Socionext Inc (SOCNF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Socionext Inc $16.26, price $14.00, upside +16.1%, quality 61 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Watch Socionext Inc for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card.Watch for freePro now: $1 first month
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
21‑month range $10.01 – $20.24 · fair‑value band $11.38 – $24.66 · the $14.00 price screens below the $16.26 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Follow Socionext in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether Socionext is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Socionext Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and sells system-on-chip (SoC), and solutions/services centering on SoC worldwide. It offers application specific standard products in the areas of radar sensor, servers, image processing, video processing, digital TV, digital signage, automotive, medical healthcare, HDMI module, and IoT communication.
Show more
Socionext Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and sells system-on-chip (SoC), and solutions/services centering on SoC worldwide. It offers application specific standard products in the areas of radar sensor, servers, image processing, video processing, digital TV, digital signage, automotive, medical healthcare, HDMI module, and IoT communication. The company also provides custom SoC solutions, as well as development support, subsystem service, IP macro service, design technology, and manufacturing technology package services. It serves the automotive, data center and networking, and smart devices/industrial sectors. The company was incorporated in 2014 and is headquartered in Yokohama, Japan.
Stock analysis
Socionext Inc (SOCNF) currently trades at $14.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $16.26, implying the stock looks roughly 13.9% undervalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $18.14 per share, and 16 of the 24 models we run sit above the $14.00 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $3.30, and 8 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $11.38 (bear) to $24.66 (bull), the price of $14.00 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Socionext Inc reported revenue of ¥189B in FY2025 versus ¥99.7B in FY2021, a compound +17.3%/yr. Reported net income was ¥19.6B in FY2025, compounding +91.1%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
Key figures
Market cap $2.7B · P/E ratio 45.2 · P/S ratio 4.69 · EPS (TTM) $0.3100 · Dividend yield 2.0% · Net margin 10.4% · Return on equity 6.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 31% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −36% fair-value upside, at 16%, SOCNF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $11.38Fair Value $16.26Bull $24.66
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.84/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−14.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.2%
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in JPY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+68.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+66.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.0%
Profit margin 2021 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.2% → 13%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+7.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+12.8%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in JPY, Japan: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +5.7% a year for the price and +10.4% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electrical Equipment & Parts · 550 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score61 · Above median
Fair Value upside+16% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)6% · Below median
Return on assets5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)9% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth36% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)2.0% · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Electrical Equipment & Parts median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Socionext Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SOCNF
Frequently asked questions
Is Socionext Inc (SOCNF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $16.26 versus a price of $14.00, about +16% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SOCNF?
Our model-based fair value for Socionext Inc is $16.26 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $14.00.
What is the quality score of SOCNF?
Socionext Inc has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Socionext Inc (SOCNF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $16.26 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $11.38, optimistic scenario $24.66. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Socionext Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $16.26, about +16% upside versus a price of $14.00 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $11.38, optimistic scenario $24.66. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Socionext Inc (SOCNF)?
Socionext Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥201B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Socionext Inc pay a dividend?
Socionext Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.01% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Socionext Inc (SOCNF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Socionext Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +7.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 4 years revenue grew +17.3 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SOCNF use?
Our models discount Socionext Inc at 8.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.60, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Socionext Inc that is +7.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Socionext Inc (SOCNF) delivered so far?
Over the past 4 years revenue at Socionext Inc grew +17.3 % a year. The price currently implies +7.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Socionext Inc (SOCNF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Socionext Inc (+7.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Socionext Inc (SOCNF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.88 %: that much free cash flow Socionext Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Socionext Inc (SOCNF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Socionext Inc it is $16.26 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $14.00. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Socionext Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, SOCNF trades below its calculated fair value: price $14.00, fair value $16.26, a gap of about +16% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SOCNF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($14.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($16.26). For Socionext Inc the two are $2.26 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Socionext Inc worth?
The market values Socionext Inc at about $2.7B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $14.00; our models calculate a fair value of $16.26 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SOCNF?
Our models span a range for Socionext Inc: cautious scenario $11.38, base $16.26, optimistic $24.66 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $14.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SOCNF?
Socionext Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 45.2 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $16.26 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 3.2, P/S 2.2, EV/EBITDA 12.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Socionext Inc (SOCNF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Socionext Inc (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 6.5%. They feed the Quality Score of 61/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SOCNF from its 52-week high?
Socionext Inc trades at $14.00, about 31% below its 52-week high of $20.24 and 31% above the low of $10.67 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $16.26 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Socionext Inc?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Contemporary Amperex Technology Co, ABB Ltd, Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company, Vertiv Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Socionext Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $14.00, calculated fair value $16.26 (+16%), Quality Score 61/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SOCNF calculated?
We run Socionext Inc through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $16.26, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Socionext Inc currently trades 16 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Socionext Inc (SOCNF)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $14.00. Our model-based fair value is $16.26, about +16% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Socionext Inc right now?
A fairly wide model range ($11.38 to $24.66) leaves room in how you read the outcome. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Key figures of Socionext Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Socionext Inc (SOCNF)?
The market capitalisation of Socionext Inc is $2.7B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Socionext Inc (SOCNF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Socionext Inc is 4.69 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Socionext Inc (SOCNF)?
Earnings per share at Socionext Inc are $0.3100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 45.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Socionext Inc (SOCNF)?
The dividend yield of Socionext Inc is 2.0% (payout 90.8%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Socionext Inc (SOCNF)?
The net margin of Socionext Inc is 10.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Socionext Inc (SOCNF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Socionext Inc is 6.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Socionext Inc (SOCNF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Socionext Inc is 10.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Socionext Inc (SOCNF)?
The operating margin of Socionext Inc is 8.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Socionext Inc (SOCNF)?
Revenue at Socionext Inc is growing +35.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +17.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Socionext Inc (SOCNF)?
Earnings per share at Socionext Inc are growing +28.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
Free · no account needed
Watch Socionext Inc in the live analysis
One click puts Socionext Inc on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
Broad data
Sep 24, 2026