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Albany International Corp (AIN) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $2.0B

AI Albany International Corp logo Albany International Corp AIN · US
Price$62.71
Fair Value$18.40
Upside-70.7%
Quality50/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -4.9% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
1.56% dividend yield
Trails peers (2/14)
Narrow moat 28/100
Evidence: Medium Range $10.77 – $26.03 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026

From 12 valuation models · updated 27 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 14, 2026, revised from $19.60 to $18.40 (−6.1%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −12.1% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 71% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($26.03). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range ($10.77 to $26.03) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$108.14 $40.80 Fair Value $18.40 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $40.80 – $108.14 · fair‑value band $10.77 – $26.03 · the $62.71 price screens above the $18.40 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

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Analysis

Albany International Corp (AIN) currently trades at $62.71, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $18.40, implying the stock looks roughly 70.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Albany International Corp generated revenue of $1.2B at a net margin of -4.9%. Revenue grew 7.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -7.2%. Net debt stands at $343M. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $10.77 (bear case) to $26.03 (bull case); at $62.71, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 55% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -71%, AIN screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $13.83 $21.46 $30.38 80
Rev-Margin DCF $12.91 $24.97 $37.70 74
Gordon GGM $8.90 $12.85 $16.54 70
All 12 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $13.33 $21.62 $31.70 38
5Y Revenue Exit $12.91 $24.57 $38.73 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $10.12 $19.67 $30.07 41
10Y Revenue Exit $12.23 $21.97 $33.64 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $11.26 $18.96 $27.94 37
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $8.90 $12.85 $16.54 70
DDM Multi-Stage $8.90 $12.12 $15.31 61
Multiples
EV/EBITDA $10.77 $18.40 $26.03 54
EV/Revenue $14.42 $25.78 $37.15 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $12.81 $17.16 $25.61 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $13.83 $21.46 $30.38 80
Rev-Margin DCF $12.91 $24.97 $37.70 74

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($21.62) versus Dividend Discount ($12.12). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $1.2B
Revenue growth (YoY) +7.8%
Net margin -4.9%
Return on equity -7.2%
Free cash flow $82.6M FY2025
Operating margin 9.7%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-1.96
Dividend yield 1.6%
EPS growth (YoY) -3.6%
Net debt $343M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 50/100

Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 57

Profitability 16
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 5
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 41
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 62
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 90
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 46
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 62
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 61
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Albany International Corp., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the machine clothing and engineered composites businesses in the United States, Switzerland, France, Brazil, China, Mexico, Germany, and internationally. The company operates through two segments: Machine Clothing (MC) and Albany Engineered Composites (AEC).

Full company description

Albany International Corp., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the machine clothing and engineered composites businesses in the United States, Switzerland, France, Brazil, China, Mexico, Germany, and internationally. The company operates through two segments: Machine Clothing (MC) and Albany Engineered Composites (AEC). The MC segment designs, manufactures, and markets paper machine clothing for use in the manufacturing of papers, paperboard, tissues, towels, pulps, building products, tannery, and textiles, as well as nonwovens, fiber cement, and several other industrial applications. This segment offers paper machine clothing forming, pressing, and drying fabrics, as well as processing belts; and engineered fabrics. Its AEC segment 3D-woven and injected composite components for aircraft engines composite airframe and engine components for military and commercial aircraft. The company sells its products to commercial and defense markets, space-launch vehicles and the emerging advanced air mobility market, as well as to customer end-users. Albany International Corp. was incorporated in 1895 and is headquartered in Portsmouth, New Hampshire.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Albany International Corp reported revenue of $1.2B in FY2025 versus $929M in FY2021, a compound +6.2%/yr. Reported net income was −$57.3M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 36/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$1.2B
Latest YoY
−3.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+4.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+5.6%
Avg. growth/yr (40Y)
+3.5%
Revenue +6.2%/yr
FY21 $929M
FY22 $1.0B
FY23 $1.1B
FY24 $1.2B
FY25 $1.2B
Net income
FY21 $118M
FY22 $95.8M
FY23 $111M
FY24 $87.6M
FY25 −$57.3M

AIN screens 71% overvalued. Compare with Shenzhou International Group →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Albany International Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AIN

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Textile Manufacturing · 309 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 50 · Below median
Fair Value upside −71% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 10% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 8% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.6% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.63× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Textile Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.75× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.66× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 24.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 41.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 1.44× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 11
FUTURE 39 · sector 0
PAST 0 · sector 14
HEALTH 69 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 31 · sector 34

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Textile Manufacturing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Shenzhou International Group 2313 HK$44.40 HK$75.65 +70%
Tongkun Group 601233 ¥23.56 ¥14.53 -38%
Inner Mongolia ERDOS Resources Co 600295 ¥12.04 ¥14.35 +19%
HMT (Xiamen) New Technical Materials Co 603306 ¥91.75 ¥12.85 -86%
Far Eastern New Century Corporation 1402 27.55 TWD 28.72 TWD +4%
K.P.R. Mill Limited KPRMILL ₹1,083 ₹467.49 -57%
Zhejiang Orient Holdings 600120 ¥5.18 ¥2.21 -57%
Vardhman Textiles Limited VTL ₹602.20 ₹437.53 -27%
Isiklar Enerji ve Yapi Holding IEYHO 174.20 TRY 323.84 TRY +86%
Shandong Fiberglass Group 605006 ¥16.75 ¥6.42 -62%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Albany International Corp (AIN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $18.40 versus a price of $62.71, about −71% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AIN?
Our model-based fair value for Albany International Corp is $18.40 (as of Jul 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $62.71.
What is the quality score of AIN?
Albany International Corp has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Albany International Corp (AIN)?
Albany International Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.2B (latest available figure, as of Jul 14, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of AIN?
The net profit margin of Albany International Corp is about -4.9%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Albany International Corp pay a dividend?
Albany International Corp currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.56% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 14, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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