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CGRE AG (CGX) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of CGRE AG stock €8.03, price €11.90, that is 32.5% below the price, quality 36 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 2 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Financial Services DE · ISIN DE000A0N3EU3

CA CGRE AG logo Thin data Nov 9, 2026

CGRE AG

CGX · XETRA
Expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 33% below what the stock costs today.

Mixed Growth (revenue 3y +42.4 %/yr in EUR)
Revenue last quarter 17% below a year ago.
Fair value €8.03 · Overvalued
Quality 36/100
Loss-making · -192.8% net margin (TTM)
Trails peers (0/7)
Narrow moat 11/100 · thin data
Thin data
⚠ Small free float
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

€16.70 €3.00 Fair Value €8.03 May 2024 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

30‑month range €3.00 – €16.70 · fair‑value band €6.02 – €10.04 · the €11.90 price screens above the €8.03 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 9, 2026.

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Company profile

CGRE AG, an investment company, engages in the design, development, and realization of urban districts in Germany. It also provides platform services in project development, BIM planning, prefabrication, energy management, construction and trades, leasing, and administration.

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The company was founded in 1995 and is based in Leipzig, Germany.

Stock analysis

CGRE AG (CGX) currently trades at €11.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €8.03, 33% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 89/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: €6.02 (bear) to €10.04 (bull), the price of €11.90 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

CGRE AG reported revenue of €170K in FY2025 versus €53.7K in FY2021, a compound +33.3%/yr. Reported net income was −€337K in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap €71.4M Micro · EPS (TTM) €−0.0600 · Return on equity −0.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) −6.3% (5-year average) · Operating margin 1,475% · Revenue (TTM) €175K · Revenue growth (YoY) −17.4% · Net debt €5.1M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 11 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −16% fair-value upside, at −33%, CGX screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €6.02 Fair Value €8.03 Bull €10.04
Price €11.90 · Downside -32.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
P/B Multiple €6.02 €8.03 €10.04 55
NCAV (Graham) €1.15 €1.75 €2.18 52
All 2 models by family
Multiples
P/B Multiple €6.02 €8.03 €10.04 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €1.15 €1.75 €2.18 52

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 36/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 7
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 70
Are margins and returns getting better?
Financial strength 54
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 33
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 79
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 21
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 11
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 40
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 50/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+47.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+42.4%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−318.0% (2021) → 288.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

CGX screens overvalued: fair value 33% below the price. Compare with Blackstone Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Asset Management · 587 stocks

Beats the industry median on 0/6 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 36 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −32.5% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −0.3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −192.8% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −17.4% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.26× · Pricier than median

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Exor N.V EXO €73.35 €139.37 +90% vs CGX
Raymond James Financial, Inc RJF $162.81 $281.42 +73% vs CGX
Apollo Global Management, Inc APO $116.75 $197.52 +69% vs CGX
Ameriprise Financial, Inc AMP $501.49 $609.56 +22% vs CGX
State Street Corporation STT $165.56 $139.37 −16% vs CGX
Ares Management Corporation ARES $133.98 $99.35 −26% vs CGX
Northern Trust Corporation NTRS $172.76 $123.42 −29% vs CGX
Brookfield Asset Management Ltd BAM $52.95 $31.26 −41% vs CGX
Blackstone Inc BX $119.50 $52.29 −56% vs CGX
KKR & Co KKR $96.48 $27.32 −72% vs CGX

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CGRE AG: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "CGRE AG Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CGX.XETRA

Frequently asked questions

Is CGRE AG (CGX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €8.03 versus a price of €11.90, about 33% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CGX?
Our model-based fair value for CGRE AG is €8.03 (as of Nov 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €11.90.
What is the quality score of CGX?
CGRE AG has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for CGRE AG (CGX)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €8.03 (as of Nov 9, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario €6.02, optimistic scenario €10.04. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the CGRE AG stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €8.03, about 33% lower versus a price of €11.90 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €6.02, optimistic scenario €10.04. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of CGRE AG (CGX)?
CGRE AG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €175K (latest available figure, as of Nov 9, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of CGRE AG (CGX)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For CGRE AG it is €8.03 per share (as of Nov 9, 2026), against a price of €11.90. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models in 2 families (Multiples, Asset-Based).
Is CGRE AG stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 9, 2026, CGX trades above its calculated fair value: price €11.90, fair value €8.03, a gap of about −33% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CGX?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€11.90); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€8.03). For CGRE AG the two are €3.87 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is CGRE AG worth?
The market values CGRE AG at about €71.4M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 9, 2026). Per share that is €11.90; our models calculate a fair value of €8.03 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CGX?
Our models span a range for CGRE AG: cautious scenario €6.02, base €8.03, optimistic €10.04 per share (as of Nov 9, 2026, price €11.90). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of CGRE AG (CGX)?
Balance-sheet figures for CGRE AG (as of Nov 9, 2026): return on equity −0.8%. They feed the Quality Score of 36/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CGX from its 52-week high?
CGRE AG trades at €11.90, about 29% below its 52-week high of €16.70 and 2% above the low of €11.70 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €8.03 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to CGRE AG?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Blackstone Inc, Brookfield Asset Management Ltd, KKR & Co, Apollo Global Management, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is CGRE AG stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 9, 2026: price €11.90, calculated fair value €8.03 (−33%), Quality Score 36/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CGX calculated?
We run CGRE AG through 2 models from 2 families: Multiples, Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of €8.03 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. CGRE AG itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of CGRE AG (CGX)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was €11.90. Our model-based fair value is €8.03, about 33% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with CGRE AG right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€10.04). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Key figures of CGRE AG

How large is the market capitalisation of CGRE AG (CGX)?
The market capitalisation of CGRE AG is €71.4M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of CGRE AG (CGX)?
Earnings per share at CGRE AG are €−0.0600. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of CGRE AG (CGX)?
The return on equity (ROE) of CGRE AG is −0.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of CGRE AG (CGX)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of CGRE AG is −6.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of CGRE AG (CGX)?
The operating margin of CGRE AG is 1,475% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at CGRE AG (CGX)?
Revenue at CGRE AG is growing −17.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +42.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net debt does CGRE AG (CGX) carry?
The net debt of CGRE AG is €5.1M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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