Socionext Inc (SOCNF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 10, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Socionext Inc stock $6.10, price $10.48, that is 41.8% below the price, quality 57 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 16 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 11, 2026.
How to read this chart
23‑month range $7.41 – $14.98 · fair‑value band $4.27 – $7.93 · the $10.48 price screens above the $6.10 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 11, 2026.
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Socionext Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and sells system-on-chip (SoC), and solutions/services centering on SoC worldwide.
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It offers application specific standard products in the areas of radar sensor, servers, image processing, video processing, digital TV, digital signage, automotive, medical healthcare, HDMI module, and IoT communication.
The company also provides custom SoC solutions, as well as development support, subsystem service, IP macro service, design technology, and manufacturing technology package services. It serves the automotive, data center and networking, and smart devices/industrial sectors.
The company was incorporated in 2014 and is headquartered in Yokohama, Japan.
Stock analysis
Socionext Inc (SOCNF) currently trades at $10.48, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $6.10, 42% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $10.37 per share, and 3 of the 16 models we run sit above the $10.48 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $3.15, and 13 of the 16 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $4.27 (bear) to $7.93 (bull), the price of $10.48 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Socionext Inc reported revenue of ¥201B in FY2026 versus ¥117B in FY2022, a compound +14.5%/yr. Reported net income was ¥8.7B in FY2026, compounding +3.9%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap $2.5B Mid · P/E ratio 34.9 · P/S ratio 1.52 · EPS (TTM) $0.3000 · Dividend yield 3.0% · Net margin 4.3% · Return on equity 6.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 11.9% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 45 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high and below its previous 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −17% fair-value upside, at −42%, SOCNF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$4.27Fair Value $6.10Bull$7.93
Price $10.48 · Downside -41.8%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+6.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.0%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
’26
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in JPY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+16.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+13.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.0%
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.2% → 6%
AI conclusion: Revenue growth from design wins in custom data-center SoCs forms the key strength, yet absent clear moat signals and elevated R&D spending limit visibility on sustained profitability.
Main risk: Sustained high R&D investment for advanced process nodes from multiple foundries risks continued pressure on profitability if leading-edge designs fail to deliver offsetting margin gains.
Socionext designs custom SoCs for datacenters and other demanding applications using advanced process nodes from multiple foundries. Recent results show revenue growth from design wins and production ramps, yet higher R&D and other costs have weighed on profitability. Our models see it as overvalued. Will the shift to leading-edge technologies expand margins enough to offset ongoing investment needs?
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electrical Equipment & Parts · 588 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/12 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score57 · Above median
Fair Value upside−41.8% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)6.3% · Above median
Return on assets5.2% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)3.9% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)3.9% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)14.7% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months)3.0% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Electrical Equipment & Parts median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)34.9× · Pricier than median
P/B2.21× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months)1.38× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA12.0× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)74· sector 67
PAST (return on equity)25· sector 25
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)60· sector 23
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Socionext Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SOCNF
Frequently asked questions
Is Socionext Inc (SOCNF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 11, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $6.10 versus a price of $10.48, about 42% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SOCNF?
Our model-based fair value for Socionext Inc is $6.10 (as of Nov 11, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $10.48.
What is the quality score of SOCNF?
Socionext Inc has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Socionext Inc (SOCNF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $6.10 (as of Nov 11, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario $4.27, optimistic scenario $7.93. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Socionext Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $6.10, about 42% lower versus a price of $10.48 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $4.27, optimistic scenario $7.93. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Socionext Inc (SOCNF)?
Socionext Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥213B (latest available figure, as of Nov 11, 2026).
Does Socionext Inc pay a dividend?
Socionext Inc currently shows a dividend yield of 2.99% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 11, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Socionext Inc (SOCNF) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Socionext Inc pays a dividend of $0.313 per share a year, a dividend yield of 3.0%. The next ex-dividend date is Mar 30, 2027. The payout ratio is 100% of earnings. Our assessment: Pays more than it earns. The company pays out more in dividends than it earns, and free cash flow clearly does not cover the dividend either. It may need to be cut unless profits recover.
What is the intrinsic value of Socionext Inc (SOCNF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Socionext Inc it is $6.10 per share (as of Nov 11, 2026), against a price of $10.48. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models in 6 families (Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Socionext Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 11, 2026, SOCNF trades above its calculated fair value: price $10.48, fair value $6.10, a gap of about −42% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SOCNF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($10.48); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($6.10). For Socionext Inc the two are $4.38 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Socionext Inc worth?
The market values Socionext Inc at about $2.5B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 11, 2026). Per share that is $10.48; our models calculate a fair value of $6.10 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SOCNF?
Our models span a range for Socionext Inc: cautious scenario $4.27, base $6.10, optimistic $7.93 per share (as of Nov 11, 2026, price $10.48). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SOCNF?
Socionext Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 34.9 (as of Nov 11, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $6.10 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.2, P/S 1.4, EV/EBITDA 12.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of Socionext Inc (SOCNF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Socionext Inc (as of Nov 11, 2026): return on equity 6.3%. They feed the Quality Score of 57/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SOCNF from its 52-week high?
Socionext Inc trades at $10.48, about 42% below its 52-week high of $18.02 and below the previous low of $10.55 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $6.10 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Socionext Inc?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Contemporary Amperex Technology Co, ABB Ltd, Vertiv Holdings, Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Socionext Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 11, 2026: price $10.48, calculated fair value $6.10 (−42%), Quality Score 57/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SOCNF calculated?
We run Socionext Inc through 16 models from 6 families: Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $6.10 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0% above its aggregate fair value. Socionext Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Socionext Inc (SOCNF)?
The closing price on Nov 10, 2026 was $10.48. Our model-based fair value is $6.10, about 42% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Socionext Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($7.93). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($4.27 to $7.93) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Socionext Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Socionext Inc (SOCNF)?
The market capitalisation of Socionext Inc is $2.5B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Socionext Inc (SOCNF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Socionext Inc is 1.52 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Socionext Inc (SOCNF)?
Earnings per share at Socionext Inc are $0.3000 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 34.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Socionext Inc (SOCNF)?
The dividend yield of Socionext Inc is 3.0% (payout 104%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Socionext Inc (SOCNF)?
The net margin of Socionext Inc is 4.3% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Socionext Inc (SOCNF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Socionext Inc is 6.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Socionext Inc (SOCNF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Socionext Inc is 11.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Socionext Inc (SOCNF)?
The operating margin of Socionext Inc is 3.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Socionext Inc (SOCNF)?
Revenue at Socionext Inc is growing +14.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +1.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Socionext Inc (SOCNF)?
Earnings per share at Socionext Inc are growing +31.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Socionext Inc (SOCNF) generate?
The free cash flow of Socionext Inc is −¥15.2B (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
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Nov 11, 2026