 KRW | 38,794 KRW | -83% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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