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Baidu, Inc (BIDU) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · US · Market cap $39.4B

BI Baidu, Inc logo Baidu, Inc BIDU · US
Price$109.33
Fair Value$327.99
Upside+200.0%
Quality41/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 1.0% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (6/12)
Narrow moat 37/100
Evidence: Medium Range $229.60 – $339.69 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 7, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated 31 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 7, 2026, revised from $563.67 to $327.99 (−41.8%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −2.5% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 200% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (41/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($229.60). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$212.29 $76.57 Fair Value $327.99 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $76.57 – $212.29 · fair‑value band $229.60 – $339.69 · the $109.33 price screens below the $327.99 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.

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Analysis

Baidu, Inc (BIDU) currently trades at $109.33, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $327.99, implying the stock looks roughly 200.0% undervalued today. We read business quality at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Baidu, Inc generated revenue of $129B at a net margin of 1.0%. Revenue declined 1.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.3%. Net debt stands at $72.5B. Fundamentals as of Jul 7, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $229.60 (bear case) to $339.69 (bull case); at $109.33, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 31% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -20% fair-value upside, at 200%, BIDU screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $552.48 $534.13 $429.56 76
Gordon GGM $657.66 $1,367 $2,169 70
Growth-Adj P/E $303.33 $433.32 $563.32 68
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $509.18 $1,286 $2,908 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $110.80 $765.71 $1,074 54
Lynch FV $225.61 $322.30 $419.00 50
PEG = 1.0 $225.61 $322.30 $419.00 46
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $657.66 $1,367 $2,169 70
DDM Multi-Stage $657.66 $1,153 $1,435 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $244.42 $325.89 $407.36 63
P/S Multiple $207.75 $277.01 $346.26 58
P/B Multiple $207.75 $277.01 $346.26 55
EV/EBITDA $334.99 $482.12 $629.25 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $388.24 $520.24 $776.47 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $552.48 $534.13 $429.56 76
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $303.33 $433.32 $563.32 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($1,286) versus Multiples ($277.01). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $129B
Revenue growth (YoY) -1.2%
Net margin 1.0%
Return on equity 0.3%
Free cash flow −$16.4B FY2025
Operating margin 10.0%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-0.1500
EPS growth (YoY) -59.3%
Net debt $72.5B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 7, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 41/100

Of which business quality 37 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46

Profitability 22
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 10
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 4
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 48
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 70
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 60
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 35
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 48
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 95
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Baidu, Inc. provides internet content, value-added telecommunication-based, internet map, and online audio and video services in the People's Republic of China. It operates in two segments, Baidu General Business and iQIYI. The Baidu General Business segment offers products and services for mobile ecosystem, AI cloud, and intelligent driving.

Full company description

Baidu, Inc. provides internet content, value-added telecommunication-based, internet map, and online audio and video services in the People's Republic of China. It operates in two segments, Baidu General Business and iQIYI. The Baidu General Business segment offers products and services for mobile ecosystem, AI cloud, and intelligent driving. This segment operates Baidu App that enables users to access search, feed, content, and other services through mobile devices; and Haokan, which offers a range of various user generated and professionally produced short videos. It also provides a portfolio of knowledge and information products, including Baidu Wiki, which features columns and videos, such as encyclopedia of intangible cultural heritage, digital museum and recorder of history; Baidu Knows, an online community where users can pose questions to other users, such as individuals, professionals, and enterprises; Baidu Experience, an online platform where users share daily knowledge and experience; ERNIE Bot, new AI-native product that serves as a multi-round conversational AI assistant on both PC and mobile; and Baidu Post, a social media that allows users to post text, image, audio and video content, and reply to original curation forming valuable discussion groups, as well as livestreaming services, including live streaming and AI-powered digital human livestreaming. In addition, the company offers DuerOS smart assistant for the Chinese language; Apollo Go autonomous ride-hailing service; online marketing services; Baidu Maps, a voice-enabled mobile app providing users with travel-related services; and AI chips. The iQIYI segment produces and distributes professionally produced content. This segment offers online entertainment video services, including online videos, experience services, online games, comics, and others. The company was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Baidu, Inc reported revenue of $129B in FY2025 versus $124B in FY2021, a compound +0.9%/yr. Reported net income was $5.6B in FY2025, compounding −14.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 20/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$129B
Latest YoY
−3.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+1.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+3.8%
Avg. growth/yr (22Y)
+31.4%
Revenue +0.9%/yr
FY21 $124B
FY22 $124B
FY23 $135B
FY24 $133B
FY25 $129B
Net income −14.0%/yr
FY21 $10.2B
FY22 $7.6B
FY23 $20.3B
FY24 $23.8B
FY25 $5.6B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Baidu, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BIDU

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Internet Content & Information · 150 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 41 · Below median
Fair Value upside +200% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 0% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 10% · Above median
Revenue growth -1% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.23× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Internet Content & Information median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.15× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.31× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 3.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 0.65× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 31
PAST 1 · sector 10
HEALTH 89 · sector 99
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 43

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Internet Content & Information stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 7, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Alphabet Inc GOOGL $354.46 $145.14 -59%
Meta Platforms, Inc META $669.21 $534.91 -20%
Tencent Holdings 0700 HK$460.20 HK$467.50 +2%
Spotify Technology S.A SPOT $485.38 $209.56 -57%
Reddit, Inc RDDT $195.34 $39.59 -80%
Kuaishou Technology, an investment holding company, 1024 HK$44.70 HK$101.03 +126%
NAVER Corporation 035420 191,300 KRW 231,585 KRW +21%
Tencent Music Entertainment Group 1698 HK$34.74 HK$65.78 +89%
REA Group REA A$149.14 A$88.53 -41%
Pinterest, Inc PINS $22.52 $14.71 -35%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Baidu, Inc (BIDU) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $327.99 versus a price of $109.33, about +200% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of BIDU?
Our model-based fair value for Baidu, Inc is $327.99 (as of Jul 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $109.33.
What is the quality score of BIDU?
Baidu, Inc has a Quality Score of 41/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Baidu, Inc (BIDU)?
Baidu, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $129B (latest available figure, as of Jul 7, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of BIDU?
The net profit margin of Baidu, Inc is about 1.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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