Mount Logan Capital Inc (MLCI) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $31.1M

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

• The model range is unusually wide ($1.42 to $5.46). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
• The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
• Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
• For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $2.74 – $8.49 · fair‑value band $1.42 – $5.46 · the $3.03 price screens below the $3.16 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

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Analysis

Mount Logan Capital Inc (MLCI) currently trades at $3.03, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $3.16, implying the stock looks roughly 4.3% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $39.7M. Revenue declined 35.5% year over year. Net debt stands at $78.5M. Fundamentals as of Jul 27, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $1.42 (bear case) to $5.46 (bull case); at $3.03, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 65% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -12% fair-value upside, at 4%, MLCI screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: Multiples ($6.91) versus Asset-Based ($5.45). Highest evidence: P/B Multiple (55).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Mount Logan Capital Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides asset management and insurance solutions in the United States. It operates in two segments, Asset Management and Insurance Solutions.

Full company description

Mount Logan Capital Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides asset management and insurance solutions in the United States. It operates in two segments, Asset Management and Insurance Solutions. The company focuses on private credit across senior secured lending, asset-based and specialty finance, structured and other credit, venture and other lending, and select equity-linked solutions. It also provides underwriting, portfolio construction, and risk management solutions; investment advisory and management services; and reinsuring annuity products for individuals seeking to fund retirement needs. The company was formerly known as Marret Resource Corp. and changed its name to Mount Logan Capital Inc. in October 2018. Mount Logan Capital Inc. is headquartered in New York, New York.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Mount Logan Capital Inc reported revenue of −$12.4M in FY2025 versus $22.1M in FY2021. Reported net income was −$60.8M in FY2025.

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Peer Group

Asset Management · 971 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.