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STOCK COMPARISON

Aveanna Healthcare Holdings vs HCA Healthcare: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Aveanna Healthcare Holdings (AVAH) and HCA Healthcare (HCA) compare, as of Sep 24, 2026.

As of Sep 24, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees HCA Healthcare as the more attractively valued of the two: Aveanna Healthcare Holdings trades at $12.79 versus a fair value of $9.36 (-27%), while HCA Healthcare trades at $436 versus $593 (+36%).
Aveanna Healthcare Holdings
AVAH · USD · Health Care
-27%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$12.79
Fair Value$9.36
Quality51/100
HCA Healthcare
HCA · USD · Health Care
+36%
upside to fair value
undervalued
Price$436
Fair Value$593
Quality70/100
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Head-to-head numbers

Green is the better side of a row, red the weaker one (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper). Grey rows are for reference only and are not scored.

betterweakerfor reference, not scored

Aveanna Healthcare HoldingsHCA Healthcare
Valuation
10.6×P/E (TTM)15.0×
1.09×P/S (TTM)1.32×
14.14× · book value is mostly goodwillP/BNegative equity
12.4×EV/EBITDA9.1×
n/aPEG1.18×
−26.8%Fair value upside+35.8%
n/aDividend yield0.7%
n/aDividend per share$2.94
Profitability
11%Operating margin15%
n/aEBIT margin trend (5Y)1.12×
37%Return on equityNegative equity
10%Return on assets12%
Growth
16%Revenue growth (YoY)4%
10.8%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)7.9%
10.2%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)8.0%
n/aValue creation/yr+16.7%
Balance & size
1.9×Interest coverage (EBIT/interest)5.3×
6.62×Debt / equityNegative equity
$3BMarket cap$101B
mixedGrowth qualityhealthy

HCA Healthcare leads: 4 to 6 metric wins.

n/a = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

Aveanna Healthcare Holdingsof which business quality 48 · market factors 70 HCA Healthcareof which business quality 66 · market factors 47
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
76
76
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
73
61
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
41
62
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
12
39
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
86
75
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
12
58
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
100
44
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
86
42
Net IssuanceShare count: buybacks or dilution?
15
100

What the models say

How far the median fair value (base case) per model family sits from the current price, in percent. The amount in the currency of the trading venue is shown underneath.

above the price, more than 15% above close to the price, 85% to 115% of the price below the price, more than 15% below

Model familyAveanna Healthcare HoldingsPrice $12.79HCA HealthcarePrice $436
DCF Models+12%close to the price$14.28+41%above the price$615
Earnings-Based-24%below the price$9.72-34%below the price$289
Dividend Discountn/a-88%below the price$53.85
Multiples+16%above the price$14.78+54%above the price$673
Asset-Based-95%below the price$0.60n/a
Growth DCF-5%close to the price$12.20+47%above the price$643
Economic Profit-45%below the price$7.09-4%close to the price$419
Growth Earnings+39%above the price$17.81+16%above the price$506
Minimum-95%below the price$0.60-88%below the price$53.85
Maximum+39%above the price$17.81+54%above the price$673
Median-5%close to the price$12.20+16%above the price$506
Geometric mean-38%below the price$7.88-16%below the price$366

Minimum, maximum, median and geometric mean refer to the family values in this table. Geometric because deviations are ratios: half the price and twice the price average to 100%, not 125%.

Aveanna Healthcare Holdings: 12 of 24 models see the stock below the current price.

HCA Healthcare: 6 of 23 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear scenario to the optimistic bull scenario. The white tick is the current price (value above it), the green tick the fair value (value below it): if the price sits left of the fair value, there is room to rise.

Aveanna Healthcare Holdings
Price $12.79
Fair Value $9.36
Bear $4.07Bull $16.27
HCA Healthcare
Price $436
Fair Value $593
Bear $306Bull $841

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

Aveanna Healthcare Holdings · Health Care

Quality score51 · below median
Fair value upside-27% · below median

HCA Healthcare · Health Care

Quality score70 · Top 25%
Fair value upside+36% · Top 25%

Bottom line

As of Sep 24, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees HCA Healthcare as the more attractively valued of the two: Aveanna Healthcare Holdings trades at $12.79 versus a fair value of $9.36 (-27%), while HCA Healthcare trades at $436 versus $593 (+36%).

HCA Healthcare has the higher quality score (70/100).

Open HCA Healthcare live analysis →

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 26 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.