Shenzhen Boshijie Technology Co., Ltd. (301608) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 10, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Shenzhen Boshijie Technology Co., Ltd. stock ¥47.40, price ¥52.71, that is 10.1% below the price, quality 52 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 11, 2026.
How to read this chart
27‑month range ¥30.21 – ¥74.67 · fair‑value band ¥31.00 – ¥66.10 · the ¥52.71 price screens above the ¥47.40 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 11, 2026.
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Shenzhen Boshijie Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, design, production, and sale of intelligent hardware products for the Internet of Things in China.
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It offers smart payment hardware; smart sleep terminals; electronic student ID cards; smart wearable watches; portable error correction printers; pet tracker; security cameras; passenger car on board terminals; commercial vehicle terminals; GPS tracker; wireless communication modules; AI dashcam and MDVR; smart fleet accessories; and IoT locks.
In addition, it provides fleet management software. The company's products are used in cold-chain transportation, mining-truck, mining truck, oil and gas delivery, small van, public bus, school bus, and logistics and trucking applications.
Shenzhen Boshijie Technology Co., Ltd. was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, China.
Stock analysis
Shenzhen Boshijie Technology Co., Ltd. (301608) currently trades at ¥52.71, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥47.40, 10% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥41.91 per share, and 3 of the 26 models we run sit above the ¥52.71 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥7.27, and 23 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ¥31.00 (bear) to ¥66.10 (bull), the price of ¥52.71 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Shenzhen Boshijie Technology Co., Ltd. reported revenue of 1.7B CNY in FY2025 versus 1.3B CNY in FY2021, a compound +6.4%/yr. Reported net income was 235M CNY in FY2025, compounding +4.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 7.0B CNY (≈ $1.0B) Small · P/E ratio 27.9 · P/S ratio 3.73 · EPS (TTM) ¥1.89 · Dividend yield 0.6% · Net margin 13.1% · Return on equity 11.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 14.2% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 63 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 29% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −13% fair-value upside, at −10%, 301608 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear¥31.00Fair Value ¥47.40Bull¥66.10
Price ¥52.71 · Downside -10.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥1.37 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF¥26.19¥39.04¥67.9276
Residual Income¥13.67¥14.99¥17.9076
Growth DCF¥25.55¥39.61¥58.8175
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF¥26.19¥39.04¥67.9276
Owner Earnings¥27.90¥45.17¥73.9772
5Y Revenue Exit¥24.52¥38.77¥58.8869
5Y EBITDA Exit¥25.44¥40.80¥60.9572
5Y P/E Exit¥30.83¥52.76¥79.4467
10Y Revenue Exit¥24.37¥37.67¥59.6663
10Y EBITDA Exit¥25.43¥39.07¥61.3365
10Y P/E Exit¥28.75¥47.29¥76.2860
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd¥12.04¥70.48¥98.1163
Lynch FV¥19.96¥28.52¥37.0761
PEG = 1.0¥19.96¥28.52¥37.0757
EPV¥19.87¥21.51¥22.8770
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM¥4.28¥7.56¥10.2468
DDM Multi-Stage¥4.28¥6.98¥8.0967
Multiples
P/E Multiple¥27.88¥37.17¥46.4763
P/S Multiple¥19.36¥25.82¥32.2758
P/B Multiple¥53.84¥71.78¥89.7355
EV/EBIT¥29.81¥37.37¥44.9363
EV/EBITDA¥26.00¥32.30¥38.5964
EV/Revenue¥23.31¥30.25¥37.1952
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)¥8.41¥12.75¥15.9452
Growth DCF
Growth DCF¥25.55¥39.61¥58.8175
Rev-Margin DCF¥24.52¥38.25¥57.4169
Economic Profit
Residual Income¥13.67¥14.99¥17.9076
ROIC Compounder¥21.39¥25.87¥31.7270
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E¥29.33¥41.91¥54.4867
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.86/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+22.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.8%
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−7.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−7.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.6%
Per share before 2026divided by the spin-off factor 1.49
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.14% → 14%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+17.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
Calculated on free cash flow for fiscal year 2025. Over the last twelve months it was negative, so the figure above is uncertain.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +15.5% a year for the price.
Compare Shenzhen Boshijie Technology Co., Ltd. with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electrical Equipment & Parts · 589 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score52 · Above median
Fair Value upside−10.1% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)11.2% · Above median
Return on assets8.2% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)13.1% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)16.2% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)12.8% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months)0.6% · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Electrical Equipment & Parts median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)27.9× · Pricier than median
P/B3.22× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months)3.73× · Pricier than median
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)31.7× · Pricier than median
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Is Shenzhen Boshijie Technology Co., Ltd. (301608) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 11, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥47.40 versus a price of ¥52.71, about 10% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 301608?
Our model-based fair value for Shenzhen Boshijie Technology Co., Ltd. is ¥47.40 (as of Nov 11, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥52.71.
What is the quality score of 301608?
Shenzhen Boshijie Technology Co., Ltd. has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Shenzhen Boshijie Technology Co., Ltd. (301608)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥47.40 (as of Nov 11, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥31.00, optimistic scenario ¥66.10. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Shenzhen Boshijie Technology Co., Ltd. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥47.40, about 10% lower versus a price of ¥52.71 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥31.00, optimistic scenario ¥66.10. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Shenzhen Boshijie Technology Co., Ltd. (301608)?
Shenzhen Boshijie Technology Co., Ltd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.9B CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 11, 2026).
Does Shenzhen Boshijie Technology Co., Ltd. pay a dividend?
