EN DE
Watch Blacksky Technology Inc for free: we tell you when fair value or trend changes.
Data-driven stock valuation

Blacksky Technology Inc (BKSY) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 10, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Blacksky Technology Inc stock $17.25, price $23.84, that is 27.6% below the price, quality 13 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. The value is an estimate: none of our valuation models currently carries, it draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies. Updated daily.

  1. Keep an eye on it?Free in your watchlist: 5 stocks without an account, 10 with one Yes, for free

Industrials US

BT Blacksky Technology Inc logo Thin data Nov 10, 2026

Blacksky Technology Inc

BKSY · US
Expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 28% below what the stock costs today.

Revenue last quarter +118% vs. a year ago.
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +38.2 %/yr in USD)
Insiders sold $4.9M (6M)
Fair value $17.25 · Overvalued
Quality 13/100
Loss-making · -24.9% net margin (TTM)
High debt
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (1/10)
Narrow moat 12/100
Thin data
Estimate
Watch Blacksky Technology Inc for free: we tell you when fair value or trend changes. Watch for free

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$102.40 $4.06 Fair Value $17.25 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $4.06 – $102.40 · fair‑value band $12.94 – $21.56 · the $23.84 price screens above the $17.25 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 10, 2026.

Follow Blacksky Technology in your weekly email

Every Wednesday you see whether Blacksky Technology is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.

We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.

Which stocks are undervalued right now? Check free Discover now →

Company profile

BlackSky Technology Inc. operates as a space-based technology company in the United States and internationally.

Show moreShow less

The company offers space-based intelligence and artificial intelligence (AI) services, mission solutions, and advanced technology programs consisting of cloud computing and hosting services, direct materials to build and test specific components, and internal labor for service solutions that enhance customer adoption and operational integration of the company's technology.

It also provides BlackSky Spectra, an AI-enabled software platform that processes a range of observations by integrating data from the company's proprietary satellite constellation and from other third-party sensors, such as synthetic aperture radar and radio frequency satellites, GPS-enabled terrestrial data sources, and Internet of Things-connected devices.

In addition, the company offers a range of services related to object, change and anomaly detection, site monitoring, and enhanced analytics, which help detect key pattern of life changes in critical locations, including ports, airports, and construction sites; retail activity; commodities stockpiles; and other sites that contain critical commodities and supply chain inventory.

Further, it develops and delivers customized advanced satellites and payload systems. The company's products and services are used in national security, supply chain resilience, economic intelligence, and other critical decision-making requirements.

It serves the United States federal government and its agencies; international governments, agencies, and organizations; and the commercial and industrial infrastructure markets, including energy and utilities, insurance, commodities, mining, manufacturing, logistics, supply chain management, agriculture, environmental monitoring, disaster and risk management, engineering and construction, retail, and consumer behavior.

BlackSky Technology Inc. was founded in 2014 and is headquartered in Herndon, Virginia.

Stock analysis

Blacksky Technology Inc (BKSY) currently trades at $23.84, while our estimate is $17.25, 28% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

Show more

Valuation

None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Scenario range: $12.94 (bear) to $21.56 (bull), the price of $23.84 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 13/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Blacksky Technology Inc reported revenue of $107M in FY2025 versus $34.1M in FY2021, a compound +33.0%/yr. Reported net income was −$70.3M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $916M Small · P/S ratio 6.61 · EPS (TTM) $−0.8100 · Net margin −24.9% · Return on equity −20.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) −26.2% (5-year average) · Operating margin 1.0% · Revenue (TTM) $132M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 12 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 54% below its 52-week high and 81% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −14% fair-value upside, at −28%, BKSY screens richer than that median.

Fair Value

Bear $12.94 Fair Value $17.25 Bull $21.56
Price $23.84 · Downside -27.6%
Estimate. None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 13/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 9
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 25
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 0
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 16
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 45
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 0
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 25
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 53
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Insider trades

In the last 6 months, 3 officers or directors sold shares worth $4.9M and none bought.

  • SaleHenry Edward DuboisChief Financial Officer6× since Dec 12, 2025: 54,886 shares, avg. $24.14$1.3MOct 20, 2026
  • SaleChristiana L LinGeneral Counsel & CAO5× since Dec 12, 2025: 47,441 shares, avg. $23.66$1.1MOct 20, 2026
  • SaleBrian E O'TooleCEO and President, Director6× since Dec 12, 2025: 145,208 shares, avg. $22.02$3.2MOct 20, 2026
  • SaleTracy WardSVP & Controller700 shares at $19.27$13,489Dec 12, 2025

Plus 14 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.

Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.

Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 10, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+4.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+38.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+40.7%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−195.9% (2020) → −44.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

BKSY screens overvalued: fair value 28% below the price. Compare with Cintas Corporation →

Compare Blacksky Technology Inc with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

Free, no sign-up

Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Business Services · 245 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 13 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −27.6% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −18.1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −24.9% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 1.0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 118.4% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 2.04× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Business Services median · lower = cheaper

P/B 9.66× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 6.93× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 40
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 31
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 35
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 56

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Business Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Wolters Kluwer N.V WKL €87.42 €98.05 +12% vs BKSY
RB Global, Inc RBA C$136.49 C$149.12 +9% vs BKSY
Copart, Inc CPRT $32.30 $35.15 +9% vs BKSY
Global Payments Inc GPN $101.59 $87.83 −14% vs BKSY
Brambles Limited BXB A$22.15 A$19.10 −14% vs BKSY
Cintas Corporation CTAS $225.28 $188.90 −16% vs BKSY
Rentokil Initial plc RTO $23.74 $19.63 −17% vs BKSY
Thomson Reuters Corporation TRI $108.41 $70.75 −35% vs BKSY
Aramark ARMK $54.22 $23.04 −58% vs BKSY
UL Solutions Inc ULS $81.56 $33.46 −59% vs BKSY

