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STOCK COMPARISON

Amazon.com vs Wayfair: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Amazon.com (AMZN) and Wayfair (W) compare, as of Oct 30, 2026.

As of Oct 30, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Amazon.com as the less overvalued of the two: Amazon.com trades at $240 versus a fair value of $140 (−41.6%), while Wayfair trades at $116 versus $34.72 (−70.0%).
Amazon.com
AMZN · USD · Consumer Discretionary
−41.6%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$240
Fair Value$140
Quality56/100
Fair ValueQualityUptrend
Wayfair
W · USD · Consumer Discretionary
−70.0%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$116
Fair Value$34.72
Quality55/100
Fair ValueQualityUptrend
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Head-to-head numbers

Green is the better side of a row, red the weaker one (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper). Grey rows are for reference only and are not scored.

betterweakerfor reference, not scored

Amazon.comWayfair
Valuation
19.6×P/E (TTM)n/a
22.8×Forward P/E (FY2027)29.8×
3.43×P/S (TTM)1.23×
6.47×P/BNegative equity
15.6×EV/EBITDA49.8×
1.48×PEG23.50×
−41.6%Fair value upside−70.0%
Profitability
13.7%Operating margin3.0%
1.90×EBIT margin trend (5Y)0.04×
30.6%Return on equityNegative equity
9.5%Return on assets-9.1%
Growth
19.6%Revenue growth (YoY)7.5%
11.7%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)0.6%
13.2%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)-2.5%
+27.7%Value creation/yrn/a
Balance & size
35.2×Interest coverage (EBIT/interest)0.2×
0.16×Debt / equityNegative equity
$2.7TMarket cap$16B
expensiveGrowth qualityweak
Forward P/E: price divided by the analyst consensus for the first fiscal year that has not started yet. The current year carries special items from quarters already reported. Amazon.com: FY 2026 earnings estimate probably distorted by a special item known to analysts (12.92 is not between the FY 2025 actual of 7.17 and the FY 2027 estimate of 10.55).

Amazon.com leads: 10 to 1 metric wins.

n/a = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

Amazon.com Wayfair
ProfitabilityHow much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
65
50
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns getting better?
52
69
CashflowDo the profits arrive as real cash?
44
47
Financial strengthDebt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
80
51
InvestmentDoes it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
3
100
Low VolatilityHow calm the share price moves, does not count
42
0
MomentumPrice trend of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
32
73
Near the 52-week highDistance to the 52-week high, does not count
44
70
New sharesBuys back shares or issues new ones?
72
49

What the models say

How far the median fair value (base case) per model family sits from the current price, in percent. The amount in the currency of the trading venue is shown underneath.

above the price, more than 15% above close to the price, 85% to 115% of the price below the price, more than 15% below

Model familyAmazon.comPrice $240WayfairPrice $116
DCF Models−22.5%below the price$186−70.0%below the price$34.72
Earnings-Based−23.7%below the price$183n/a
Multiples−44.3%below the price$134−90.5%below the price$10.97
Asset-Based−90.2%below the price$23.52n/a
Growth DCF−72.4%below the price$66.36−72.8%below the price$31.49
Economic Profit−68.7%below the price$75.16n/a
Growth Earnings−0.7%close to the price$239n/a
Matching families3 of 7
Minimum−72.4%below the price$66.36−90.5%below the price$10.97
Maximum−22.5%below the price$186−70.0%below the price$34.72
Median−44.3%below the price$134−72.8%below the price$31.49
Geometric mean−50.8%below the price$118−80.3%below the price$22.89
Ahead family by family3 of 30 of 3

Minimum, maximum, median and geometric mean only use the families both stocks have (matching families: 3 of 7), so a family without a value on one side does not distort the comparison. Ahead in a family is the stock whose fair value there sits higher relative to its price. Geometric because deviations are ratios: half the price and twice the price average to 100%, not 125%.

Family by family: Amazon.com is ahead in 3 of 3 shared families, Wayfair in none.

Amazon.com: 22 of 23 models see the stock below the current price.

Wayfair: 8 of 8 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear scenario to the optimistic bull scenario. The white tick is the current price (value above it), the green tick the fair value (value below it): if the price sits left of the fair value, there is room to rise.

Amazon.com
Price $240
Fair Value $140
Bear $70.25Bull $176
Wayfair
Price $116
Fair Value $34.72
Bear $16.18Bull $57.30

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

Amazon.com · Consumer Discretionary

Quality score56 · above median
Fair value upside−41.6% · below median

Wayfair · Consumer Discretionary

Quality score55 · above median
Fair value upside−70.0% · bottom 25%

Bottom line

As of Oct 30, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Amazon.com as the less overvalued of the two: Amazon.com trades at $240 versus a fair value of $140 (−41.6%), while Wayfair trades at $116 versus $34.72 (−70.0%).

Amazon.com has the higher quality score (56/100).

Open Amazon.com live analysis →

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 26 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.