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B&G Foods, Inc (BGS) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $317M

Price$3.97
Fair Value$12.62
Upside+217.9%
Quality95/100
Evidence: High Range $10.22 – $24.52

Fair value as of: Jun 25, 2026

Analysis

B&G Foods, Inc (BGS) currently trades at $3.97, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $12.62 — implying the stock looks roughly 217.9% undervalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high) — always confirm before acting.

About the company

B&G Foods, Inc. manufactures, sells, and distributes a portfolio of shelf-stable and frozen foods, and household products in the United States, Canada, and Puerto Rico. It operates through Specialty, Meals, Frozen & Vegetables, and Spices & Flavor Solutions segments. The company offers frozen and canned vegetables, vegetables, canola and other cooking oils, vegetable shortening, cooking sprays, oatmeal and other hot cereals, fruit spreads, canned meats and beans, bagel chips, spices, seasonings, hot sauces, wine vinegar, maple syrups, molasses, salad dressings, pizza crusts, Mexican-style sauces, dry soups, taco shells and kits, salsas, pickles, peppers, tomato-based products, crackers, baking powder and soda, corn starch, nut clusters, and other specialty products. It markets its products under various brands, including Crisco, Clabber Girl, Bear Creek, Polaner, Underwood, B&G, Grandma's, New York Style, B&M, Baker's Joy, Regina, TrueNorth, Static Guard, SugarTwin, Brer Rabbit, Ort…

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Frequently asked questions

Is B&G Foods, Inc (BGS) undervalued?
As of Jun 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $12.62 versus a price of $3.97 — about +218% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of BGS?
Our 21-model fair value for B&G Foods, Inc is $12.62 (as of Jun 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $3.97.
What is the quality score of BGS?
B&G Foods, Inc has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.