Shenzhen Boshijie Technology Co., Ltd. currently shows a dividend yield of 0.57% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 11, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Shenzhen Boshijie Technology Co., Ltd. (301608) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Shenzhen Boshijie Technology Co., Ltd. pays a dividend of ¥0.302 per share a year, a dividend yield of 0.6%. The last ex-dividend date was Sep 4, 2026. The payout ratio is 16.0% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 5.51 times. Our assessment: Well covered. A low payout and the dividend is fully funded by free cash flow, a comfortable, sustainable dividend.
What growth is priced into Shenzhen Boshijie Technology Co., Ltd. (301608)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Shenzhen Boshijie Technology Co., Ltd. would have to grow free cash flow by +17.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +10.2 % per year. Calculated on free cash flow for fiscal year 2025. Over the last twelve months it was negative, so the figure above is uncertain. As of Nov 11, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 301608 use?
Our models discount Shenzhen Boshijie Technology Co., Ltd. at 11.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.82, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Shenzhen Boshijie Technology Co., Ltd. that is +17.4 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (11.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Shenzhen Boshijie Technology Co., Ltd. (301608) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Shenzhen Boshijie Technology Co., Ltd. grew +10.2 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +17.4 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Shenzhen Boshijie Technology Co., Ltd. (301608) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Shenzhen Boshijie Technology Co., Ltd. (+17.4 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Shenzhen Boshijie Technology Co., Ltd. (301608)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.16 % in the last fiscal year (free cash flow was negative over the last twelve months): that much free cash flow Shenzhen Boshijie Technology Co., Ltd. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Shenzhen Boshijie Technology Co., Ltd. (301608)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Shenzhen Boshijie Technology Co., Ltd. it is ¥47.40 per share (as of Nov 11, 2026), against a price of ¥52.71. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Shenzhen Boshijie Technology Co., Ltd. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 11, 2026, 301608 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥52.71, fair value ¥47.40, a gap of about −10% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 301608?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥52.71); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥47.40). For Shenzhen Boshijie Technology Co., Ltd. the two are ¥5.31 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Shenzhen Boshijie Technology Co., Ltd. worth?
The market values Shenzhen Boshijie Technology Co., Ltd. at about 7.0B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 11, 2026). Per share that is ¥52.71; our models calculate a fair value of ¥47.40 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 301608?
Our models span a range for Shenzhen Boshijie Technology Co., Ltd.: cautious scenario ¥31.00, base ¥47.40, optimistic ¥66.10 per share (as of Nov 11, 2026, price ¥52.71). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 301608?
Shenzhen Boshijie Technology Co., Ltd. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 27.9 (as of Nov 11, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥47.40 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 3.2, P/S 3.7, EV/EBITDA 20.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Shenzhen Boshijie Technology Co., Ltd. (301608)?
Balance-sheet figures for Shenzhen Boshijie Technology Co., Ltd. (as of Nov 11, 2026): return on equity 11.2%. They feed the Quality Score of 52/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 301608 from its 52-week high?
Shenzhen Boshijie Technology Co., Ltd. trades at ¥52.71, about 24% below its 52-week high of ¥69.25 and 29% above the low of ¥40.94 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥47.40 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Shenzhen Boshijie Technology Co., Ltd.?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Contemporary Amperex Technology Co, ABB Ltd, Vertiv Holdings, Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Shenzhen Boshijie Technology Co., Ltd. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 11, 2026: price ¥52.71, calculated fair value ¥47.40 (−10%), Quality Score 52/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 301608 calculated?
We run Shenzhen Boshijie Technology Co., Ltd. through 26 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of ¥47.40 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.2% above its aggregate fair value. Shenzhen Boshijie Technology Co., Ltd. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Shenzhen Boshijie Technology Co., Ltd. (301608)?
The closing price on Nov 10, 2026 was ¥52.71. Our model-based fair value is ¥47.40, about 10% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Shenzhen Boshijie Technology Co., Ltd. right now?
A fairly wide model range (¥31.00 to ¥66.10) leaves room in how you read the outcome. The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Key figures of Shenzhen Boshijie Technology Co., Ltd.
How large is the market capitalisation of Shenzhen Boshijie Technology Co., Ltd. (301608)?
The market capitalisation of Shenzhen Boshijie Technology Co., Ltd. is 7.0B CNY (≈ $1.0B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Shenzhen Boshijie Technology Co., Ltd. (301608)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Shenzhen Boshijie Technology Co., Ltd. is 3.73 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Shenzhen Boshijie Technology Co., Ltd. (301608)?
Earnings per share at Shenzhen Boshijie Technology Co., Ltd. are ¥1.89 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 27.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Shenzhen Boshijie Technology Co., Ltd. (301608)?
The dividend yield of Shenzhen Boshijie Technology Co., Ltd. is 0.6% (payout 16.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Shenzhen Boshijie Technology Co., Ltd. (301608)?
The net margin of Shenzhen Boshijie Technology Co., Ltd. is 13.1% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Shenzhen Boshijie Technology Co., Ltd. (301608)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Shenzhen Boshijie Technology Co., Ltd. is 11.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Shenzhen Boshijie Technology Co., Ltd. (301608)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Shenzhen Boshijie Technology Co., Ltd. is 14.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Shenzhen Boshijie Technology Co., Ltd. (301608)?
The operating margin of Shenzhen Boshijie Technology Co., Ltd. is 16.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Shenzhen Boshijie Technology Co., Ltd. (301608)?
Revenue at Shenzhen Boshijie Technology Co., Ltd. is growing +12.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +12.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Shenzhen Boshijie Technology Co., Ltd. (301608)?
Earnings per share at Shenzhen Boshijie Technology Co., Ltd. are growing −7.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Shenzhen Boshijie Technology Co., Ltd. (301608) hold?
Shenzhen Boshijie Technology Co., Ltd. holds more cash than debt, 945M CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Broad data
Nov 11, 2026