Saudi Aramco vs Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLEN: Fair Value & Quality
Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Saudi Aramco (2222) and Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLEN (PKN) compare, as of Oct 30, 2026.
Head-to-head numbers
Green is the better side of a row, red the weaker one (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper). Grey rows are for reference only and are not scored.
betterweakerfor reference, not scored
Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLEN leads: 4 to 11 metric wins.
n/a = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.
Quality in detail
The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.
What the models say
How far the median fair value (base case) per model family sits from the current price, in percent. The amount in the currency of the trading venue is shown underneath.
▲above the price, more than 15% above ●close to the price, 85% to 115% of the price ▼below the price, more than 15% below
| Model family | Saudi AramcoPrice SAR 25.92 | Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLENPrice PLN 146 |
|---|---|---|
| DCF Models | ▼−20.9%below the priceSAR 20.51 | ▲+72.9%above the pricePLN 253 |
| Earnings-Based | ▼−23.5%below the priceSAR 19.83 | ▼−75.5%below the pricePLN 35.84 |
| Dividend Discount | ▼−21.9%below the priceSAR 20.24 | ▼−26.0%below the pricePLN 108 |
| Multiples | ▼−41.8%below the priceSAR 15.09 | ●−4.4%close to the pricePLN 140 |
| Asset-Based | ▼−85.6%below the priceSAR 3.74 | ▼−43.1%below the pricePLN 83.24 |
| Growth DCF | ▼−32.0%below the priceSAR 17.63 | ▲+115.2%above the pricePLN 315 |
| Economic Profit | ▼−37.9%below the priceSAR 16.09 | ●+3.5%close to the pricePLN 151 |
| Growth Earnings | ▼−37.1%below the priceSAR 16.30 | ▼−81.4%below the pricePLN 27.28 |
| Matching families | 8 of 8 | |
| Minimum | ▼−85.6%below the priceSAR 3.74 | ▼−81.4%below the pricePLN 27.28 |
| Maximum | ▼−20.9%below the priceSAR 20.51 | ▲+115.2%above the pricePLN 315 |
| Median | ▼−34.5%below the priceSAR 16.97 | ▼−15.2%below the pricePLN 124 |
| Geometric mean | ▼−43.4%below the priceSAR 14.67 | ▼−28.2%below the pricePLN 105 |
| Ahead family by family | 3 of 8 | 5 of 8 |
Minimum, maximum, median and geometric mean only use the families both stocks have (matching families: 8 of 8), so a family without a value on one side does not distort the comparison. Ahead in a family is the stock whose fair value there sits higher relative to its price. Geometric because deviations are ratios: half the price and twice the price average to 100%, not 125%.
Family by family: Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLEN is ahead in 5 of 8 shared families, Saudi Aramco in 3.
Saudi Aramco: 24 of 25 models see the stock below the current price.
Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLEN: 12 of 25 models see the stock below the current price.
Scenario ranges
From our cautious bear scenario to the optimistic bull scenario. The white tick is the current price (value above it), the green tick the fair value (value below it): if the price sits left of the fair value, there is room to rise.
Compare two other stocks
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Ranked within their sector
Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.
Saudi Aramco · Energy
Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLEN · Energy
Bottom line
As of Oct 30, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLEN as the less overvalued of the two: Saudi Aramco trades at SAR 25.92 versus a fair value of SAR 20.14 (−22.3%), while Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLEN trades at PLN 146 versus PLN 122 (−16.6%).
Saudi Aramco has the higher quality score (73/100).
Open Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLEN live analysis →More comparisons
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A model-based valuation snapshot from 26 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.