CAR Group Ltd (CAR) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 5, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of CAR Group Ltd stock A$29.34, price A$26.67, upside +10.0%, quality 72 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. Calculated from audited financials with 24 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Keep an eye on it?Free in your watchlist: 5 stocks without an account, 10 with oneYes, for free
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$16.19 – A$40.80 · fair‑value band A$20.22 – A$38.14 · the A$26.67 price screens below the A$29.34 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 5, 2026.
Follow CAR Group in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether CAR Group is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
CAR Group Limited engages in the online vehicle marketplace business in Australia, New Zealand, Brazil, South Korea, Malaysia, Indonesia, Thailand, Chile, China, and North America.
Show moreShow less
The company operates through six segments: Australia " Online Advertising Services; Australia " Data, Research and Services; Investments; North America; Latin America; and Asia segments.
It offers classified advertising that allows private and dealer customers to advertise automotive and non-automotive goods and services for sale across the carsales network; products, including subscriptions, lead fees, listing fees, and priority placement services; and display advertising services, such as placing advertisements for corporate customers comprising automotive manufacturers and finance companies.
The company also provides software as a service, research and reporting, valuation, appraisals, and website development and hosting services, as well as photography services.
In addition, it offers vehicle inspection services; operates digital automotive and non-automotive marketplaces; and offers automotive data and advertising services. The company was formerly known as carsales.com Ltd and changed its name to CAR Group Limited in November 2023.
CAR Group Limited was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in Melbourne, Australia.
Stock analysis
CAR Group Ltd (CAR) currently trades at A$26.67, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$29.34, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 9.1%).
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of A$26.00 per share, and 6 of the 24 models we run sit above the A$26.67 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at A$7.51, and 18 of the 24 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: A$20.22 (bear) to A$38.14 (bull), the price of A$26.67 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 72/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
CAR Group Ltd reported revenue of A$1.3B in FY2026 versus A$509M in FY2022, a compound +25.3%/yr. Reported net income was A$314M in FY2026, compounding +18.2%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap A$10.1B (≈ $7.1B) Mid · P/E ratio 31.8 · P/S ratio 8.06 · EPS (TTM) A$0.8400 · Dividend yield 3.2% · Net margin 25.0% · Return on equity 11.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 71 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 10%, CAR screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
BearA$20.22Fair Value A$29.34BullA$38.14
Price A$26.67 · Upside +10.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.87/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+5.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+24.0%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +13.8% a year
Revenue growth 28 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.4%
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
’26
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+13.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+10.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.2%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.10.4% vs 6.2%, picking up
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.46% → 38%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2021 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and about what analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+10.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+9.6%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Australia: IMF forecast 3.0% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +7.3% a year for the price and +6.5% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (68 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
AI conclusion: Moderate profitability supported by Latin American growth faces thin evidence of any durable moat across the business.
Main risk: International expansion and AI upgrades risk adding operational complexity that could burden the established Australian marketplace.
CAR Group’s overseas operations drove much of the FY26 momentum, with Latin America revenue rising 19 percent in constant currency while Australia grew 7 percent. The group is also rolling out AI features on dealer platforms and has set up a dedicated hub in Brazil. Will the international expansion and technology upgrades deliver sustained outperformance, or will they mainly add operational complexity to the established Australian marketplace?
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Internet Content & Information · 126 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score72 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+10.0% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)11.3% · Above median
Return on assets6.4% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)25.0% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)39.6% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)3.8% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months)3.2% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.55× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Internet Content & Information median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)31.8× · Priciest 25%
P/B3.68× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "CAR Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CAR
Frequently asked questions
Is CAR Group Ltd (CAR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$29.34 versus a price of A$26.67, about +10% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of CAR?
Our model-based fair value for CAR Group Ltd is A$29.34 (as of Nov 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$26.67.
What is the quality score of CAR?
CAR Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 72/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for CAR Group Ltd (CAR)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$29.34 (as of Nov 5, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$20.22, optimistic scenario A$38.14. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the CAR Group Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$29.34, about +10% upside versus a price of A$26.67 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario A$20.22, optimistic scenario A$38.14. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of CAR Group Ltd (CAR)?
CAR Group Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$1.3B (latest available figure, as of Nov 5, 2026).
