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Mount Logan Capital Inc. (MLCI) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Mount Logan Capital Inc. $3.78, price $3.33, upside +13.5%, quality 47 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Financial Services · US · ISIN US62188E1038

ML Mount Logan Capital Inc. logo Thin data Sep 23, 2026

Mount Logan Capital Inc.

MLCI · US

SpeculativeUpside exists, but weak quality makes the signal speculative.

✓Fair value $3.78 · Undervalued (+14%)
!Quality 47/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 3y +107.0 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -151.5% net margin (TTM)
!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
·5.44% dividend yield
!Trails peers (3/11)
!Narrow moat 9/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$8.49 $2.65 Fair Value $3.78 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $2.65 – $8.49 · fair‑value band $2.84 – $4.73 · the $3.33 price screens below the $3.78 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Mount Logan Capital Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides asset management and insurance solutions in the United States. It operates in two segments, Asset Management and Insurance Solutions.

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Mount Logan Capital Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides asset management and insurance solutions in the United States. It operates in two segments, Asset Management and Insurance Solutions. The company focuses on private credit across senior secured lending, asset-based and specialty finance, structured and other credit, venture and other lending, and select equity-linked solutions. It also provides underwriting, portfolio construction, and risk management solutions; investment advisory and management services; and reinsuring annuity products for individuals seeking to fund retirement needs. The company was formerly known as Marret Resource Corp. and changed its name to Mount Logan Capital Inc. in October 2018. Mount Logan Capital Inc. is headquartered in New York, New York.

Stock analysis

Mount Logan Capital Inc. Common Stock (MLCI) currently trades at $3.33, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $3.78, implying the stock looks roughly 11.9% undervalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 4 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: $2.84 (bear) to $4.73 (bull), the price of $3.33 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Mount Logan Capital Inc. Common Stock reported revenue of −$12.4M in FY2025 versus $22.1M in FY2021. Reported net income was −$60.8M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $31.1M · P/S ratio 0.78 · EPS (TTM) $−6.57 · Dividend yield 5.4% · Net margin −151% · Return on equity −103% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.1% · Operating margin −69.0%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 61% below its 52-week high and 26% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −4% fair-value upside, at 14%, MLCI screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $2.84 Fair Value $3.78 Bull $4.73
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
P/B Multiple $5.18 $6.91 $8.64 55
NCAV (Graham) $4.06 $5.45 $8.13 54
All 2 models by family
Multiples
P/B Multiple $5.18 $6.91 $8.64 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $4.06 $5.45 $8.13 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 30

Profitability 21
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 42
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 75
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 3
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 63
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 53
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 28
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 6
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 33/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−8.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+107.0%
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Compare Mount Logan Capital Inc. Common Stock with another stock

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Asset Management · 657 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 46 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +14% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −4% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −151% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −69% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −36% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.4% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 1.03× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.34× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.78× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)51 · sector 54
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 21
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 23
HEALTH (low debt)49 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)100 · sector 81

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Blackstone Inc BX $124.01 $52.88 −57%
Brookfield Corporation BN $37.85 $13.75 −64%
KKR & Co KKR $97.21 $29.25 −70%
Apollo Global Management, Inc APO $124.36 $229.64 +85%
State Street Corporation STT $179.95 $138.33 −23%
Ameriprise Financial, Inc AMP $502.79 $579.51 +15%
Ares Management Corporation ARES $124.72 $119.25 −4%
Northern Trust Corporation NTRS $173.40 $122.02 −30%
Raymond James Financial, Inc RJF $158.23 $312.27 +97%
T. Rowe Price Group TROW $104.57 $209.14 +100%

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Mount Logan Capital Inc. Common Stock · Fair Value
$3.78 +12%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Mount Logan Capital Inc. Common Stock Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MLCI

