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Data-driven stock valuation

Base Carbon Inc. (BCBN) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 11, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Base Carbon Inc. stock C$1.20, price C$0.65, upside +84.6%, quality 42 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 2 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Financial Services CA · ISIN CA06975E1079

BC Base Carbon Inc. logo Thin data Nov 10, 2026

Base Carbon Inc.

BCBN · NEO
Cheap, value-trap risk

The stock costs 46% less than our calculation considers fair.

Fair value C$1.20 · Strongly undervalued
Solidly profitable · 13.5% net margin (FY2025)
Even on cautious assumptions the value is 38% above the price (C$0.9000).
Quality 42/100
Neutral coverage
Weak Growth (revenue YoY −93.6 %/yr in CAD)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/8)
Narrow moat 26/100 · thin data
Thin data
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

C$1.14 C$0.3000 Fair Value C$1.20 Mar 2022 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

56‑month range C$0.3000 – C$1.14 · fair‑value band C$0.9000 – C$1.49 · the C$0.6500 price screens below the C$1.20 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 10, 2026.

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Company profile

Base Carbon Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the carbon business in Canada and internationally. The company offers capital, development expertise, and management operating resources to projects in voluntary and compliance carbon markets, as well as environmental markets.

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It is also involved in the sale of carbon credits; carbon capital allocation to carbon removal and reduction projects, as well as carbon development companies; project origination; and development of data management tools and workflow automation applications.

The company is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.

Stock analysis

Base Carbon Inc. (BCBN) currently trades at C$0.6500, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$1.20, implying the stock looks roughly 46% undervalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: C$0.9000 (bear) to C$1.49 (bull), the price of C$0.6500 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.

Base Carbon Inc. reported revenue of $1.8M in FY2025 versus $0 in FY2021. Reported net income was $245K in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap C$66.8M (≈ $46.8M) Micro · P/S ratio 40.2 · EPS (TTM) C$−0.0400 · Net margin 13.5% · Return on equity −4.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.3% (5-year average) · Operating margin −708% · Revenue (TTM) C$1.6M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 26 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and 41% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −4% fair-value upside, at 85%, BCBN screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear C$0.9000 Fair Value C$1.20 Bull C$1.49
Price C$0.6500 · Upside +84.6%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
P/B Multiple C$0.9100 C$1.21 C$1.51 55
NCAV (Graham) C$0.3000 C$0.4600 C$0.5700 52
All 2 models by family
Multiples
P/B Multiple C$0.9100 C$1.21 C$1.51 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) C$0.3000 C$0.4600 C$0.5700 52

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 42/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 19
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 40
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 0
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 79
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 33
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 40
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 24
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 14
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 100
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 1/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−85.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−85.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%

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Earlier news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (31 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Neutral
Recent news coverage is roughly neutral, about typical for how stocks are covered.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Asset Management · 633 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 42 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +84.6% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets 0.2% · Below median
Net margin (12 months) 13.5% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −57.5% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.66× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months) 41.54× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 37
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 36
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 21
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 75

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Raymond James Financial, Inc RJF $167.13 $281.42 +68% vs BCBN
Apollo Global Management, Inc APO $122.95 $197.52 +61% vs BCBN
Ameriprise Financial, Inc AMP $520.06 $639.69 +23% vs BCBN
Exor N.V EXO €74.45 €76.42 +3% vs BCBN
State Street Corporation STT $174.17 $168.03 −4% vs BCBN
Northern Trust Corporation NTRS $178.71 $133.48 −25% vs BCBN
Ares Management Corporation ARES $137.89 $99.35 −28% vs BCBN
Brookfield Asset Management Ltd BAM $52.56 $31.26 −41% vs BCBN
Blackstone Inc BX $122.01 $52.29 −57% vs BCBN
KKR & Co KKR $100.05 $27.63 −72% vs BCBN

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Base Carbon Inc.: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Base Carbon Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BCBN

Frequently asked questions

Is Base Carbon Inc. (BCBN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$1.20 versus a price of C$0.6500, about +85% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of BCBN?
Our model-based fair value for Base Carbon Inc. is C$1.20 (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: C$0.6500.
What is the quality score of BCBN?
Base Carbon Inc. has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Base Carbon Inc. (BCBN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of C$1.20 (as of Nov 10, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario C$0.9000, optimistic scenario C$1.49. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Base Carbon Inc. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at C$1.20, about +85% upside versus a price of C$0.6500 (undervalued). Cautious scenario C$0.9000, optimistic scenario C$1.49. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Base Carbon Inc. (BCBN)?
Base Carbon Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$1.6M (latest available figure, as of Nov 10, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Base Carbon Inc. (BCBN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Base Carbon Inc. it is C$1.20 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of C$0.6500. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models in 2 families (Multiples, Asset-Based).
Is Base Carbon Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, BCBN trades below its calculated fair value: price C$0.6500, fair value C$1.20, a gap of about +85% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BCBN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (C$0.6500); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (C$1.20). For Base Carbon Inc. the two are C$0.5500 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Base Carbon Inc. worth?
The market values Base Carbon Inc. at about C$66.8M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is C$0.6500; our models calculate a fair value of C$1.20 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BCBN?
Our models span a range for Base Carbon Inc.: cautious scenario C$0.9000, base C$1.20, optimistic C$1.49 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price C$0.6500). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Base Carbon Inc. (BCBN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Base Carbon Inc. (as of Nov 10, 2026): return on equity −4.1%. They feed the Quality Score of 42/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BCBN from its 52-week high?
Base Carbon Inc. trades at C$0.6500, about 43% below its 52-week high of C$1.14 and 41% above the low of C$0.4600 (as of Nov 11, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of C$1.20 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Base Carbon Inc.?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Blackstone Inc, KKR & Co, Brookfield Asset Management Ltd, Apollo Global Management, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Base Carbon Inc. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price C$0.6500, calculated fair value C$1.20 (+85%), Quality Score 42/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BCBN calculated?
We run Base Carbon Inc. through 2 models from 2 families: Multiples, Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of C$1.20 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0% above its aggregate fair value. Base Carbon Inc. currently trades 46% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Base Carbon Inc. (BCBN)?
The closing price on Nov 11, 2026 was C$0.6500. Our model-based fair value is C$1.20, about +85% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Base Carbon Inc. right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (42/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (C$0.9000). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Key figures of Base Carbon Inc.

How large is the market capitalisation of Base Carbon Inc. (BCBN)?
The market capitalisation of Base Carbon Inc. is C$66.8M (≈ $46.8M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Base Carbon Inc. (BCBN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Base Carbon Inc. is 40.2 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Base Carbon Inc. (BCBN)?
Earnings per share at Base Carbon Inc. are C$−0.0400. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Base Carbon Inc. (BCBN)?
The net margin of Base Carbon Inc. is 13.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Base Carbon Inc. (BCBN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Base Carbon Inc. is −4.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Base Carbon Inc. (BCBN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Base Carbon Inc. is 7.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Base Carbon Inc. (BCBN)?
The operating margin of Base Carbon Inc. is −708% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Base Carbon Inc. (BCBN)?
Revenue at Base Carbon Inc. is growing −57.5% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Base Carbon Inc. (BCBN)?
Earnings per share at Base Carbon Inc. are growing +28.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Base Carbon Inc. (BCBN) generate?
The free cash flow of Base Carbon Inc. is −C$5.3M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
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