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Great Elm Capital Corp (GECC) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 10, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Great Elm Capital Corp stock $4.92, price $5.01, that is 1.8% below the price, quality 33 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. The value is an estimate: none of our valuation models currently carries, it draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies. Updated daily.

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Financial Services US

GE Great Elm Capital Corp logo Thin data Nov 11, 2026

Great Elm Capital Corp

GECC · US
Fairly valued, weak quality

The stock costs about what our calculation considers fair.

Fair value $4.92 · Fairly valued
Mixed Growth (revenue YoY +13.1 %/yr in USD)
Moderate debt
Revenue last quarter 18% below a year ago.
Quality 33/100
Loss-making · -49.2% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/10)
Narrow moat 27/100 · thin data
Thin data
Estimate
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$9.70 $4.24 Fair Value $4.92 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 11, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $4.24 – $9.70 · fair‑value band $3.69 – $6.14 · the $5.01 price screens above the $4.92 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 11, 2026.

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Company profile

Great Elm Capital Corp. is a business development company which specializes in loan and mezzanine, middle market investments. It invests in the debt instruments of middle market companies.

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The fund prefers to invest in media, commercial services and supplies, healthcare, telecommunication services, communications equipment. It typically makes equity investments between $3 million and $10 million in companies with revenues between $3 million and $75 million.

Stock analysis

Great Elm Capital Corp (GECC) currently trades at $5.01, while our estimate is $4.92, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 1.8%).

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Valuation

None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Scenario range: $3.69 (bear) to $6.14 (bull), the price of $5.01 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Great Elm Capital Corp reported revenue of $44.5M in FY2025 versus −$6.6M in FY2021. Reported net income was −$31.8M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $68.3M Micro · P/S ratio 1.64 · EPS (TTM) $−1.64 · Net margin −49.2% · Return on equity −16.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.0% (5-year average) · Operating margin 67.4% · Revenue (TTM) $41.7M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 27 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at −2%, GECC screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value

Bear $3.69 Fair Value $4.92 Bull $6.14
Price $5.01 · Downside -1.8%
Estimate. None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 33/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 4
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 44
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 25
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 27
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 78
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 58
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 25
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 19
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 50
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Insider trades

In the last 6 months, no officer or director bought or sold shares on the open market.

Plus 4 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.

Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.

Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 10, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 28/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+13.1%
Revenue growth 15 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.7%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
60.9% (2011) → −28.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Asset Management · 658 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 33 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −1.8% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −9.3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −49.2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 67.4% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −18.3% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months) 25.9% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 1.27× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.60× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months) 1.64× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)31 · sector 37
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 36
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 23
HEALTH (low debt)37 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 78

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Raymond James Financial, Inc RJF $168.11 $281.42 +67% vs GECC
Apollo Global Management, Inc APO $122.74 $197.52 +61% vs GECC
Ameriprise Financial, Inc AMP $519.96 $609.56 +17% vs GECC
Exor N.V EXO €74.30 €76.42 +3% vs GECC
State Street Corporation STT $171.62 $139.37 −19% vs GECC
Ares Management Corporation ARES $139.41 $99.35 −29% vs GECC
Northern Trust Corporation NTRS $177.89 $123.42 −31% vs GECC
Brookfield Asset Management Ltd BAM $53.49 $31.26 −42% vs GECC
Blackstone Inc BX $122.53 $52.29 −57% vs GECC
KKR & Co KKR $100.85 $27.63 −73% vs GECC

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Great Elm Capital Corp: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Great Elm Capital Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GECC

Frequently asked questions

Is Great Elm Capital Corp (GECC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 11, 2026, our estimate of fair value is $4.92 versus a price of $5.01, about 2% lower (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of GECC?
Our estimate for Great Elm Capital Corp is $4.92 (as of Nov 11, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $5.01.
What is the quality score of GECC?
Great Elm Capital Corp has a Quality Score of 33/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Great Elm Capital Corp (GECC)?
Our calculated price target is the estimate of $4.92 (as of Nov 11, 2026). Cautious scenario $3.69, optimistic scenario $6.14. It is an estimate from revenue and assets compared with similar companies, because none of our valuation models currently carries, not an analyst target.
What is the Great Elm Capital Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our estimate puts fair value at $4.92, about 2% lower versus a price of $5.01 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $3.69, optimistic scenario $6.14. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Great Elm Capital Corp (GECC)?
Great Elm Capital Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $41.7M (latest available figure, as of Nov 11, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Great Elm Capital Corp (GECC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Great Elm Capital Corp it is $4.92 per share (as of Nov 11, 2026), against a price of $5.01.
Is Great Elm Capital Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 11, 2026, GECC trades above its calculated fair value: price $5.01, fair value $4.92, a gap of about −2% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GECC?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($5.01); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($4.92). For Great Elm Capital Corp the two are $0.0900 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Great Elm Capital Corp worth?
The market values Great Elm Capital Corp at about $68.3M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 11, 2026). Per share that is $5.01; our models calculate a fair value of $4.92 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GECC?
Our models span a range for Great Elm Capital Corp: cautious scenario $3.69, base $4.92, optimistic $6.14 per share (as of Nov 11, 2026, price $5.01). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Great Elm Capital Corp (GECC)?
Balance-sheet figures for Great Elm Capital Corp (as of Nov 11, 2026): return on equity −16.9%, debt of 1.27 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 33/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GECC from its 52-week high?
Great Elm Capital Corp trades at $5.01, about 25% below its 52-week high of $6.65 and 15% above the low of $4.36 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $4.92 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Great Elm Capital Corp?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Blackstone Inc, KKR & Co, Brookfield Asset Management Ltd, Apollo Global Management, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Great Elm Capital Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 11, 2026: price $5.01, calculated fair value $4.92 (−2%), Quality Score 33/100. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.1% above its aggregate fair value. Great Elm Capital Corp itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Great Elm Capital Corp (GECC)?
The closing price on Nov 10, 2026 was $5.01. Our estimate is $4.92, about 2% lower (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Great Elm Capital Corp right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Key figures of Great Elm Capital Corp

How large is the market capitalisation of Great Elm Capital Corp (GECC)?
The market capitalisation of Great Elm Capital Corp is $68.3M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Great Elm Capital Corp (GECC)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Great Elm Capital Corp is 1.64 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Great Elm Capital Corp (GECC)?
Earnings per share at Great Elm Capital Corp are $−1.64. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Great Elm Capital Corp (GECC)?
The net margin of Great Elm Capital Corp is −49.2% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Great Elm Capital Corp (GECC)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Great Elm Capital Corp is −16.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Great Elm Capital Corp (GECC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Great Elm Capital Corp is 0.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Great Elm Capital Corp (GECC)?
The operating margin of Great Elm Capital Corp is 67.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Great Elm Capital Corp (GECC)?
Revenue at Great Elm Capital Corp is growing −18.3% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Great Elm Capital Corp (GECC)?
Earnings per share at Great Elm Capital Corp are growing −54.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Great Elm Capital Corp (GECC) generate?
The free cash flow of Great Elm Capital Corp is −$2.8M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Great Elm Capital Corp (GECC) carry?
The net debt of Great Elm Capital Corp is $187M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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