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Mount Logan Capital Inc. (MLCI) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Mount Logan Capital Inc. stock $5.87, price $3.47, upside +69.3%, quality 40 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 2 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Financial Services US

ML Mount Logan Capital Inc. logo Thin data Nov 8, 2026

Mount Logan Capital Inc.

MLCI · US
Cheap, value-trap risk

The stock costs 41% less than our calculation considers fair.

Fair value $5.87 · Strongly undervalued
Even on cautious assumptions the value is 27% above the price ($4.40).
Quality 40/100
0.9% dividend yield · Safety not assessed
Insiders bought $43,528 (6M)
Weak Growth (revenue YoY −8.9 %/yr in USD)
Loss-making · -165.2% net margin (TTM)
Trails peers (4/11)
Narrow moat 9/100
Thin data
⚠ Dilution
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$8.49 $2.65 Fair Value $5.87 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $2.65 – $8.49 · fair‑value band $4.40 – $7.34 · the $3.47 price screens below the $5.87 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 8, 2026.

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Company profile

Mount Logan Capital Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides asset management and insurance solutions in the United States. It operates in two segments, Asset Management and Insurance Solutions.

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The company focuses on private credit across senior secured lending, asset-based and specialty finance, structured and other credit, venture and other lending, and select equity-linked solutions.

It also provides underwriting, portfolio construction, and risk management solutions; investment advisory and management services; and reinsuring annuity products for individuals seeking to fund retirement needs.

The company was formerly known as Marret Resource Corp. and changed its name to Mount Logan Capital Inc. in October 2018. Mount Logan Capital Inc. is headquartered in New York, New York.

Stock analysis

Mount Logan Capital Inc. (MLCI) currently trades at $3.47, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $5.87, implying the stock looks roughly 41% undervalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: $4.40 (bear) to $7.34 (bull), the price of $3.47 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.

Mount Logan Capital Inc. Common Stock reported revenue of −$12.4M in FY2025 versus $22.1M in FY2021. Reported net income was −$60.8M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $38.8M Micro · P/S ratio 1.20 · EPS (TTM) $−5.36 · Dividend yield 0.9% · Return on equity −55.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.1% (5-year average) · Operating margin −30.5% · Revenue (TTM) $32.5M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 9 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 59% below its 52-week high and 31% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −16% fair-value upside, at 69%, MLCI screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $4.40 Fair Value $5.87 Bull $7.34
Price $3.47 · Upside +69.3%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
P/B Multiple $5.18 $6.91 $8.64 55
NCAV (Graham) $2.07 $2.78 $4.14 54
All 2 models by family
Multiples
P/B Multiple $5.18 $6.91 $8.64 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $2.07 $2.78 $4.14 54

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 40/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 21
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 42
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 75
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 3
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 63
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 51
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 31
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 7
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 50
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

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Insider trades

In the last 6 months, 4 officers or directors bought shares worth $43,528, most recently on Sep 2, 2026. Buying cluster

  • BuyBrandon SatorenChief Financial Officer3× since Aug 17, 2026: 3,500 shares, avg. $3.14$10,990Sep 2, 2026
  • BuyDavid HeldChief Compliance Officer946 shares at $3.39$3,207Aug 19, 2026
  • BuyEdward J. GoldthorpeChief Executive Officer, Director7,970 shares at $2.77$22,077Jun 22, 2026
  • BuyJordan MangumChief Operating Officer2,115 shares at $3.43$7,254May 26, 2026

Plus 12 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.

Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.

Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 6, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Asset Management · 587 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 40 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +69.3% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −3.8% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −165.2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −30.5% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 14.4% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months) 0.9% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 1.03× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.43× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months) 1.20× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 60
FUTURE (revenue growth)72 · sector 38
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 29
HEALTH (low debt)–
DIVIDEND (yield)18 · sector 80

HEALTH: for banks, insurers and similar financial firms borrowed money is part of the business, so we do not rate debt here.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Exor N.V EXO €73.35 €139.37 +90% vs MLCI
Raymond James Financial, Inc RJF $162.81 $281.42 +73% vs MLCI
Apollo Global Management, Inc APO $116.75 $197.52 +69% vs MLCI
Ameriprise Financial, Inc AMP $501.49 $609.56 +22% vs MLCI
State Street Corporation STT $165.56 $139.37 −16% vs MLCI
Ares Management Corporation ARES $133.98 $99.35 −26% vs MLCI
Northern Trust Corporation NTRS $172.76 $123.42 −29% vs MLCI
Brookfield Asset Management Ltd BAM $52.95 $31.26 −41% vs MLCI
Blackstone Inc BX $119.50 $52.29 −56% vs MLCI
KKR & Co KKR $96.48 $27.32 −72% vs MLCI

