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STOCK COMPARISON

Saudi Basic Industries vs Yanbu National Petrochemical: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Saudi Basic Industries (2010) and Yanbu National Petrochemical (2290) compare, as of Sep 5, 2026.

As of Sep 5, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Saudi Basic Industries as the less overvalued of the two: Saudi Basic Industries trades at SAR 49.44 versus a fair value of SAR 36.26 (-27%), while Yanbu National Petrochemical trades at SAR 33.88 versus SAR 4.90 (-86%).
Saudi Basic Industries
2010.SR · SAR · Materials
-27%
upside to fair value
overvalued
PriceSAR 49.44
Fair ValueSAR 36.26
Quality47/100
Yanbu National Petrochemical
2290.SR · SAR · Materials
-86%
upside to fair value
overvalued
PriceSAR 33.88
Fair ValueSAR 4.90
Quality56/100
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Head-to-head numbers

Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).

Saudi Basic IndustriesYanbu National Petrochemical
Valuation
P/E (TTM)242.0×
0.35×P/S (TTM)2.93×
0.31×P/B1.60×
2.1×EV/EBITDA14.2×
−26.7%Fair value upside−85.5%
6.1%Dividend yield5.9%
SAR 3.00Dividend per shareSAR 2.00
Profitability
5%Operating margin15%
1.00×EBIT margin trend (5Y)0.10×
1%Return on equity3%
2%Return on assets1%
Growth
-11%Revenue growth (YoY)35%
-14.0%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)-7.3%
-0.1%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)2.2%
Value creation/yr−34.9%
Balance & size
2.1×Interest coverage (EBIT/interest)13.1×
0.17×Debt / equity
$40BMarket cap$5B
weakGrowth qualityweak

Saudi Basic Industries leads: 7 to 4 metric wins.

Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

Saudi Basic Industriesof which business quality 47 · market factors 45 Yanbu National Petrochemicalof which business quality 55 · market factors 60
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
9
18
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
29
16
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
40
75
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
56
62
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
90
91
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
88
80
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
29
50
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
21
54
Net IssuanceBuybacks instead of dilution
81
82

What the models say

How far the median fair value (base case) per model family sits from the current price, in percent. The amount in the currency of the trading venue is shown underneath.

above the price, more than 15% above close to the price, 85% to 115% of the price below the price, more than 15% below

Model familySaudi Basic IndustriesPrice SAR 49.44Yanbu National PetrochemicalPrice SAR 33.88
DCF Models-19%below the priceSAR 40.13-60%below the priceSAR 13.72
Earnings-Based-74%below the priceSAR 13.05-97%below the priceSAR 1.13
Dividend Discount-30%below the priceSAR 34.61-36%below the priceSAR 21.59
Multiples-53%below the priceSAR 23.38-93%below the priceSAR 2.39
Asset-Based-42%below the priceSAR 28.75-62%below the priceSAR 12.80
Growth DCF-31%below the priceSAR 34.28-57%below the priceSAR 14.44
Economic Profit-74%below the priceSAR 13.05-80%below the priceSAR 6.65
Growth Earningsn/a-95%below the priceSAR 1.82
Minimum-74%below the priceSAR 13.05-97%below the priceSAR 1.13
Maximum-19%below the priceSAR 40.13-36%below the priceSAR 21.59
Median-42%below the priceSAR 28.75-71%below the priceSAR 9.72
Geometric mean-50%below the priceSAR 24.60-82%below the priceSAR 6.04

Minimum, maximum, median and geometric mean refer to the family values in this table. Geometric because deviations are ratios: half the price and twice the price average to 100%, not 125%.

Saudi Basic Industries: 14 of 15 models see the stock below the current price.

Yanbu National Petrochemical: 24 of 24 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear case to the optimistic bull case. The white tick is the current price: left of fair value means room to run.

Saudi Basic Industries
Bear SAR 25.64Fair Value SAR 36.26Bull SAR 46.88
SAR 49.44 = current price (white tick)
Yanbu National Petrochemical
Bear SAR 3.23Fair Value SAR 4.90Bull SAR 6.12
SAR 33.88 = current price (white tick)

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

Saudi Basic Industries · Materials

Quality score47 · below median
Fair value upside-27% · below median

Yanbu National Petrochemical · Materials

Quality score56 · above median
Fair value upside-86% · bottom 25%

Bottom line

As of Sep 5, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Saudi Basic Industries as the less overvalued of the two: Saudi Basic Industries trades at SAR 49.44 versus a fair value of SAR 36.26 (-27%), while Yanbu National Petrochemical trades at SAR 33.88 versus SAR 4.90 (-86%).

Yanbu National Petrochemical has the higher quality score (56/100).

See the full analysis →

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 26 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.