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Mahkota Group Tbk PT (MGRO) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 10, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Mahkota Group Tbk PT stock IDR 545, price IDR 690, that is 21.1% below the price, quality 49 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. The value is an estimate: none of our valuation models currently carries, it draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies. Updated daily.

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Consumer Defensive ID · ISIN ID1000144603

MG Mahkota Group Tbk PT logo Thin data Nov 10, 2026

Mahkota Group Tbk PT

MGRO · JK
Expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 21% below what the stock costs today.

Quality 49/100
Fair value 544.62 IDR · Overvalued
Weak Growth (revenue 3y −5.5 %/yr in IDR)
Loss-making · -0.6% net margin (TTM)
High debt
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/12)
Narrow moat 16/100 · thin data
Thin data
Estimate⚠ Small free float
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

920.00 IDR 550.00 IDR Fair Value 544.62 IDR Jun 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 550.00 IDR – 920.00 IDR · fair‑value band 408.46 IDR – 680.77 IDR · the 690.00 IDR price screens above the 544.62 IDR fair value. As of Nov 10, 2026.

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Company profile

PT Mahkota Group Tbk engages in the palm oil processing business in Indonesia. It operates through five segments: Crude Palm Oil and Its Derivatives; Palm Kernel and Its Derivatives; Other Palm Products; Tank Rental; and Management fees.

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The company offers crude palm oil, palm kernel, fresh fruit bunches, boiler ash and solid, RBD palm olein, palm fatty acid distillate, palm kernel oil, and palm kernel expeller.

It also rents storage tanks and management services, as well as offering shipping and storage services for liquid bulk products. The company was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Medan, Indonesia. PT Mahkota Group Tbk operates as a subsidiary of PT Mahkota Global Investama.

Stock analysis

Mahkota Group Tbk PT (MGRO) currently trades at 690.00 IDR, while our estimate is 544.62 IDR, 21% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Scenario range: 408.46 IDR (bear) to 680.77 IDR (bull), the price of 690.00 IDR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Mahkota Group Tbk PT reported revenue of 6.3T IDR in FY2025 versus 7.3T IDR in FY2021, a compound −3.5%/yr. Reported net income was −48.3B IDR in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 2.4T IDR (≈ $134M) Micro · P/S ratio 0.36 · EPS (TTM) −10.51 IDR · Dividend yield 0.3% · Net margin −0.6% · Return on equity −9.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.0% (5-year average) · Operating margin 0.8%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 16 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at −21%, MGRO screens richer than that median.

Fair Value

Bear 408.46 IDR Fair Value 544.62 IDR Bull 680.77 IDR
Price 690.00 IDR · Downside -21.1%
Estimate. None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 30
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 65
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 19
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 21
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 97
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 89
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 41
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 30
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 86
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 32/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+35.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +12.1% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.1%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
0.2% (2020) → 0.3% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

MGRO screens overvalued: fair value 21% below the price. Compare with Nestlé S.A →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 660 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 49 · Below median
Fair Value upside −21.1% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −1.8% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −0.6% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 0.8% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 9.4% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months) 0.3% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 1.62× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper

P/B 6.94× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 0.36× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 14.1× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)5 · sector 34
FUTURE (revenue growth)47 · sector 25
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 30
HEALTH (low debt)19 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)6 · sector 55

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Wilmar International Limited F34 2.95 SGD 4.93 SGD +67% vs MGRO
Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group 600887 ¥31.14 ¥41.84 +34% vs MGRO
The Kraft Heinz Company KHC $24.24 $29.20 +20% vs MGRO
Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company 603288 ¥35.46 ¥39.22 +11% vs MGRO
General Mills, Inc GIS $34.60 $35.30 +2% vs MGRO
Danone S.A BN €68.32 €50.65 −26% vs MGRO
Nestlé S.A NESN CHF 86.41 CHF 59.51 −31% vs MGRO
Kerry Group KRZ €97.10 €60.33 −38% vs MGRO
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,298 ₹724.74 −44% vs MGRO
Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings 300999 ¥25.92 ¥12.21 −53% vs MGRO

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Mahkota Group Tbk PT: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Mahkota Group Tbk PT Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MGRO

