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B&G Foods Inc (BGS) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 10, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of B&G Foods Inc stock $7.98, price $2.66, upside +200.0%, quality 43 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 10 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Consumer Defensive US

BG B&G Foods Inc logo Thin data Nov 10, 2026

B&G Foods Inc

BGS · US
Cheap, value-trap risk

The stock costs 67% less than our calculation considers fair.

Fair value $7.98 · Strongly undervalued
Generates free cash flow
Upbeat coverage
Even on cautious assumptions the value is 14% above the price ($3.03).
Quality 43/100
Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
Insiders bought $18,028 (6M)
Changed on Nov 10: $6.24 → $7.98
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −1.5 %/yr in USD)
Loss-making · -4.0% net margin (TTM) · excl. goodwill write-downs -0.6%
High debt
Narrow moat 21/100
Thin data
Watch B&G Foods Inc for free: we tell you when fair value or trend changes. Watch for free

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$20.99 $2.04 Fair Value $7.98 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $2.04 – $20.99 · fair‑value band $3.03 – $19.49 · the $2.66 price screens below the $7.98 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 10, 2026.

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Company profile

B&G Foods, Inc. manufactures, sells, and distributes a portfolio of shelf-stable and frozen foods, and household products in the United States, Canada, and Puerto Rico. It operates through Specialty, Meals, Frozen & Vegetables, and Spices & Flavor Solutions segments.

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The company offers frozen and canned vegetables, vegetables, canola and other cooking oils, vegetable shortening, cooking sprays, oatmeal and other hot cereals, fruit spreads, canned meats and beans, bagel chips, spices, seasonings, hot sauces, wine vinegar, maple syrups, molasses, salad dressings, pizza crusts, Mexican-style sauces, dry soups, taco shells and kits, salsas, pickles, peppers, tomato-based products, crackers, baking powder and soda, corn starch, nut clusters, and other specialty products.

It markets its products under various brands, including Crisco, Clabber Girl, Bear Creek, Polaner, Underwood, B&G, Grandma's, New York Style, B&M, Baker's Joy, Regina, TrueNorth, Static Guard, SugarTwin, Brer Rabbit, Ortega, Maple Grove Farms of Vermont, Cream of Wheat, Las Palmas, Victoria, Mama Mary's, Spring Tree, McCann's, Carey's, Vermont Maid, Green Giant, Dash, Spice Islands, Weber, Ac'cent, Tone's, Trappey's, Durkee, Wright's, B&G Sandwich Toppers, Bear Creek Country Kitchens, Canoleo, Cary's, Cream of Rice, Joan of Arc, MacDonald's, Molly McButter, New York Flatbreads, Old London, and Sa-són brands.

The company sells and distributes its products directly, as well as through a network of independent brokers and distributors to supermarket chains, foodservice outlets, mass merchants, warehouse clubs, non-food outlets, and specialty distributors.

The company was formerly known as B&G Foods Holdings Corp. and changed its name to B&G Foods, Inc. in October 2004. B&G Foods, Inc. was founded in 1889 and is headquartered in Parsippany, New Jersey.

Stock analysis

B&G Foods Inc (BGS) currently trades at $2.66, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $7.98, implying the stock looks roughly 67% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $17.53 per share, and 10 of the 10 models we run sit above the $2.66 price.

Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at $9.16, and 0 of the 10 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $3.03 (bear) to $19.49 (bull), the price of $2.66 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

B&G Foods Inc reported revenue of $1.8B in FY2025 versus $2.1B in FY2021, a compound −2.9%/yr. Reported net income was −$43.3M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $216M Micro · P/S ratio 0.11 · EPS (TTM) $−0.8700 · Net margin −4.0% · Return on equity −15.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.2% (5-year average) · Operating margin 12.0% · Revenue (TTM) $1.8B.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 21 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 50% below its 52-week high and 30% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at 200%, BGS screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $3.03 Fair Value $7.98 Bull $19.49
Price $2.66 · Upside +200.0%
Capped: our models arrive at a very high value here. We deliberately show a more cautious Fair Value.
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF n/a $9.14 $21.43 77
Growth DCF n/a $8.01 $18.04 75
5Y Revenue Exit n/a $10.15 $24.79 69
All 10 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF n/a $9.14 $21.43 77
5Y Revenue Exit n/a $10.15 $24.79 69
5Y EBITDA Exit $3.86 $20.11 $38.87 69
10Y Revenue Exit n/a $8.12 $21.08 64
10Y EBITDA Exit $1.76 $14.27 $30.62 61
Multiples
EV/EBIT $7.17 $17.53 $27.90 61
EV/EBITDA $10.21 $21.59 $32.97 64
EV/Revenue n/a $7.77 $17.29 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF n/a $8.01 $18.04 75
Rev-Margin DCF n/a $10.31 $23.84 69

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 17
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 58
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 39
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 8
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 100
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 61
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 7
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 9
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 57
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Insider trades

In the last 6 months, one officer or director bought shares worth $18,028, on Sep 14, 2026.

  • BuyDeAnn L BruntsDirector5,616 shares at $3.21$18,028Sep 14, 2026
  • SaleDavid L WennerDirector19,500 shares at $5.19$101,205Mar 13, 2026
  • SaleAndrew D VogelEVP, PRESIDENT OF MEALS20,000 shares at $5.19$103,800Mar 13, 2026
  • SaleMartin C. SchochEVP of Supply Chain11,321 shares at $5.40$61,133Mar 12, 2026
  • SaleDennis M MullenDirector18,795 shares at $4.50$84,578Nov 26, 2025

Plus 10 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.

Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.

Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 10, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 19/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−5.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +6.6% a year
Revenue growth 27 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.0%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
14.0% (2020) → 10.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+21.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
−0.3%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +18.9% a year for the price and −2.6% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)−5.0%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+0.6%
Projected 2028 (sales)+0.8%
Projected 2029 (sales)+1.0%
Projected 2030 (sales)+1.1%

Watch BGS, get fair value alerts →

Earlier news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (100 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 660 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 43 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +200.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −1.5% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −4.0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 12.0% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −9.7% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months) 25.0% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 4.29× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.48× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
P/S (12 months) 0.12× · Cheapest 25%
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year) 3.1× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 8.1× · Cheaper than median
PEG 4.55× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 34
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 25
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 30
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)100 · sector 55

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Wilmar International Limited F34 2.95 SGD 4.93 SGD +67% vs BGS
Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group 600887 ¥31.14 ¥41.84 +34% vs BGS
The Kraft Heinz Company KHC $24.24 $29.20 +20% vs BGS
Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company 603288 ¥35.46 ¥39.22 +11% vs BGS
General Mills, Inc GIS $34.60 $35.30 +2% vs BGS
Danone S.A BN €68.32 €50.65 −26% vs BGS
Nestlé S.A NESN CHF 86.41 CHF 59.51 −31% vs BGS
Kerry Group KRZ €97.10 €60.33 −38% vs BGS
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,298 ₹724.74 −44% vs BGS
Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings 300999 ¥25.92 ¥12.21 −53% vs BGS

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "B&G Foods Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BGS

Frequently asked questions

Is B&G Foods Inc (BGS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $7.98 versus a price of $2.66, about +200% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of BGS?
Our model-based fair value for B&G Foods Inc is $7.98 (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $2.66.
What is the quality score of BGS?
B&G Foods Inc has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for B&G Foods Inc (BGS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $7.98 (as of Nov 10, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario $3.03, optimistic scenario $19.49. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the B&G Foods Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $7.98, about +200% upside versus a price of $2.66 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $3.03, optimistic scenario $19.49. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of B&G Foods Inc (BGS)?
B&G Foods Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.8B (latest available figure, as of Nov 10, 2026).
What growth is priced into B&G Foods Inc (BGS)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, B&G Foods Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +21.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -1.5 % per year. As of Nov 10, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of BGS use?
Our models discount B&G Foods Inc at 11.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.62, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For B&G Foods Inc that is +21.7 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (11.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has B&G Foods Inc (BGS) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at B&G Foods Inc grew -1.5 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +21.7 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of B&G Foods Inc (BGS) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into B&G Foods Inc (+21.7 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of B&G Foods Inc (BGS)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 32.77 %: that much free cash flow B&G Foods Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of B&G Foods Inc (BGS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For B&G Foods Inc it is $7.98 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of $2.66. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models in 3 families (DCF Models, Multiples, Growth DCF).
Is B&G Foods Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, BGS trades below its calculated fair value: price $2.66, fair value $7.98, a gap of about +200% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BGS?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($2.66); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($7.98). For B&G Foods Inc the two are $5.32 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is B&G Foods Inc worth?
The market values B&G Foods Inc at about $216M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is $2.66; our models calculate a fair value of $7.98 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BGS?
Our models span a range for B&G Foods Inc: cautious scenario $3.03, base $7.98, optimistic $19.49 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price $2.66). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of BGS?
The PEG ratio of B&G Foods Inc is 4.55 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 10, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of B&G Foods Inc (BGS)?
Balance-sheet figures for B&G Foods Inc (as of Nov 10, 2026): return on equity −15.8%, debt of 4.29 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 43/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BGS from its 52-week high?
B&G Foods Inc trades at $2.66, about 50% below its 52-week high of $5.35 and 30% above the low of $2.04 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $7.98 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to B&G Foods Inc?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, The Kraft Heinz Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is B&G Foods Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price $2.66, calculated fair value $7.98 (+200%), Quality Score 43/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BGS calculated?
We run B&G Foods Inc through 10 models from 3 families: DCF Models, Multiples, Growth DCF. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $7.98 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.1% above its aggregate fair value. B&G Foods Inc currently trades 67% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of B&G Foods Inc (BGS)?
The closing price on Nov 10, 2026 was $2.66. Our model-based fair value is $7.98, about +200% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with B&G Foods Inc right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (43/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case ($3.03). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The model range is unusually wide ($3.03 to $19.49). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of B&G Foods Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of B&G Foods Inc (BGS)?
The market capitalisation of B&G Foods Inc is $216M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of B&G Foods Inc (BGS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of B&G Foods Inc is 0.11 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of B&G Foods Inc (BGS)?
Earnings per share at B&G Foods Inc are $−0.8700. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of B&G Foods Inc (BGS)?
The net margin of B&G Foods Inc is −4.0% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of B&G Foods Inc (BGS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of B&G Foods Inc is −15.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of B&G Foods Inc (BGS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of B&G Foods Inc is 2.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of B&G Foods Inc (BGS)?
The operating margin of B&G Foods Inc is 12.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at B&G Foods Inc (BGS)?
Revenue at B&G Foods Inc is growing −9.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −5.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at B&G Foods Inc (BGS)?
Earnings per share at B&G Foods Inc are growing −65.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does B&G Foods Inc (BGS) carry?
The net debt of B&G Foods Inc is $1.9B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 27.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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