Albany International Corporation (AIN) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Albany International Corporation stock $24.93, price $67.28, that is 62.9% below the price, quality 50 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 10 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 4, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $40.60 – $107.60 · fair‑value band $14.87 – $35.93 · the $67.28 price screens above the $24.93 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 4, 2026.
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Albany International Corp., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the machine clothing and engineered composites businesses in the United States, Switzerland, France, Brazil, China, Mexico, Germany, and internationally.
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The company operates through two segments: Machine Clothing (MC) and Albany Engineered Composites (AEC). The MC segment designs, manufactures, and markets paper machine clothing for use in the manufacturing of papers, paperboard, tissues, towels, pulps, building products, tannery, and textiles, as well as nonwovens, fiber cement, and several other industrial applications.
This segment offers paper machine clothing forming, pressing, and drying fabrics, as well as processing belts; and engineered fabrics. Its AEC segment 3D-woven and injected composite components for aircraft engines composite airframe and engine components for military and commercial aircraft.
The company sells its products to commercial and defense markets, space-launch vehicles and the emerging advanced air mobility market, as well as to customer end-users. Albany International Corp. was incorporated in 1895 and is headquartered in Portsmouth, New Hampshire.
Stock analysis
Albany International Corporation (AIN) currently trades at $67.28, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $24.93, 63% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $26.75 per share, and 0 of the 10 models we run sit above the $67.28 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $12.81, and 10 of the 10 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $14.87 (bear) to $35.93 (bull), the price of $67.28 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 1999: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 1999.
Albany International Corporation reported revenue of $1.2B in FY2025 versus $929M in FY2021, a compound +6.2%/yr. Reported net income was −$57.3M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $1.9B Small · P/S ratio 1.51 · EPS (TTM) $3.04 · Dividend yield 1.6% · Net margin −4.8% · Return on equity −6.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.7% (5-year average) · Operating margin 11.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 66% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at −63%, AIN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$14.87Fair Value $24.93Bull$35.93
Price $67.28 · Downside -62.9%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then ($1.66 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
In the last 6 months, no officer or director bought or sold shares on the open market.
BuyGunnar KlevelandPresident and CEO, Director2,300 shares at $42.04$96,692Nov 17, 2025
Plus 9 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.55/100
Spin-off in 1999: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 1999.
Revenue growth 1 year
−3.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.2% a year
Revenue growth 26 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.6%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
18.4% (2020) → −1.4% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+20.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+6.4%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +17.8% a year for the price and +3.9% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (97 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.
Compare Albany International Corporation with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Textile Manufacturing · 338 stocks
Beats the industry median on 1/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score50 · Below median
Fair Value upside−62.9% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−3.3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)−4.2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)11.7% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)5.8% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months)1.6% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.63× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Textile Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper
P/B2.65× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months)1.57× · Pricier than median
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)23.3× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA37.6× · Priciest 25%
PEG1.44× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 10
FUTURE (revenue growth)29· sector 37
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 18
HEALTH (low debt)69· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)33· sector 37
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Albany International Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AIN
Frequently asked questions
Is Albany International Corporation (AIN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $24.93 versus a price of $67.28, about 63% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AIN?
Our model-based fair value for Albany International Corporation is $24.93 (as of Nov 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $67.28.
What is the quality score of AIN?
Albany International Corporation has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Albany International Corporation (AIN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $24.93 (as of Nov 4, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario $14.87, optimistic scenario $35.93. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Albany International Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $24.93, about 63% lower versus a price of $67.28 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $14.87, optimistic scenario $35.93. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Albany International Corporation (AIN)?
Albany International Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.2B (latest available figure, as of Nov 4, 2026).
Does Albany International Corporation pay a dividend?
Albany International Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of 1.65% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 4, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Albany International Corporation (AIN) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Albany International Corporation pays a dividend of $1.11 per share a year, a dividend yield of 1.6%. The last ex-dividend date was Sep 1, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since 2001. The payout ratio is 36.5% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 2.62 times. Our assessment: Well covered. A low payout and the dividend is fully funded by free cash flow, a comfortable, sustainable dividend.
What growth is priced into Albany International Corporation (AIN)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Albany International Corporation would have to grow free cash flow by +20.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +5.6 % per year. As of Nov 4, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of AIN use?
Our models discount Albany International Corporation at 11.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 1.17, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Albany International Corporation that is +20.6 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (11.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Albany International Corporation (AIN) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Albany International Corporation grew +5.6 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +20.6 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Albany International Corporation (AIN) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Albany International Corporation (+20.6 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Albany International Corporation (AIN)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.30 %: that much free cash flow Albany International Corporation produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Albany International Corporation (AIN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Albany International Corporation it is $24.93 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026), against a price of $67.28. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models in 4 families (DCF Models, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF).
Is Albany International Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 4, 2026, AIN trades above its calculated fair value: price $67.28, fair value $24.93, a gap of about −63% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AIN?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($67.28); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($24.93). For Albany International Corporation the two are $42.35 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Albany International Corporation worth?
The market values Albany International Corporation at about $1.9B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 4, 2026). Per share that is $67.28; our models calculate a fair value of $24.93 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AIN?
Our models span a range for Albany International Corporation: cautious scenario $14.87, base $24.93, optimistic $35.93 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026, price $67.28). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of AIN?
The PEG ratio of Albany International Corporation is 1.44 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 4, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Albany International Corporation (AIN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Albany International Corporation (as of Nov 4, 2026): return on equity −6.1%, debt of 0.63 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 50/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AIN from its 52-week high?
Albany International Corporation trades at $67.28, about 11% below its 52-week high of $75.90 and 66% above the low of $40.60 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $24.93 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Albany International Corporation?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Tongkun Group, Shenzhou International Group, Inner Mongolia ERDOS Resources Co, Far Eastern New Century Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Albany International Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 4, 2026: price $67.28, calculated fair value $24.93 (−63%), Quality Score 50/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AIN calculated?
We run Albany International Corporation through 10 models from 4 families: DCF Models, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $24.93 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Albany International Corporation itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Albany International Corporation (AIN)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $67.28. Our model-based fair value is $24.93, about 63% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Albany International Corporation right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($35.93). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($14.87 to $35.93) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Albany International Corporation (AIN) come from?
Earnings per share at Albany International Corporation grew +8.6 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +6.0 %, EBIT margin +2.5 %, tax rate −0.8 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.7 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Albany International Corporation
How large is the market capitalisation of Albany International Corporation (AIN)?
The market capitalisation of Albany International Corporation is $1.9B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Albany International Corporation (AIN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Albany International Corporation is 1.51 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Albany International Corporation (AIN)?
Earnings per share at Albany International Corporation are $3.04. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Albany International Corporation (AIN)?
The dividend yield of Albany International Corporation is 1.6% (payout 36.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Albany International Corporation (AIN)?
The net margin of Albany International Corporation is −4.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Albany International Corporation (AIN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Albany International Corporation is −6.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Albany International Corporation (AIN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Albany International Corporation is 7.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Albany International Corporation (AIN)?
The operating margin of Albany International Corporation is 11.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Albany International Corporation (AIN)?
Revenue at Albany International Corporation is growing +5.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +4.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Albany International Corporation (AIN)?
Earnings per share at Albany International Corporation are growing +98.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Albany International Corporation (AIN) carry?
The net debt of Albany International Corporation is $343M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 4.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Some data
Nov 4, 2026