Gundogdu Gida Sut Urunleri Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret Anonim Sirketi (GUNDG) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 4, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Gundogdu Gida Sut Urunleri Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret Anonim Sirketi stock TRY 6.39, price TRY 59.65, that is 89.3% below the price, quality 35 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
26‑month range 38.45 TRY – 2,630 TRY · fair‑value band 4.28 TRY – 8.49 TRY · the 59.65 TRY price screens above the 6.39 TRY fair value. As of Nov 5, 2026.
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Gundogdu Gida Sut Urunleri Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret Anonim Sirketi engages in the production of dairy products in Turkey. It offers kashar, local, sliced and grated, mozzarella, specialty, gourmet, aged kashar, tulum, butter and cream, lor, and cultured cheese products.
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The company was founded in 1975 and is headquartered in Istanbul, Turkey.
Stock analysis
Gundogdu Gida Sut Urunleri Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret Anonim Sirketi (GUNDG) currently trades at 59.65 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 6.39 TRY, 89% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 7.62 TRY per share, and 0 of the 6 models we run sit above the 59.65 TRY price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 3.53 TRY, and 6 of the 6 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 4.28 TRY (bear) to 8.49 TRY (bull), the price of 59.65 TRY sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Gundogdu Gida Sut Urunleri Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret Anonim Sirketi reported revenue of 1.8B TRY in FY2025 versus 1.8B TRY in FY2022, a compound +0.7%/yr. Reported net income was −104M TRY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 3.1B TRY (≈ $61.8M) Micro · P/S ratio 2.61 · EPS (TTM) −3.74 TRY · Net margin −11.6% · Return on equity −17.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.3% · Operating margin −145,687% · Revenue (TTM) 1.2B TRY.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 12 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 98% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −2% fair-value upside, at −89%, GUNDG screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear4.28 TRYFair Value 6.39 TRYBull8.49 TRY
Price 59.65 TRY · Downside -89.3%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.6/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
−34.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.7%
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Gundogdu Gida Sut Urunleri Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret Anonim Sirketi with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 627 stocks
Beats the industry median on 0/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score35 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−89.3% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−8.6% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)−11.6% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−29.0% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
P/B3.93× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months)2.61× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 34
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 24
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 31
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 55
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Gundogdu Gida Sut Urunleri Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret Anonim Sirketi Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GUNDG
Frequently asked questions
Is Gundogdu Gida Sut Urunleri Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret Anonim Sirketi (GUNDG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 6.39 TRY versus a price of 59.65 TRY, about 89% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GUNDG?
Our model-based fair value for Gundogdu Gida Sut Urunleri Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret Anonim Sirketi is 6.39 TRY (as of Nov 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 59.65 TRY.
What is the quality score of GUNDG?
Gundogdu Gida Sut Urunleri Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret Anonim Sirketi has a Quality Score of 35/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Gundogdu Gida Sut Urunleri Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret Anonim Sirketi (GUNDG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 6.39 TRY (as of Nov 5, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario 4.28 TRY, optimistic scenario 8.49 TRY. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Gundogdu Gida Sut Urunleri Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret Anonim Sirketi stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 6.39 TRY, about 89% lower versus a price of 59.65 TRY (overvalued). Cautious scenario 4.28 TRY, optimistic scenario 8.49 TRY. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Gundogdu Gida Sut Urunleri Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret Anonim Sirketi (GUNDG)?
Gundogdu Gida Sut Urunleri Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret Anonim Sirketi reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.2B TRY (latest available figure, as of Nov 5, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Gundogdu Gida Sut Urunleri Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret Anonim Sirketi (GUNDG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Gundogdu Gida Sut Urunleri Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret Anonim Sirketi it is 6.39 TRY per share (as of Nov 5, 2026), against a price of 59.65 TRY. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Gundogdu Gida Sut Urunleri Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret Anonim Sirketi stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 5, 2026, GUNDG trades above its calculated fair value: price 59.65 TRY, fair value 6.39 TRY, a gap of about −89% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GUNDG?
No. The price is what the market pays today (59.65 TRY); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (6.39 TRY). For Gundogdu Gida Sut Urunleri Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret Anonim Sirketi the two are 53.26 TRY per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Gundogdu Gida Sut Urunleri Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret Anonim Sirketi worth?