Frequently asked questions

Is Mount Logan Capital Inc. (MLCI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $3.78 versus a price of $3.33, about +14% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of MLCI?
Our model-based fair value for Mount Logan Capital Inc. Common Stock is $3.78 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $3.33.
What is the quality score of MLCI?
Mount Logan Capital Inc. Common Stock has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Mount Logan Capital Inc. (MLCI)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $3.78 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario $2.84, optimistic scenario $4.73. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Mount Logan Capital Inc. Common Stock stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $3.78, about +14% upside versus a price of $3.33 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $2.84, optimistic scenario $4.73. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Mount Logan Capital Inc. (MLCI)?
Mount Logan Capital Inc. Common Stock reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $39.7M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Mount Logan Capital Inc. Common Stock pay a dividend?
Mount Logan Capital Inc. Common Stock currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.44% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Mount Logan Capital Inc. (MLCI)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Mount Logan Capital Inc. Common Stock it is $3.78 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $3.33. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Mount Logan Capital Inc. Common Stock stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, MLCI trades below its calculated fair value: price $3.33, fair value $3.78, a gap of about +14% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MLCI?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($3.33); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($3.78). For Mount Logan Capital Inc. Common Stock the two are $0.4500 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Mount Logan Capital Inc. Common Stock worth?
The market values Mount Logan Capital Inc. Common Stock at about $31.1M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $3.33; our models calculate a fair value of $3.78 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MLCI?
Our models span a range for Mount Logan Capital Inc. Common Stock: cautious scenario $2.84, base $3.78, optimistic $4.73 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $3.33). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Mount Logan Capital Inc. (MLCI)?
Balance-sheet figures for Mount Logan Capital Inc. Common Stock (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −103.3%, debt of 1.03 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 47/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MLCI from its 52-week high?
Mount Logan Capital Inc. Common Stock trades at $3.33, about 61% below its 52-week high of $8.49 and 26% above the low of $2.65 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $3.78 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Mount Logan Capital Inc. Common Stock?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Blackstone Inc, Brookfield Corporation, KKR & Co, Apollo Global Management, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Mount Logan Capital Inc. Common Stock stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $3.33, calculated fair value $3.78 (+14%), Quality Score 47/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MLCI calculated?
We run Mount Logan Capital Inc. Common Stock through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $3.78, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Mount Logan Capital Inc. Common Stock currently trades 14 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Mount Logan Capital Inc. (MLCI)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $3.33. Our model-based fair value is $3.78, about +14% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Mount Logan Capital Inc. Common Stock right now?
Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Key figures of Mount Logan Capital Inc. Common Stock

How large is the market capitalisation of Mount Logan Capital Inc. (MLCI)?
The market capitalisation of Mount Logan Capital Inc. Common Stock is $31.1M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Mount Logan Capital Inc. (MLCI)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Mount Logan Capital Inc. Common Stock is 0.78 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Mount Logan Capital Inc. (MLCI)?
Earnings per share at Mount Logan Capital Inc. Common Stock are $−6.57. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Mount Logan Capital Inc. (MLCI)?
The dividend yield of Mount Logan Capital Inc. Common Stock is 5.4%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Mount Logan Capital Inc. (MLCI)?
The net margin of Mount Logan Capital Inc. Common Stock is −151% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Mount Logan Capital Inc. (MLCI)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Mount Logan Capital Inc. Common Stock is −103% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Mount Logan Capital Inc. (MLCI)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Mount Logan Capital Inc. Common Stock is −0.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Mount Logan Capital Inc. (MLCI)?
The operating margin of Mount Logan Capital Inc. Common Stock is −69.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Mount Logan Capital Inc. (MLCI)?
Revenue at Mount Logan Capital Inc. Common Stock is growing −35.5% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Mount Logan Capital Inc. (MLCI) generate?
The free cash flow of Mount Logan Capital Inc. Common Stock is −$22.2M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Mount Logan Capital Inc. (MLCI) carry?
The net debt of Mount Logan Capital Inc. Common Stock is $78.5M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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