JDE Peet's N.V (JDEPY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of JDE Peet's N.V stock $19.73, price $17.00, upside +16.1%, quality 60 out of 100. Rating: undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 24 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
28‑month range $8.07 – $19.50 · fair‑value band $15.37 – $28.58 · the $17.00 price screens below the $19.73 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 9, 2026.
Follow JDE Peet's in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether JDE Peet's is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
JDE Peet's N.V. operates as a coffee and tea company worldwide. The company operates through Europe, LARMEA, APAC, and Peet's segments.
Show moreShow less
It provides roast and ground multi-serve coffee, roast and ground single-serve coffee pads and capsules, instant coffee, and tea; hot beverage products, including liquid roast products and related coffee machines, and services.
The company also offers whole bean coffee, beverages, tea, and related products, as well as pastries. The company sells its products primarily under the L'OR, Peet's, Jacobs, Friele, Douwe Egberts, Kenco, Old Town, Super, Pickwick, Pilão, Friele, Marcilla, Gevalia, Maxwell House, and Moccona brands.
It serves various businesses, such as offices, hotels, bars, and restaurants, as well as coffee stores. JDE Peet's N.V. was founded in 1753 and is headquartered in Amsterdam, the Netherlands.
JDE Peet's N.V. is a subsidiary of Acorn Holdings B.V. As of March 27, 2026, JDE Peet's N.V. operates as a subsidiary of Keurig Dr Pepper Inc..
Stock analysis
JDE Peet's N.V (JDEPY) currently trades at $17.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $19.73, implying the stock looks roughly 14% undervalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $18.33 per share, and 9 of the 24 models we run sit above the $17.00 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at $7.05, and 15 of the 24 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $15.37 (bear) to $28.58 (bull), the price of $17.00 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
JDE Peet's N.V reported revenue of €9.9B in FY2025 versus €7.0B in FY2021, a compound +9.1%/yr. Reported net income was €796M in FY2025, compounding +1.0%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $16.7B Large · P/E ratio 18.4 · P/S ratio 1.51 · EPS (TTM) $0.9100 · Dividend yield 2.5% · Net margin 8.0% · Return on equity 7.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.0% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 45 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −1% fair-value upside, at 16%, JDEPY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$15.37Fair Value $19.73Bull$28.58
Price $17.00 · Upside +16.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.7804 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF$13.30$26.80$50.3076
Residual Income$10.82$11.55$12.8576
Growth DCF$13.64$25.50$44.7575
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF$13.30$26.80$50.3076
Owner Earnings$9.76$20.78$39.9672
5Y Revenue Exit$5.34$11.01$18.1470
5Y EBITDA Exit$8.41$16.90$26.8773
5Y P/E Exit$9.00$18.04$27.6769
10Y Revenue Exit$7.54$13.60$21.7065
10Y EBITDA Exit$9.87$17.93$28.8366
10Y P/E Exit$10.27$18.77$29.4962
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd$6.22$21.88$29.4464
Lynch FV$5.11$7.30$9.5061
PEG = 1.0$5.11$7.30$9.5057
EPV$1.21$2.54$3.7467
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM$4.08$9.33$16.7365
DDM Multi-Stage$4.08$7.42$9.6566
Multiples
P/E Multiple$14.40$19.20$24.0063
P/S Multiple$11.66$15.54$19.4358
EV/EBIT$3.94$7.63$11.3363
EV/EBITDA$6.29$10.77$15.2565
EV/Revenue$0.7600$4.16$7.5548
Growth DCF
Growth DCF$13.64$25.50$44.7575
Rev-Margin DCF$5.34$11.15$18.1170
Economic Profit
Residual Income$10.82$11.55$12.8576
ROIC Compounder$1.21$2.54$3.7469
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E$12.44$17.78$23.1167
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for a year distorted by one-off effects.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.77/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+12.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.1%
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
−3.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−5.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.5%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.14% → 8%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−5.0%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+2.3%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in EUR, euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −7.1% a year for the price and +0.1% for the forecasts.
AI conclusion: Moderate brand presence in coffee is offset by low returns on capital and limited differentiation in packaged foods.
Main risk: Ongoing antitrust litigation against Keurig's single-serve pod system and related contracts with roasters could force changes to distribution or pricing that reduce margins on core packaged coffee products.
Bull case: Synergies from the Keurig integration and focused brand strategy could help defend single-serve margins by expanding premium offerings and optimizing supply chains against cheaper alternatives.
Bear case: Adverse rulings in the pod antitrust case combined with continued consumer shifts to cheaper formats might constrain distribution options and compress margins across the packaged coffee portfolio.
JDE Peet's packaged coffee brands now move deeper into integration with Keurig Dr Pepper after the latest court-ordered share transfers. Cost synergies and supply chain efficiencies are targeted while plans advance to carve out the global coffee operations as a separate entity. Our models see the business as undervalued. Will the added scale strengthen margins more than it risks slowing focused decision-making in a large beverage group?
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 625 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score60 · Above median
Fair Value upside+16.1% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)7.2% · Below median
Return on assets3.3% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)8.0% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)7.4% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)5.4% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months)2.5% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.62× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)18.4× · Pricier than median
P/B1.34× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
P/S (12 months)1.51× · Pricier than median
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)13.3× · Cheaper than median
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is JDE Peet's N.V (JDEPY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $19.73 versus a price of $17.00, about +16% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of JDEPY?
