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Socionext Inc (SOCNF) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $2.7B

SI Socionext Inc logo Socionext Inc SOCNF · US
Price$13.69
Fair Value$14.56
Upside+6.4%
Quality61/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 4.4% net margin
generates free cash flow
2.01% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (7/10)
Moderate moat 47/100
Evidence: High Range $10.92 – $18.20 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

Share price −12.3% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Our model range runs from $10.92 (bear) to $18.20 (bull), base $14.56. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 61/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (19 months)

$20.24 $10.01 Fair Value $14.56 Dec 2024 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

19‑month range $10.01 – $20.24 · fair‑value band $10.92 – $18.20 · the $13.69 price screens below the $14.56 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

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Analysis

Socionext Inc (SOCNF) currently trades at $13.69, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $14.56, implying the stock looks roughly 6.4% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Socionext Inc generated revenue of $201B at a net margin of 4.4%. Revenue grew 35.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.5%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 50.3. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $10.92 (bear case) to $18.20 (bull case); at $13.69, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 37% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at 6%, SOCNF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $9.21 $14.05 $21.91 72
Growth-Adj P/E $9.50 $13.57 $17.64 68
Rev-Margin DCF $10.13 $16.16 $24.04 67
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $9.30 $14.70 $23.89 38
Owner Earnings $11.05 $17.85 $29.42 31
5Y Revenue Exit $10.13 $16.37 $24.96 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $13.60 $23.60 $36.39 41
5Y P/E Exit $11.56 $19.33 $28.37 38
10Y Revenue Exit $9.51 $15.28 $24.37 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $12.04 $20.50 $33.83 37
10Y P/E Exit $10.70 $17.42 $27.19 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $4.71 $22.82 $31.43 54
Lynch FV $6.11 $8.72 $11.34 50
PEG = 1.0 $6.11 $8.72 $11.34 46
EPV $8.93 $9.93 $10.80 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $10.92 $14.56 $18.20 63
P/S Multiple $8.84 $11.79 $14.73 58
P/B Multiple $8.84 $11.79 $14.73 55
EV/EBIT $13.85 $17.61 $21.37 53
EV/EBITDA $16.80 $21.54 $26.28 54
EV/Revenue $10.62 $14.07 $17.52 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $2.42 $3.25 $4.85 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $9.21 $14.05 $21.91 72
Rev-Margin DCF $10.13 $16.16 $24.04 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income $4.69 $5.91 $14.22 61
ROIC Compounder $9.73 $11.91 $14.56 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $9.50 $13.57 $17.64 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($17.42) versus Asset-Based ($3.25). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (72).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $201B
Revenue growth (YoY) +35.6%
Net margin 4.4%
Return on equity 6.5%
Free cash flow $15.3B FY2025
P/E ratio 50.3
More key figures
Operating margin 8.8%
EPS (TTM) $0.3100
Dividend yield 2.0%
EPS growth (YoY) +28.2%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 61/100

Of which business quality 65 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 53

Profitability 72
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 34
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 51
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 99
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 41
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 46
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 56
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 55
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 75
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Socionext Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and sells system-on-chip (SoC), and solutions/services centering on SoC worldwide. It offers application specific standard products in the areas of radar sensor, servers, image processing, video processing, digital TV, digital signage, automotive, medical healthcare, HDMI module, and IoT communication.

Full company description

Socionext Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and sells system-on-chip (SoC), and solutions/services centering on SoC worldwide. It offers application specific standard products in the areas of radar sensor, servers, image processing, video processing, digital TV, digital signage, automotive, medical healthcare, HDMI module, and IoT communication. The company also provides custom SoC solutions, as well as development support, subsystem service, IP macro service, design technology, and manufacturing technology package services. It serves the automotive, data center and networking, and smart devices/industrial sectors. The company was incorporated in 2014 and is headquartered in Yokohama, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Socionext Inc reported revenue of $189B in FY2025 versus $99.7B in FY2021, a compound +17.3%/yr. Reported net income was $19.6B in FY2025, compounding +91.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 84/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$189B
Latest YoY
−14.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+17.2%
Revenue +17.3%/yr
FY21 $99.7B
FY22 $117B
FY23 $193B
FY24 $221B
FY25 $189B
Net income +91.1%/yr
FY21 $1.5B
FY22 $7.5B
FY23 $19.8B
FY24 $26.1B
FY25 $19.6B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Socionext Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SOCNF

Peer Group

Electrical Equipment & Parts · 528 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 61 · Above median
Fair Value upside +6% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Below median
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 9% · Above median
Revenue growth 36% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.0% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Electrical Equipment & Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 50.3× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 42 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 57
PAST 26 · sector 26
HEALTH 0 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 40 · sector 18

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Electrical Equipment & Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Contemporary Amperex Technology Co 3750 HK$675.50 HK$391.44 -42%
ABB Ltd ABBN CHF 83.82 CHF 35.46 -58%
Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company TDED 10.16 SGD 1.47 SGD -86%
LG Energy Solution, Ltd 373220 334,000 KRW 201,455 KRW -40%
WEG S.A WEGE3 13,210 ARS 7,948 ARS -40%
Sungrow Power Supply Co 300274 ¥114.79 ¥123.83 +8%
Shenzhen Inovance Technology Co 300124 ¥63.43 ¥33.04 -48%
HD Hyundai Electric Co 267260 823,000 KRW 371,133 KRW -55%
LS ELECTRIC Co 010120 190,000 KRW 31,517 KRW -83%
Sieyuan Electric Co 002028 ¥151.73 ¥71.69 -53%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Socionext Inc (SOCNF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $14.56 versus a price of $13.69, about +6% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of SOCNF?
Our model-based fair value for Socionext Inc is $14.56 (as of Jul 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $13.69.
What is the quality score of SOCNF?
Socionext Inc has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Socionext Inc (SOCNF)?
Socionext Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $201B (latest available figure, as of Jul 21, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SOCNF?
The net profit margin of Socionext Inc is about 4.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Socionext Inc pay a dividend?
Socionext Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.01% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 21, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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