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Mount Logan Capital Inc. Common Stock: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Mount Logan Capital Inc. Common Stock Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MLCI

Frequently asked questions

Is Mount Logan Capital Inc. (MLCI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $5.87 versus a price of $3.47, about +69% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of MLCI?
Our model-based fair value for Mount Logan Capital Inc. is $5.87 (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $3.47.
What is the quality score of MLCI?
Mount Logan Capital Inc. has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Mount Logan Capital Inc. (MLCI)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $5.87 (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario $4.40, optimistic scenario $7.34. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Mount Logan Capital Inc. Common Stock stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $5.87, about +69% upside versus a price of $3.47 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $4.40, optimistic scenario $7.34. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Mount Logan Capital Inc. (MLCI)?
Mount Logan Capital Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $32.5M (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
Does Mount Logan Capital Inc. Common Stock pay a dividend?
Mount Logan Capital Inc. currently shows a dividend yield of 0.92% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 8, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Mount Logan Capital Inc. (MLCI) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Mount Logan Capital Inc. pays a dividend of $0.032 per share a year, a dividend yield of 0.9%. The next ex-dividend date is Nov 19, 2026. Our assessment: Safety not assessed. Payout ratio and cash coverage are not available, so we do not judge how safe this dividend is.
What is the intrinsic value of Mount Logan Capital Inc. (MLCI)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Mount Logan Capital Inc. it is $5.87 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of $3.47. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models in 2 families (Multiples, Asset-Based).
Is Mount Logan Capital Inc. Common Stock stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, MLCI trades below its calculated fair value: price $3.47, fair value $5.87, a gap of about +69% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MLCI?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($3.47); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($5.87). For Mount Logan Capital Inc. the two are $2.40 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Mount Logan Capital Inc. Common Stock worth?
The market values Mount Logan Capital Inc. at about $38.8M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is $3.47; our models calculate a fair value of $5.87 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MLCI?
Our models span a range for Mount Logan Capital Inc.: cautious scenario $4.40, base $5.87, optimistic $7.34 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price $3.47). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Mount Logan Capital Inc. (MLCI)?
Balance-sheet figures for Mount Logan Capital Inc. (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity −55.3%, debt of 1.03 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 40/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MLCI from its 52-week high?
Mount Logan Capital Inc. trades at $3.47, about 59% below its 52-week high of $8.49 and 31% above the low of $2.65 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $5.87 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Mount Logan Capital Inc. Common Stock?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Blackstone Inc, Brookfield Asset Management Ltd, KKR & Co, Apollo Global Management, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Mount Logan Capital Inc. Common Stock stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price $3.47, calculated fair value $5.87 (+69%), Quality Score 40/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MLCI calculated?
We run Mount Logan Capital Inc. through 2 models from 2 families: Multiples, Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $5.87 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Mount Logan Capital Inc. currently trades 41% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Mount Logan Capital Inc. (MLCI)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $3.47. Our model-based fair value is $5.87, about +69% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Mount Logan Capital Inc. Common Stock right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (40/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case ($4.40). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Key figures of Mount Logan Capital Inc.

How large is the market capitalisation of Mount Logan Capital Inc. (MLCI)?
The market capitalisation of Mount Logan Capital Inc. is $38.8M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Mount Logan Capital Inc. (MLCI)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Mount Logan Capital Inc. is 1.20 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Mount Logan Capital Inc. (MLCI)?
Earnings per share at Mount Logan Capital Inc. are $−5.36. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Mount Logan Capital Inc. (MLCI)?
The dividend yield of Mount Logan Capital Inc. is 0.9%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the return on equity of Mount Logan Capital Inc. (MLCI)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Mount Logan Capital Inc. is −55.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Mount Logan Capital Inc. (MLCI)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Mount Logan Capital Inc. is −0.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Mount Logan Capital Inc. (MLCI)?
The operating margin of Mount Logan Capital Inc. is −30.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Mount Logan Capital Inc. (MLCI)?
Revenue at Mount Logan Capital Inc. is growing +14.4% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Mount Logan Capital Inc. (MLCI) generate?
The free cash flow of Mount Logan Capital Inc. is −$22.2M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Mount Logan Capital Inc. (MLCI) carry?
The net debt of Mount Logan Capital Inc. is $78.5M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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