Does CAR Group Ltd pay a dividend?
CAR Group Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 3.22% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 5, 2026).
What growth is priced into CAR Group Ltd (CAR)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, CAR Group Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +10.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +24.0 % per year. As of Nov 5, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CAR use?
Our models discount CAR Group Ltd at 9.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.87, country premium for Australia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For CAR Group Ltd that is +10.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has CAR Group Ltd (CAR) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at CAR Group Ltd grew +24.0 % a year. The price currently implies +10.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of CAR Group Ltd (CAR) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into CAR Group Ltd (+10.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of CAR Group Ltd (CAR)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.94 %: that much free cash flow CAR Group Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of CAR Group Ltd (CAR)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For CAR Group Ltd it is A$29.34 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026), against a price of A$26.67. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is CAR Group Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 5, 2026, CAR trades below its calculated fair value: price A$26.67, fair value A$29.34, a gap of about +10% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CAR?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$26.67); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$29.34). For CAR Group Ltd the two are A$2.67 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is CAR Group Ltd worth?
The market values CAR Group Ltd at about A$10.1B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 5, 2026). Per share that is A$26.67; our models calculate a fair value of A$29.34 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CAR?
Our models span a range for CAR Group Ltd: cautious scenario A$20.22, base A$29.34, optimistic A$38.14 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026, price A$26.67). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CAR?
CAR Group Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 31.8 (as of Nov 5, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of A$29.34 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2017 to 2026), reported earnings: 31.7. Other multiples: PEG 1.4, P/B 3.7, P/S 8.1, EV/EBITDA 19.6.
What is the PEG ratio of CAR?
The PEG ratio of CAR Group Ltd is 1.35 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 5, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of CAR Group Ltd (CAR)?
Balance-sheet figures for CAR Group Ltd (as of Nov 5, 2026): return on equity 11.3%, debt of 0.55 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 72/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CAR from its 52-week high?
CAR Group Ltd trades at A$26.67, about 22% below its 52-week high of A$34.31 and 25% above the low of A$21.39 (as of Nov 5, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$29.34 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to CAR Group Ltd?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value Alphabet Inc, Meta Platforms, Inc, Tencent Holdings, Spotify Technology S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is CAR Group Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 5, 2026: price A$26.67, calculated fair value A$29.34 (+10%), Quality Score 72/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CAR calculated?
We run CAR Group Ltd through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$29.34, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.6% above its aggregate fair value. CAR Group Ltd currently trades 9% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of CAR Group Ltd (CAR)?
The closing price on Nov 5, 2026 was A$26.67. Our model-based fair value is A$29.34, about +10% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with CAR Group Ltd right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range (A$20.22 to A$38.14) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of CAR Group Ltd (CAR) come from?
Earnings per share at CAR Group Ltd grew +5.8 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +9.1 %, EBIT margin −2.2 %, tax rate +1.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −1.8 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of CAR Group Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of CAR Group Ltd (CAR)?
The market capitalisation of CAR Group Ltd is A$10.1B (≈ $7.1B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of CAR Group Ltd (CAR)?
The price-to-sales ratio of CAR Group Ltd is 8.06 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of CAR Group Ltd (CAR)?
Earnings per share at CAR Group Ltd are A$0.8400 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 31.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of CAR Group Ltd (CAR)?
The dividend yield of CAR Group Ltd is 3.2% (payout 102%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of CAR Group Ltd (CAR)?
The net margin of CAR Group Ltd is 25.0% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of CAR Group Ltd (CAR)?
The return on equity (ROE) of CAR Group Ltd is 11.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of CAR Group Ltd (CAR)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of CAR Group Ltd is 9.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of CAR Group Ltd (CAR)?
The operating margin of CAR Group Ltd is 39.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at CAR Group Ltd (CAR)?
Revenue at CAR Group Ltd is growing +3.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +17.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at CAR Group Ltd (CAR)?
Earnings per share at CAR Group Ltd are growing +13.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does CAR Group Ltd (CAR) carry?
The net debt of CAR Group Ltd is A$1.3B (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 2.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch CAR Group Ltd in the live analysis
One click puts CAR Group Ltd on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 27,000+ stock screener.
Broad data
Nov 5, 2026