Our model-based fair value for JDE Peet's N.V is $19.73 (as of Nov 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $17.00.
What is the quality score of JDEPY?
JDE Peet's N.V has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for JDE Peet's N.V (JDEPY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $19.73 (as of Nov 9, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $15.37, optimistic scenario $28.58. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the JDE Peet's N.V stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $19.73, about +16% upside versus a price of $17.00 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $15.37, optimistic scenario $28.58. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of JDE Peet's N.V (JDEPY)?
JDE Peet's N.V reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €9.9B (latest available figure, as of Nov 9, 2026).
Does JDE Peet's N.V pay a dividend?
JDE Peet's N.V currently shows a dividend yield of 2.53% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 9, 2026).
How much is the dividend of JDE Peet's N.V (JDEPY)?
JDE Peet's N.V has a dividend yield of 2.5%. The payout ratio is 47.0% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 3.02 times. Our assessment: Well covered. A low payout and the dividend is fully funded by free cash flow, a comfortable, sustainable dividend.
What growth is priced into JDE Peet's N.V (JDEPY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, JDE Peet's N.V would have to grow free cash flow by -5.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +8.3 % per year. As of Nov 9, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of JDEPY use?
Our models discount JDE Peet's N.V at 8.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.08, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For JDE Peet's N.V that is -5.0 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (8.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has JDE Peet's N.V (JDEPY) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at JDE Peet's N.V grew +8.3 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of -5.0 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of JDE Peet's N.V (JDEPY) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.0 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into JDE Peet's N.V (-5.0 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of JDE Peet's N.V (JDEPY)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 15.31 %: that much free cash flow JDE Peet's N.V produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of JDE Peet's N.V (JDEPY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For JDE Peet's N.V it is $19.73 per share (as of Nov 9, 2026), against a price of $17.00. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models in 7 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is JDE Peet's N.V stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 9, 2026, JDEPY trades below its calculated fair value: price $17.00, fair value $19.73, a gap of about +16% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of JDEPY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($17.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($19.73). For JDE Peet's N.V the two are $2.73 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is JDE Peet's N.V worth?
The market values JDE Peet's N.V at about $16.7B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 9, 2026). Per share that is $17.00; our models calculate a fair value of $19.73 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about JDEPY?
Our models span a range for JDE Peet's N.V: cautious scenario $15.37, base $19.73, optimistic $28.58 per share (as of Nov 9, 2026, price $17.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of JDEPY?
JDE Peet's N.V trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 18.4 (as of Nov 9, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $19.73 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.8, P/B 1.3, P/S 1.5, EV/EBITDA 19.0.
What is the PEG ratio of JDEPY?
The PEG ratio of JDE Peet's N.V is 1.76 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 9, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of JDE Peet's N.V (JDEPY)?
Balance-sheet figures for JDE Peet's N.V (as of Nov 9, 2026): return on equity 7.2%, debt of 0.62 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 60/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is JDEPY from its 52-week high?
JDE Peet's N.V trades at $17.00, about 13% below its 52-week high of $19.50 and 17% above the low of $14.55 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $19.73 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to JDE Peet's N.V?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, The Kraft Heinz Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is JDE Peet's N.V stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 9, 2026: price $17.00, calculated fair value $19.73 (+16%), Quality Score 60/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of JDEPY calculated?
We run JDE Peet's N.V through 24 models from 7 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $19.73 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. JDE Peet's N.V currently trades 14% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of JDE Peet's N.V (JDEPY)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $17.00. Our model-based fair value is $19.73, about +16% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with JDE Peet's N.V right now?
A fairly wide model range ($15.37 to $28.58) leaves room in how you read the outcome. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Key figures of JDE Peet's N.V
How large is the market capitalisation of JDE Peet's N.V (JDEPY)?
The market capitalisation of JDE Peet's N.V is $16.7B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of JDE Peet's N.V (JDEPY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of JDE Peet's N.V is 1.51 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of JDE Peet's N.V (JDEPY)?
Earnings per share at JDE Peet's N.V are $0.9100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 18.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of JDE Peet's N.V (JDEPY)?
The dividend yield of JDE Peet's N.V is 2.5% (payout 47.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of JDE Peet's N.V (JDEPY)?
The net margin of JDE Peet's N.V is 8.0% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of JDE Peet's N.V (JDEPY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of JDE Peet's N.V is 7.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of JDE Peet's N.V (JDEPY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of JDE Peet's N.V is 4.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of JDE Peet's N.V (JDEPY)?
The operating margin of JDE Peet's N.V is 7.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at JDE Peet's N.V (JDEPY)?
Revenue at JDE Peet's N.V is growing +5.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +6.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at JDE Peet's N.V (JDEPY)?
Earnings per share at JDE Peet's N.V are growing +96.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does JDE Peet's N.V (JDEPY) carry?
The net debt of JDE Peet's N.V is €6.2B (fiscal year 2019, ≈ 5.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch JDE Peet's N.V in the live analysis
One click puts JDE Peet's N.V on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 27,000+ stock screener.
Some data
Nov 9, 2026