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Capital Southwest Corporation (CSWC) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Capital Southwest Corporation stock $19.59, price $23.26, that is 15.8% below the price, quality 36 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 9 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Financial Services US

CS Capital Southwest Corporation logo Some data Nov 7, 2026

Capital Southwest Corporation

CSWC · US
Expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 16% below what the stock costs today.

Highly profitable · 46.7% net margin (TTM)
Low debt
Upbeat coverage
Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +27.6 %/yr in USD)
Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
Moderate moat 64/100
Insiders bought $196,971 (6M) · sold $108,555
Some data
Fair value $19.59 · Overvalued
Quality 36/100
Negative free cash flow
10.0% dividend yield · Pays more than it earns
⚠ Dilution
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$25.09 $10.53 Fair Value $19.59 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $10.53 – $25.09 · fair‑value band $14.70 – $24.49 · the $23.26 price screens above the $19.59 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 7, 2026.

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Company profile

Capital Southwest Corporation is a business development company.

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The firm specializes in credit and private equity and venture capital investments in lower middle market companies, mezzanine, later stage, mature, late venture, emerging growth, buyouts, industry consolidation, recapitalizations and growth capital investments.

The firm does not invest in startups, publicly traded companies, real estate developments, project finance opportunities, oil and gas exploration businesses, troubled companies, turnarounds, and companies in which significant senior management is departing.

In lower middle market, the firm typically invests in growth financing, bolt-on acquisitions, new platform acquisitions, refinancing, dividend recapitalizations, sponsor-led buyouts, and management buyout situations.

The investment structures are unitranche debt, subordinated debt, senior debt, first and second lien debt, and preferred and common equity. The firm makes equity co-investments alongside debt investments, up to 20 percent of total check and only makes non-control investments.

The firm is industry agnostic, but it prefers to invest in industrial manufacturing and services, value-added distribution, healthcare products and services, business services, specialty chemicals, food and beverage, tech-enabled services and SaaS models.

The firm seeks to invest in energy services and products, industrial technologies, and specialty chemicals and products.

Within energy services and products, the firm seeks to invest in each segment of the industry, including upstream, midstream and downstream, excluding exploration and production, with a focus on differentiated products and services, equipment and tool rental, consumable products, and drilling and completion chemicals.

Within industrial technologies, it seeks to invest in automation and process controls, handling and packaging equipment, industrial filtration and fluid handling, measurement, monitoring and testing, professional tools, and sensors and instrumentation. Within specialty ch

Stock analysis

Capital Southwest Corporation (CSWC) currently trades at $23.26, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $19.59, 16% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $77.35 per share, and 5 of the 9 models we run sit above the $23.26 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $10.63, and 4 of the 9 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $14.70 (bear) to $24.49 (bull), the price of $23.26 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Capital Southwest Corporation reported revenue of $246M in FY2026 versus $103M in FY2022, a compound +24.3%/yr. Reported net income was $113M in FY2026, compounding +27.5%/yr from FY2022.

Key figures

Market cap $1.6B Small · P/E ratio 13.6 · P/S ratio 6.91 · EPS (TTM) $1.71 · Dividend yield 10.0% · Net margin 46.7% · Return on equity 11.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.3% (5-year average).

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 64 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 28% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −16% fair-value upside, at −16%, CSWC screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $14.70 Fair Value $19.59 Bull $24.49
Price $23.26 · Downside -15.8%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income $13.91 $15.44 $18.59 76
Owner Earnings $35.67 $77.35 $157.11 71
Gordon GGM $18.83 $35.19 $50.04 67
All 9 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $35.67 $77.35 $157.11 71
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $12.06 $84.08 $117.99 63
Lynch FV $37.26 $53.22 $69.19 61
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $18.83 $35.19 $50.04 67
DDM Multi-Stage $18.83 $31.52 $37.44 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple $17.29 $23.05 $28.81 63
P/B Multiple $13.90 $18.53 $23.16 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $7.93 $10.63 $15.86 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income $13.91 $15.44 $18.59 76

