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Data-driven stock valuation

NeoVolta Inc. (NEOV) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 10, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of NeoVolta Inc. stock $1.92, price $2.97, that is 35.4% below the price, quality 36 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. The value is an estimate: none of our valuation models currently carries, it draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies. Updated daily.

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Industrials US

NI NeoVolta Inc. logo Thin data Nov 10, 2026

NeoVolta Inc.

NEOV · US
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 35% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +22.5 %/yr in USD)
Insiders bought $297,050 (6M)
Fair value $1.92 · Strongly overvalued
Quality 36/100
Loss-making · -161.0% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (1/8)
Narrow moat 7/100 · thin data
Thin data
Estimate
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69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$7.17 $0.6900 Fair Value $1.92 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.6900 – $7.17 · fair‑value band $1.44 – $2.40 · the $2.97 price screens above the $1.92 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 10, 2026.

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Company profile

NeoVolta Inc. designs, manufactures, and sells energy storage systems in the United States.

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The company provides NV14, NV14-K, and NV 24 energy storage systems, which stores and uses energy through batteries and an inverter at residential or commercial sites; and NV16KAC. It markets and sells its products directly to certified solar installers and solar equipment distributors.

The company was founded in 2018 and is headquartered in Poway, California.

Stock analysis

NeoVolta Inc. (NEOV) currently trades at $2.97, while our estimate is $1.92, 35% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Scenario range: $1.44 (bear) to $2.40 (bull), the price of $2.97 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

NeoVolta Inc. Common Stock reported revenue of $13.3M in FY2026 versus $4.5M in FY2022, a compound +31.4%/yr. Reported net income was −$21.5M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap $142M Micro · P/S ratio 9.34 · EPS (TTM) $−0.5500 · Return on equity −101% · Return on assets (EBIT) −67.2% (5-year average) · Operating margin −75,670% · Revenue (TTM) $13.3M · Free cash flow −$15.2M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 7 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 49% below its 52-week high and 86% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −13% fair-value upside, at −35%, NEOV screens richer than that median.

Fair Value

Bear $1.44 Fair Value $1.92 Bull $2.40
Price $2.97 · Downside -35.4%
Estimate. None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 36/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 3
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 41
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 29
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 100
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 33
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 50
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 28
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 16
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Insider trades

In the last 6 months, 2 officers or directors bought shares worth $297,050, most recently on Sep 30, 2026. Buying cluster

  • BuyJohn A HassDirector2× since Jun 11, 2026: 50,000 shares, avg. $2.27$113,250Sep 30, 2026
  • BuySteve BondExecutive Vice President, Director2× since May 19, 2026: 90,000 shares, avg. $2.04$183,800Jun 1, 2026

Plus 3 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.

Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.

Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 10, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+58.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+56.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+22.5%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+37.1%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−158.6% (2021) → −147.6% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

NEOV screens overvalued: fair value 35% below the price. Compare with Contemporary Amperex Technology Co →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electrical Equipment & Parts · 590 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 36 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −35.4% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −40.0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −161.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.01× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Electrical Equipment & Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/B 3.60× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months) 10.67× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 66
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 25
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 23

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Electrical Equipment & Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Contemporary Amperex Technology Co 300750 ¥249.95 ¥648.35 +159% vs NEOV
Sungrow Power Supply Co 300274 ¥79.60 ¥182.32 +129% vs NEOV
NARI Technology Co 600406 ¥23.40 ¥29.39 +26% vs NEOV
Vertiv Holdings VRT $194.22 $178.64 −8% vs NEOV
Samsung SDI Co 006400 456,000 KRW 395,019 KRW −13% vs NEOV
Legrand SA LR €135.60 €82.49 −39% vs NEOV
Prysmian S.p.A PRY €107.20 €64.29 −40% vs NEOV
ABB Ltd ABBN CHF 68.98 CHF 29.62 −57% vs NEOV
Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company DELTA 193.00 THB 39.14 THB −80% vs NEOV
LG Energy Solution, Ltd 373220 330,500 KRW 53,325 KRW −84% vs NEOV

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NeoVolta Inc. Common Stock: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "NeoVolta Inc. Common Stock Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NEOV

Frequently asked questions

Is NeoVolta Inc. (NEOV) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our estimate of fair value is $1.92 versus a price of $2.97, about 35% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of NEOV?
Our estimate for NeoVolta Inc. is $1.92 (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $2.97.
What is the quality score of NEOV?
NeoVolta Inc. has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for NeoVolta Inc. (NEOV)?
Our calculated price target is the estimate of $1.92 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Cautious scenario $1.44, optimistic scenario $2.40. It is an estimate from revenue and assets compared with similar companies, because none of our valuation models currently carries, not an analyst target.
What is the NeoVolta Inc. Common Stock stock forecast for 2026?
Our estimate puts fair value at $1.92, about 35% lower versus a price of $2.97 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $1.44, optimistic scenario $2.40. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of NeoVolta Inc. (NEOV)?
NeoVolta Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $13.3M (latest available figure, as of Nov 10, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of NeoVolta Inc. (NEOV)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For NeoVolta Inc. it is $1.92 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of $2.97.
Is NeoVolta Inc. Common Stock stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, NEOV trades above its calculated fair value: price $2.97, fair value $1.92, a gap of about −35% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of NEOV?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($2.97); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($1.92). For NeoVolta Inc. the two are $1.05 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is NeoVolta Inc. Common Stock worth?
The market values NeoVolta Inc. at about $142M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is $2.97; our models calculate a fair value of $1.92 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about NEOV?
Our models span a range for NeoVolta Inc.: cautious scenario $1.44, base $1.92, optimistic $2.40 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price $2.97). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of NeoVolta Inc. (NEOV)?
Balance-sheet figures for NeoVolta Inc. (as of Nov 10, 2026): return on equity −101.1%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 36/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is NEOV from its 52-week high?
NeoVolta Inc. trades at $2.97, about 49% below its 52-week high of $5.80 and 86% above the low of $1.60 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $1.92 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to NeoVolta Inc. Common Stock?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Contemporary Amperex Technology Co, ABB Ltd, Vertiv Holdings, Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is NeoVolta Inc. Common Stock stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price $2.97, calculated fair value $1.92 (−35%), Quality Score 36/100. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.1% above its aggregate fair value. NeoVolta Inc. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of NeoVolta Inc. (NEOV)?
The closing price on Nov 10, 2026 was $2.97. Our estimate is $1.92, about 35% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with NeoVolta Inc. Common Stock right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($2.40). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of NeoVolta Inc.

How large is the market capitalisation of NeoVolta Inc. (NEOV)?
The market capitalisation of NeoVolta Inc. is $142M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of NeoVolta Inc. (NEOV)?
The price-to-sales ratio of NeoVolta Inc. is 9.34 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of NeoVolta Inc. (NEOV)?
Earnings per share at NeoVolta Inc. are $−0.5500. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of NeoVolta Inc. (NEOV)?
The return on equity (ROE) of NeoVolta Inc. is −101% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of NeoVolta Inc. (NEOV)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of NeoVolta Inc. is −67.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of NeoVolta Inc. (NEOV)?
The operating margin of NeoVolta Inc. is −75,670% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How much free cash flow does NeoVolta Inc. (NEOV) generate?
The free cash flow of NeoVolta Inc. is −$15.2M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does NeoVolta Inc. (NEOV) hold?
NeoVolta Inc. holds more cash than debt, $13.0M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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