Explore undervalued stocks

More undervalued Industrials stocks →

All undervalued stocks TechnologyFinancial ServicesHealthcareConsumer CyclicalConsumer DefensiveCommunication ServicesIndustrialsEnergyBasic MaterialsReal EstateUtilities Deeply Undervalued StocksUndervalued High-Quality StocksUndervalued Blue-Chip StocksUndervalued Small-Cap StocksUndervalued Dividend StocksUndervalued 52-Week Low StocksStocks for 2027: Large Companies Below Fair Value

Try a ready-made strategy

Pick a strategy and jump into the live analysis with that exact screen applied.

🥇 Backtested Best 🏆 Big Names 💎 Quality on Sale 🚀 Profitable Growth 🧊 Quality Compounders 💵 Dividend Stars 📈 Strong Momentum 📉 Fallen Angels ⚖️ Deeply Undervalued 🔍 Small-Cap Gems 🏰 Moat at a Fair Price 💼 Insider Buying 🎩 Buffett-Style Quality 📚 Peter Lynch GARP 🧮 Greenblatt Magic Formula 🛡️ Graham Defensive

Discover tools

Stock screenerFilter by region, size and sector Compare toolTwo stocks side by side Extrinsic Value Calculator…Free calculator Peter Lynch Fair Value Formula &…Free calculator
Run the numbers yourself: free valuation calculators
DCF CalculatorP/E Ratio CalculatorPEG Ratio CalculatorGraham NumberPeter Lynch FormulaDDM CalculatorIntrinsic ValueIntrinsic vs Extrinsic ValueP/E Ratio by Sector
For bloggers & editors: embed code + live data

For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.

Blacksky Technology Inc: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Blacksky Technology Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BKSY

Frequently asked questions

Is Blacksky Technology Inc (BKSY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our estimate of fair value is $17.25 versus a price of $23.84, about 28% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BKSY?
Our estimate for Blacksky Technology Inc is $17.25 (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $23.84.
What is the quality score of BKSY?
Blacksky Technology Inc has a Quality Score of 13/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Blacksky Technology Inc (BKSY)?
Our calculated price target is the estimate of $17.25 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Cautious scenario $12.94, optimistic scenario $21.56. It is an estimate from revenue and assets compared with similar companies, because none of our valuation models currently carries, not an analyst target.
What is the Blacksky Technology Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our estimate puts fair value at $17.25, about 28% lower versus a price of $23.84 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $12.94, optimistic scenario $21.56. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Blacksky Technology Inc (BKSY)?
Blacksky Technology Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $132M (latest available figure, as of Nov 10, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Blacksky Technology Inc (BKSY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Blacksky Technology Inc it is $17.25 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of $23.84.
Is Blacksky Technology Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, BKSY trades above its calculated fair value: price $23.84, fair value $17.25, a gap of about −28% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BKSY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($23.84); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($17.25). For Blacksky Technology Inc the two are $6.59 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Blacksky Technology Inc worth?
The market values Blacksky Technology Inc at about $916M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is $23.84; our models calculate a fair value of $17.25 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BKSY?
Our models span a range for Blacksky Technology Inc: cautious scenario $12.94, base $17.25, optimistic $21.56 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price $23.84). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Blacksky Technology Inc (BKSY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Blacksky Technology Inc (as of Nov 10, 2026): return on equity −20.2%, debt of 2.04 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 13/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BKSY from its 52-week high?
Blacksky Technology Inc trades at $23.84, about 54% below its 52-week high of $51.63 and 81% above the low of $13.14 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $17.25 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Blacksky Technology Inc?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Cintas Corporation, Thomson Reuters Corporation, Copart, Inc, Global Payments Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Blacksky Technology Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price $23.84, calculated fair value $17.25 (−28%), Quality Score 13/100. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.1% above its aggregate fair value. Blacksky Technology Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Blacksky Technology Inc (BKSY)?
The closing price on Nov 10, 2026 was $23.84. Our estimate is $17.25, about 28% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Blacksky Technology Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($21.56). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (13/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Blacksky Technology Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Blacksky Technology Inc (BKSY)?
The market capitalisation of Blacksky Technology Inc is $916M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Blacksky Technology Inc (BKSY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Blacksky Technology Inc is 6.61 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Blacksky Technology Inc (BKSY)?
Earnings per share at Blacksky Technology Inc are $−0.8100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Blacksky Technology Inc (BKSY)?
The net margin of Blacksky Technology Inc is −24.9% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Blacksky Technology Inc (BKSY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Blacksky Technology Inc is −20.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Blacksky Technology Inc (BKSY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Blacksky Technology Inc is −26.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Blacksky Technology Inc (BKSY)?
The operating margin of Blacksky Technology Inc is 1.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Blacksky Technology Inc (BKSY)?
Revenue at Blacksky Technology Inc is growing +118% versus a year earlier (3y avg +17.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Blacksky Technology Inc (BKSY) generate?
The free cash flow of Blacksky Technology Inc is −$44.5M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Blacksky Technology Inc (BKSY) hold?
Blacksky Technology Inc holds more cash than debt, $26.9M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
Free · no account needed

Watch Blacksky Technology Inc in the live analysis

One click puts Blacksky Technology Inc on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 27,000+ stock screener.

Watch for free →

Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. Your watchlist is yours, with or without an account.