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STOCK COMPARISON

Union Medical Healthcare vs HCA Healthcare: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Union Medical Healthcare (2138) and HCA Healthcare (HCA) compare, as of Aug 17, 2026.

As of Aug 17, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees HCA Healthcare as the more attractively valued of the two: Union Medical Healthcare trades at HK$0.45 versus a fair value of HK$0.31 (-29%), while HCA Healthcare trades at $405 versus $548 (+35%).
Union Medical Healthcare
2138.HK · HKD · Consumer Discretionary
-29%
upside to fair value
overvalued
PriceHK$0.45
Fair ValueHK$0.31
Quality51/100
HCA Healthcare
HCA · USD · Health Care
+35%
upside to fair value
undervalued
Price$405
Fair Value$548
Quality70/100

Head-to-head numbers

Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).

Union Medical HealthcareHCA Healthcare
Valuation
P/E (TTM)14.0×
0.02×P/S (TTM)1.06×
EV/EBITDA7.8×
PEG1.18×
2.5%Dividend yield0.8%
Dividend per share$2.94
Profitability
-5%Net margin9%
2%Operating margin15%
-6%Return on equity136%
-0%Return on assets12%
Growth
-6%Revenue growth (YoY)4%
-0.9%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)7.9%
12.6%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)8.0%
Balance & size
0.21×Debt / equity
$61MMarket cap$81B
mixedGrowth qualityhealthy

HCA Healthcare leads: 3 to 6 metric wins.

Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

Union Medical Healthcareof which business quality 53 · market factors 17 HCA Healthcareof which business quality 66 · market factors 39
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
18
76
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
23
61
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
81
62
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
35
39
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
100
75
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
30
59
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
16
27
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
5
36
Net IssuanceBuybacks instead of dilution
82
100

What the models say

The median fair value (base case) per model family, each in the currency of its trading venue. Green = above the current price, red = below.

Union Medical Healthcare

DCF ModelsHK$7.48
Earnings-BasedHK$0.65
Dividend DiscountHK$0.14
MultiplesHK$0.94
Asset-BasedHK$0.79
Growth DCFHK$7.19
Economic ProfitHK$0.65

2 of 16 models see the stock below the current price.

HCA Healthcare

DCF Models$546
Earnings-Based$289
Dividend Discount$53.85
Multiples$673
Growth DCF$540
Economic Profit$419
Growth Earnings$506

6 of 23 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear case to the optimistic bull case. The white tick is the current price: left of fair value means room to run.

Union Medical Healthcare
Bear HK$0.23Fair Value HK$0.31Bull HK$0.31
HK$0.45 = current price (white tick)
HCA Healthcare
Bear $260Fair Value $548Bull $841
$405 = current price (white tick)

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

Union Medical Healthcare · Consumer Discretionary

Quality score51 · below median
Fair value upside-29% · below median

HCA Healthcare · Health Care

Quality score70 · Top 25%
Fair value upside+35% · Top 25%

Bottom line

As of Aug 17, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees HCA Healthcare as the more attractively valued of the two: Union Medical Healthcare trades at HK$0.45 versus a fair value of HK$0.31 (-29%), while HCA Healthcare trades at $405 versus $548 (+35%).

HCA Healthcare has the higher quality score (70/100).

See the full analysis →

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 21 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.