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 36/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 42
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 86
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 0
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 46
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 34
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 89
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 50
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 68
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Insider trades

In the last 6 months, 3 officers or directors bought shares worth $196,971, most recently on Oct 1, 2026. Over the same period, one person sold shares worth $108,555. Buying cluster

  • BuyWilliam R Thomas IIIDirector2× since Jun 5, 2026: 7,170 shares, avg. $23.29$167,005Oct 1, 2026
  • BuyRamona Lynn Rogers-WindsorDirector2× since Jun 1, 2026: 424 shares, avg. $23.56$9,988Jun 30, 2026
  • BuyChristine BattistDirector2× since Feb 9, 2026: 1,460 shares, avg. $23.20$33,874Jun 17, 2026
  • SaleWilliam R Thomas IIIDirector4,661 shares at $23.29$108,555Jun 5, 2026
  • BuyMichael Scott SarnerPresident and CEO, Director2,695 shares at $21.90$59,013Feb 27, 2026

Plus 8 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.

Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.

Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 6, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 55/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+50.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+39.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+27.6%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+21.7%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted.
+21.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+11.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)10.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−6.7% vs −4.2%, steady
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.77% → 77%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2021 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 2.0%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.

CSWC screens overvalued: fair value 16% below the price. Compare with Blackstone Inc →

Recent news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (100 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Asset Management · 587 stocks

Beats the industry median on 7/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 36 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −15.8% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 11.2% · Above median
Return on assets 5.2% · Above median
Net margin (12 months) 46.7% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months) 87.6% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 9.1% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months) 10.0% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.12× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 13.6× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.62× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months) 6.91× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 8.0× · Cheaper than median
PEG 12.54× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)12 · sector 60
FUTURE (revenue growth)46 · sector 38
PAST (return on equity)45 · sector 29
HEALTH (low debt)94 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)100 · sector 80

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Exor N.V EXO €73.35 €139.37 +90% vs CSWC
Raymond James Financial, Inc RJF $162.81 $281.42 +73% vs CSWC
Apollo Global Management, Inc APO $116.75 $197.52 +69% vs CSWC
Ameriprise Financial, Inc AMP $501.49 $609.56 +22% vs CSWC
State Street Corporation STT $165.56 $139.37 −16% vs CSWC
Ares Management Corporation ARES $133.98 $99.35 −26% vs CSWC
Northern Trust Corporation NTRS $172.76 $123.42 −29% vs CSWC
Brookfield Asset Management Ltd BAM $52.95 $31.26 −41% vs CSWC
Blackstone Inc BX $119.50 $52.29 −56% vs CSWC
KKR & Co KKR $96.48 $27.32 −72% vs CSWC

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Capital Southwest Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CSWC

