Thai Coconut Public Company Limited (COCOCO) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Thai Coconut Public Company Limited stock THB 3.40, price THB 5.00, that is 32.0% below the price, quality 33 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 16 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
38‑month range 4.80 THB – 13.02 THB · fair‑value band 2.12 THB – 4.36 THB · the 5.00 THB price screens above the 3.40 THB fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 6, 2026.
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Thai Coconut Public Company Limited produces and distributes coconut products in Asia, the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Oceania, and Africa. The company operates through three segments: Coconut Milk, Coconut Water, and Pet Food. It offers Thai food, desserts, and street food products.
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The company provides coconut milk and cream, condensed coconut milk, whipping coconut creams, and Thai curry soups; coconut water, coconut milk beverage, customized formula beverages, plant-based milk, basil seed drinks, coconut coffee, coconut milk drink with nata de coco, drinking water, and coconut drinking yogurt, as well as coconut rolls, fruit preparation products, juice in gallon for HORECA, and frozen coconut under the THAI COCO and COCOBURI brands.
It also exports its products. Thai Coconut Public Company Limited was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in Nonthaburi, Thailand.
Stock analysis
Thai Coconut Public Company Limited (COCOCO) currently trades at 5.00 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 3.40 THB, 32% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 4.18 THB per share, and 2 of the 16 models we run sit above the 5.00 THB price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at 1.30 THB, and 14 of the 16 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 2.12 THB (bear) to 4.36 THB (bull), the price of 5.00 THB sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Thai Coconut Public Company Limited reported revenue of 6.7B THB in FY2025 versus 3.5B THB in FY2021, a compound +18.0%/yr. Reported net income was 244M THB in FY2025, compounding +0.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 7.4B THB (≈ $220M) Micro · P/E ratio 23.8 · P/S ratio 1.11 · EPS (TTM) 0.2100 THB · Dividend yield 2.4% · Net margin 4.6% · Return on equity 9.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.1% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 39 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −1% fair-value upside, at −32%, COCOCO screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear2.12 THBFair Value 3.40 THBBull4.36 THB
Price 5.00 THB · Downside -32.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.0772 THB per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.44/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+1.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+25.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.4%
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’19
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in THB ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in THB: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+5.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+3.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.4%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.3.3% vs −0.8%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.4% → 5%
Compare Thai Coconut Public Company Limited with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 625 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score33 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−32.0% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)9.0% · Above median
Return on assets3.1% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)4.6% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)10.0% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−3.6% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)2.4% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.42× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)23.8× · Pricier than median
P/B2.12× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months)1.11× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA10.3× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 35
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 25
PAST (return on equity)36· sector 31
HEALTH (low debt)79· sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)48· sector 55
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Thai Coconut Public Company Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/COCOCO
Frequently asked questions
Is Thai Coconut Public Company Limited (COCOCO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 3.40 THB versus a price of 5.00 THB, about 32% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of COCOCO?
Our model-based fair value for Thai Coconut Public Company Limited is 3.40 THB (as of Nov 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 5.00 THB.
What is the quality score of COCOCO?
Thai Coconut Public Company Limited has a Quality Score of 33/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Thai Coconut Public Company Limited (COCOCO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 3.40 THB (as of Nov 6, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario 2.12 THB, optimistic scenario 4.36 THB. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Thai Coconut Public Company Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 3.40 THB, about 32% lower versus a price of 5.00 THB (overvalued). Cautious scenario 2.12 THB, optimistic scenario 4.36 THB. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Thai Coconut Public Company Limited (COCOCO)?
Thai Coconut Public Company Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 6.6B THB (latest available figure, as of Nov 6, 2026).
Does Thai Coconut Public Company Limited pay a dividend?
Thai Coconut Public Company Limited currently shows a dividend yield of 2.40% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 6, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Thai Coconut Public Company Limited (COCOCO) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Thai Coconut Public Company Limited pays a dividend of 0.12 THB per share a year, a dividend yield of 2.4%. The last ex-dividend date was May 5, 2026. The payout ratio is 57.1% of earnings. Our assessment: Watch coverage. The dividend isn’t fully covered by free cash flow or earnings, part of it is funded from reserves or debt. Fine for now, but worth watching: if it stays uncovered, the dividend could be cut.
