Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc (AVAH) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc $9.36, price $12.79, upside -26.8%, quality 51 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? Yes
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Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc
AVAH · USOvervalued / MonitorQuality is not strong enough to offset the price risk.
What runs behind every stock
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.6760 – $14.38 · fair‑value band $4.07 – $16.27 · the $12.79 price screens above the $9.36 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Company profile
Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc., a diversified home care platform company, provides pediatric and adult healthcare services in the United States. Its patient-centered care delivery platform allows patients to remain in their homes and minimizes the overutilization of high-cost care settings, such as hospitals or skilled nursing facilities.
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Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc., a diversified home care platform company, provides pediatric and adult healthcare services in the United States. Its patient-centered care delivery platform allows patients to remain in their homes and minimizes the overutilization of high-cost care settings, such as hospitals or skilled nursing facilities. The company operates through three segments: Private Duty Services (PDS), Home Health & Hospice (HHH), and Medical Solutions (MS). The PDS segment offers private duty nursing (PDN) services, which include in-home skilled nursing services to medically complex children and adults; nursing services in school settings in which its caregivers accompany patients to school; services to patients in its pediatric day healthcare centers; and non-clinical care, including support services and personal care services; and in-clinic and home-based therapy services, such as physical, occupational, and speech services. The HHH segment provides home health services, including in-home skilled nursing services; physical, occupational, and speech therapy services; and medical social and aide services, as well as hospice services for patients and their families when a life-limiting illness no longer responds to cure-oriented treatments. The MS segment offers enteral nutrition supplies and other products, including formulas, supplies, and pumps to adults and children delivered on a periodic or as-needed basis. The company was incorporated in 2016 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.
Stock analysis
Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc (AVAH) currently trades at $12.79, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $9.36, implying the stock looks roughly 36.7% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $17.81 per share, and 12 of the 24 models we run sit above the $12.79 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at $6.79, and 12 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $4.07 (bear) to $16.27 (bull), the price of $12.79 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc reported revenue of $2.4B in FY2025 versus $1.7B in FY2021, a compound +9.7%/yr. Reported net income was $225M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $2.7B · P/E ratio 10.6 · P/S ratio 0.98 · EPS (TTM) $1.21 · Net margin 9.2% · Return on equity 36.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) −3.4% · Operating margin 11.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
Analysts expect earnings well below the last reported figure (earnings in transition, for example expiring patents or contracts); a fair value that looks fair on trailing earnings may then be too optimistic.
The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 106% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at 35% fair-value upside, at −27%, AVAH screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
All 24 models by family
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 70
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
AVAH screens 37% overvalued. Compare with HCA Healthcare, Inc →
Compare Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Medical Care Facilities · 257 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Medical Care Facilities median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Health Care sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Medical Care Facilities stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| HCA Healthcare, Inc HCA | $438.12 | $592.64 | +35% |
| Fresenius SE FRE | €45.57 | €34.54 | −24% |
| Dr. Sulaiman Al Habib Medical Services Group 4013 | 227.50 SAR | 109.45 SAR | −52% |
| IHH Healthcare Berhad, an investment holding company, 5225 | 8.00 MYR | 4.87 MYR | −39% |
| Tenet Healthcare Corporation THC | $262.06 | $399.58 | +52% |
| DaVita Inc DVA | $183.72 | $255.97 | +39% |
| Apollo Hospitals Enterprise Limited APOLLOHOSP | ₹9,069 | ₹2,908 | −68% |
| Fresenius Medical Care AG FME | €39.30 | €71.28 | +81% |
| Aier Eye Hospital Group 300015 | ¥8.07 | ¥10.86 | +35% |
| Encompass Health Corporation EHC | $122.76 | $96.51 | −21% |
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Key figures of Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc
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