Frequently asked questions

Is Mahkota Group Tbk PT (MGRO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our estimate of fair value is 544.62 IDR versus a price of 690.00 IDR, about 21% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MGRO?
Our estimate for Mahkota Group Tbk PT is 544.62 IDR (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 690.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of MGRO?
Mahkota Group Tbk PT has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Mahkota Group Tbk PT (MGRO)?
Our calculated price target is the estimate of 544.62 IDR (as of Nov 10, 2026). Cautious scenario 408.46 IDR, optimistic scenario 680.77 IDR. It is an estimate from revenue and assets compared with similar companies, because none of our valuation models currently carries, not an analyst target.
What is the Mahkota Group Tbk PT stock forecast for 2026?
Our estimate puts fair value at 544.62 IDR, about 21% lower versus a price of 690.00 IDR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 408.46 IDR, optimistic scenario 680.77 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Mahkota Group Tbk PT (MGRO)?
Mahkota Group Tbk PT reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 6.7T IDR (latest available figure, as of Nov 10, 2026).
Does Mahkota Group Tbk PT pay a dividend?
Mahkota Group Tbk PT currently shows a dividend yield of 0.29% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 10, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Mahkota Group Tbk PT (MGRO)?
Mahkota Group Tbk PT has a dividend yield of 0.3%.
What is the intrinsic value of Mahkota Group Tbk PT (MGRO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Mahkota Group Tbk PT it is 544.62 IDR per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of 690.00 IDR.
Is Mahkota Group Tbk PT stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, MGRO trades above its calculated fair value: price 690.00 IDR, fair value 544.62 IDR, a gap of about −21% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MGRO?
No. The price is what the market pays today (690.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (544.62 IDR). For Mahkota Group Tbk PT the two are 145.38 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Mahkota Group Tbk PT worth?
The market values Mahkota Group Tbk PT at about 2.4T IDR (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is 690.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 544.62 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MGRO?
Our models span a range for Mahkota Group Tbk PT: cautious scenario 408.46 IDR, base 544.62 IDR, optimistic 680.77 IDR per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price 690.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Mahkota Group Tbk PT (MGRO)?
Balance-sheet figures for Mahkota Group Tbk PT (as of Nov 10, 2026): return on equity −9.0%, debt of 1.62 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MGRO from its 52-week high?
Mahkota Group Tbk PT trades at 690.00 IDR, about 13% below its 52-week high of 790.00 IDR and 10% above the low of 630.00 IDR (as of Nov 10, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 544.62 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Mahkota Group Tbk PT?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, The Kraft Heinz Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Mahkota Group Tbk PT stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price 690.00 IDR, calculated fair value 544.62 IDR (−21%), Quality Score 49/100. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.1% above its aggregate fair value. Mahkota Group Tbk PT itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Mahkota Group Tbk PT (MGRO)?
The closing price on Nov 10, 2026 was 690.00 IDR. Our estimate is 544.62 IDR, about 21% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Mahkota Group Tbk PT right now?
Weak quality (49/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Mahkota Group Tbk PT

How large is the market capitalisation of Mahkota Group Tbk PT (MGRO)?
The market capitalisation of Mahkota Group Tbk PT is 2.4T IDR (≈ $134M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Mahkota Group Tbk PT (MGRO)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Mahkota Group Tbk PT is 0.36 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Mahkota Group Tbk PT (MGRO)?
Earnings per share at Mahkota Group Tbk PT are −10.51 IDR. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Mahkota Group Tbk PT (MGRO)?
The dividend yield of Mahkota Group Tbk PT is 0.3%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Mahkota Group Tbk PT (MGRO)?
The net margin of Mahkota Group Tbk PT is −0.6% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Mahkota Group Tbk PT (MGRO)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Mahkota Group Tbk PT is −9.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Mahkota Group Tbk PT (MGRO)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Mahkota Group Tbk PT is 3.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Mahkota Group Tbk PT (MGRO)?
The operating margin of Mahkota Group Tbk PT is 0.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Mahkota Group Tbk PT (MGRO)?
Revenue at Mahkota Group Tbk PT is growing +9.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −5.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Mahkota Group Tbk PT (MGRO)?
Earnings per share at Mahkota Group Tbk PT are growing −3.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Mahkota Group Tbk PT (MGRO) generate?
The free cash flow of Mahkota Group Tbk PT is −108B IDR (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Mahkota Group Tbk PT (MGRO) carry?
The net debt of Mahkota Group Tbk PT is 1.9T IDR (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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