What is the intrinsic value of Thai Coconut Public Company Limited (COCOCO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Thai Coconut Public Company Limited it is 3.40 THB per share (as of Nov 6, 2026), against a price of 5.00 THB. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models in 6 families (Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Thai Coconut Public Company Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 6, 2026, COCOCO trades above its calculated fair value: price 5.00 THB, fair value 3.40 THB, a gap of about −32% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of COCOCO?
No. The price is what the market pays today (5.00 THB); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (3.40 THB). For Thai Coconut Public Company Limited the two are 1.60 THB per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Thai Coconut Public Company Limited worth?
The market values Thai Coconut Public Company Limited at about 7.4B THB (market capitalisation, as of Nov 6, 2026). Per share that is 5.00 THB; our models calculate a fair value of 3.40 THB per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about COCOCO?
Our models span a range for Thai Coconut Public Company Limited: cautious scenario 2.12 THB, base 3.40 THB, optimistic 4.36 THB per share (as of Nov 6, 2026, price 5.00 THB). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of COCOCO?
Thai Coconut Public Company Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 23.8 (as of Nov 6, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 3.40 THB is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.1, P/S 1.1, EV/EBITDA 10.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Thai Coconut Public Company Limited (COCOCO)?
Balance-sheet figures for Thai Coconut Public Company Limited (as of Nov 6, 2026): return on equity 9.0%, debt of 0.42 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 33/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is COCOCO from its 52-week high?
Thai Coconut Public Company Limited trades at 5.00 THB, about 27% below its 52-week high of 6.85 THB and 4% above the low of 4.80 THB (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 3.40 THB is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Thai Coconut Public Company Limited?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, The Kraft Heinz Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Thai Coconut Public Company Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 6, 2026: price 5.00 THB, calculated fair value 3.40 THB (−32%), Quality Score 33/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of COCOCO calculated?
We run Thai Coconut Public Company Limited through 16 models from 6 families: Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 3.40 THB builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Thai Coconut Public Company Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Thai Coconut Public Company Limited (COCOCO)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was 5.00 THB. Our model-based fair value is 3.40 THB, about 32% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Thai Coconut Public Company Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (4.36 THB). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (33/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (2.12 THB to 4.36 THB) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Thai Coconut Public Company Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Thai Coconut Public Company Limited (COCOCO)?
The market capitalisation of Thai Coconut Public Company Limited is 7.4B THB (≈ $220M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Thai Coconut Public Company Limited (COCOCO)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Thai Coconut Public Company Limited is 1.11 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Thai Coconut Public Company Limited (COCOCO)?
Earnings per share at Thai Coconut Public Company Limited are 0.2100 THB (price ÷ EPS = P/E 23.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Thai Coconut Public Company Limited (COCOCO)?
The dividend yield of Thai Coconut Public Company Limited is 2.4% (payout 57.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Thai Coconut Public Company Limited (COCOCO)?
The net margin of Thai Coconut Public Company Limited is 4.6% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Thai Coconut Public Company Limited (COCOCO)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Thai Coconut Public Company Limited is 9.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Thai Coconut Public Company Limited (COCOCO)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Thai Coconut Public Company Limited is 9.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Thai Coconut Public Company Limited (COCOCO)?
The operating margin of Thai Coconut Public Company Limited is 10.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Thai Coconut Public Company Limited (COCOCO)?
Revenue at Thai Coconut Public Company Limited is growing −3.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +25.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Thai Coconut Public Company Limited (COCOCO)?
Earnings per share at Thai Coconut Public Company Limited are growing +58.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Thai Coconut Public Company Limited (COCOCO) generate?
The free cash flow of Thai Coconut Public Company Limited is −935M THB (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Thai Coconut Public Company Limited (COCOCO) carry?
The net debt of Thai Coconut Public Company Limited is 3.2B THB (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Nov 6, 2026