Frequently asked questions

Is Capital Southwest Corporation (CSWC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $19.59 versus a price of $23.26, about 16% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CSWC?
Our model-based fair value for Capital Southwest Corporation is $19.59 (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $23.26.
What is the quality score of CSWC?
Capital Southwest Corporation has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Capital Southwest Corporation (CSWC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $19.59 (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 9 valuation models. Cautious scenario $14.70, optimistic scenario $24.49. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Capital Southwest Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $19.59, about 16% lower versus a price of $23.26 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $14.70, optimistic scenario $24.49. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Capital Southwest Corporation (CSWC)?
Capital Southwest Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $237M (latest available figure, as of Nov 7, 2026).
Does Capital Southwest Corporation pay a dividend?
Capital Southwest Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of 9.98% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 7, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Capital Southwest Corporation (CSWC) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Capital Southwest Corporation pays a dividend of $2.32 per share a year, a dividend yield of 10.0%. The next ex-dividend date is Nov 13, 2026, with payment on Dec 31, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 1985. The payout ratio is 109% of earnings (on adjusted earnings, reported 136%). Our assessment: Pays more than it earns. The company pays out more in dividends than it earns, and free cash flow clearly does not cover the dividend either. It may need to be cut unless profits recover.
What is the intrinsic value of Capital Southwest Corporation (CSWC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Capital Southwest Corporation it is $19.59 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of $23.26. It is the blended result of 9 valuation models in 6 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit).
Is Capital Southwest Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, CSWC trades above its calculated fair value: price $23.26, fair value $19.59, a gap of about −16% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CSWC?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($23.26); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($19.59). For Capital Southwest Corporation the two are $3.67 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Capital Southwest Corporation worth?
The market values Capital Southwest Corporation at about $1.6B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is $23.26; our models calculate a fair value of $19.59 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CSWC?
Our models span a range for Capital Southwest Corporation: cautious scenario $14.70, base $19.59, optimistic $24.49 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price $23.26). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CSWC?
Capital Southwest Corporation trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 13.6 (as of Nov 7, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $19.59 is built from several models across several years. Excluding one-off items of fiscal year 2026 it is 11.6 (reported for FY2026: 14.5). Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 9 fiscal years (2017 to 2026), reported earnings, 6 of the years ex one-offs: 11.4. Other multiples: PEG 12.5, P/B 1.6, P/S 6.9, EV/EBITDA 8.0.
What is the PEG ratio of CSWC?
The PEG ratio of Capital Southwest Corporation is 12.54 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 7, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Capital Southwest Corporation (CSWC)?
Balance-sheet figures for Capital Southwest Corporation (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity 11.2%, debt of 0.12 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 36/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CSWC from its 52-week high?
Capital Southwest Corporation trades at $23.26, about 7% below its 52-week high of $25.09 and 28% above the low of $18.23 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $19.59 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Capital Southwest Corporation?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Blackstone Inc, Brookfield Asset Management Ltd, KKR & Co, Apollo Global Management, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Capital Southwest Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price $23.26, calculated fair value $19.59 (−16%), Quality Score 36/100, from 9 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CSWC calculated?
We run Capital Southwest Corporation through 9 models from 6 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $19.59 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Capital Southwest Corporation itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Capital Southwest Corporation (CSWC)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $23.26. Our model-based fair value is $19.59, about 16% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Capital Southwest Corporation right now?
Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Where does the earnings growth of Capital Southwest Corporation (CSWC) come from?
Earnings per share at Capital Southwest Corporation grew −4.3 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +0.3 %, EBIT margin −2.0 %, tax rate −0.4 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −2.4 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Capital Southwest Corporation

How large is the market capitalisation of Capital Southwest Corporation (CSWC)?
The market capitalisation of Capital Southwest Corporation is $1.6B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Capital Southwest Corporation (CSWC)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Capital Southwest Corporation is 6.91 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Capital Southwest Corporation (CSWC)?
Earnings per share at Capital Southwest Corporation are $1.71 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 13.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Capital Southwest Corporation (CSWC)?
The dividend yield of Capital Southwest Corporation is 10.0% (payout 109%, on adjusted earnings, reported 136%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Capital Southwest Corporation (CSWC)?
The net margin of Capital Southwest Corporation is 46.7% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Capital Southwest Corporation (CSWC)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Capital Southwest Corporation is 11.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Capital Southwest Corporation (CSWC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Capital Southwest Corporation is 5.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Capital Southwest Corporation (CSWC)?
The operating margin of Capital Southwest Corporation is 87.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Capital Southwest Corporation (CSWC)?
Revenue at Capital Southwest Corporation is growing +9.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +39.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Capital Southwest Corporation (CSWC)?
Earnings per share at Capital Southwest Corporation are growing −17.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Capital Southwest Corporation (CSWC) generate?
The free cash flow of Capital Southwest Corporation is −$194M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Capital Southwest Corporation (CSWC) carry?
The net debt of Capital Southwest Corporation is $1.1B (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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