The market values Gundogdu Gida Sut Urunleri Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret Anonim Sirketi at about 3.1B TRY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 5, 2026). Per share that is 59.65 TRY; our models calculate a fair value of 6.39 TRY per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GUNDG?
Our models span a range for Gundogdu Gida Sut Urunleri Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret Anonim Sirketi: cautious scenario 4.28 TRY, base 6.39 TRY, optimistic 8.49 TRY per share (as of Nov 5, 2026, price 59.65 TRY). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Gundogdu Gida Sut Urunleri Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret Anonim Sirketi (GUNDG)?
Balance-sheet figures for Gundogdu Gida Sut Urunleri Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret Anonim Sirketi (as of Nov 5, 2026): return on equity −17.2%. They feed the Quality Score of 35/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GUNDG from its 52-week high?
Gundogdu Gida Sut Urunleri Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret Anonim Sirketi trades at 59.65 TRY, about 98% below its 52-week high of 2,630 TRY and 3% above the low of 57.90 TRY (as of Nov 4, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 6.39 TRY is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Gundogdu Gida Sut Urunleri Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret Anonim Sirketi?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, The Kraft Heinz Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Gundogdu Gida Sut Urunleri Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret Anonim Sirketi stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 5, 2026: price 59.65 TRY, calculated fair value 6.39 TRY (−89%), Quality Score 35/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GUNDG calculated?
We run Gundogdu Gida Sut Urunleri Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret Anonim Sirketi through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 6.39 TRY, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.0% above its aggregate fair value. Gundogdu Gida Sut Urunleri Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret Anonim Sirketi itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Gundogdu Gida Sut Urunleri Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret Anonim Sirketi (GUNDG)?
The closing price on Nov 4, 2026 was 59.65 TRY. Our model-based fair value is 6.39 TRY, about 89% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Gundogdu Gida Sut Urunleri Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret Anonim Sirketi right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (8.49 TRY). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (35/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (4.28 TRY to 8.49 TRY) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Gundogdu Gida Sut Urunleri Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret Anonim Sirketi
How large is the market capitalisation of Gundogdu Gida Sut Urunleri Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret Anonim Sirketi (GUNDG)?
The market capitalisation of Gundogdu Gida Sut Urunleri Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret Anonim Sirketi is 3.1B TRY (≈ $61.8M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Gundogdu Gida Sut Urunleri Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret Anonim Sirketi (GUNDG)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Gundogdu Gida Sut Urunleri Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret Anonim Sirketi is 2.61 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Gundogdu Gida Sut Urunleri Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret Anonim Sirketi (GUNDG)?
Earnings per share at Gundogdu Gida Sut Urunleri Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret Anonim Sirketi are −3.74 TRY. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Gundogdu Gida Sut Urunleri Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret Anonim Sirketi (GUNDG)?
The net margin of Gundogdu Gida Sut Urunleri Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret Anonim Sirketi is −11.6% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Gundogdu Gida Sut Urunleri Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret Anonim Sirketi (GUNDG)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Gundogdu Gida Sut Urunleri Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret Anonim Sirketi is −17.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Gundogdu Gida Sut Urunleri Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret Anonim Sirketi (GUNDG)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Gundogdu Gida Sut Urunleri Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret Anonim Sirketi is 7.3% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Gundogdu Gida Sut Urunleri Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret Anonim Sirketi (GUNDG)?
The operating margin of Gundogdu Gida Sut Urunleri Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret Anonim Sirketi is −145,687% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Gundogdu Gida Sut Urunleri Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret Anonim Sirketi (GUNDG)?
Revenue at Gundogdu Gida Sut Urunleri Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret Anonim Sirketi is growing −29.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Gundogdu Gida Sut Urunleri Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret Anonim Sirketi (GUNDG) generate?
The free cash flow of Gundogdu Gida Sut Urunleri Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret Anonim Sirketi is −137M TRY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Gundogdu Gida Sut Urunleri Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret Anonim Sirketi (GUNDG) carry?
The net debt of Gundogdu Gida Sut Urunleri Sanayi ve Dis Ticaret Anonim Sirketi is 79.5M TRY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Nov 5, 2026