STOCK COMPARISON
Aurizon Holdings vs Union Pacific: Fair Value & Quality
Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Aurizon Holdings (AZJ) and Union Pacific (UNP) compare, as of Aug 10, 2026.
As of Aug 10, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Aurizon Holdings as the less overvalued of the two: Aurizon Holdings trades at A$4.19 versus a fair value of A$2.69 (-36%), while Union Pacific trades at $293 versus $145 (-51%).
Aurizon Holdings
AZJ.AU · AUD · Industrials
-36%
upside to fair value
overvalued
PriceA$4.19
Fair ValueA$2.69
Quality56/100
Union Pacific
UNP · USD · Industrials
-51%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$293
Fair Value$145
Quality67/100
Head-to-head numbers
Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).
Aurizon HoldingsUnion Pacific
Valuation
23.7×P/E (TTM)24.6×
1.27×P/S (TTM)7.25×
1.24×P/B9.70×
6.0×EV/EBITDA16.5×
1.08×PEG3.64×
4.5%Dividend yield1.8%
A$0.19Dividend per share$5.48
Profitability
8%Net margin29%
25%Operating margin40%
7%Return on equity41%
5%Return on assets9%
Growth
2%Revenue growth (YoY)3%
8.9%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)-0.5%
5.1%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)4.6%
Balance & size
1.06×Debt / equity1.64×
$5BMarket cap$179B
healthyGrowth qualityhealthy
Aurizon Holdings leads: 9 to 5 metric wins.
Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.
Quality in detail
The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.
Aurizon Holdingsof which business quality 54 · market factors 76
Union Pacificof which business quality 63 · market factors 72
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
35
64
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
47
57
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
78
71
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
20
40
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
61
47
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
97
74
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
61
66
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
79
81
Net IssuanceBuybacks instead of dilution
97
100
What the models say
The median fair value (base case) per model family, each in the currency of its trading venue. Green = above the current price, red = below.
Aurizon Holdings
DCF ModelsA$2.24
Earnings-BasedA$1.76
Dividend DiscountA$2.07
MultiplesA$3.42
Asset-BasedA$1.63
Growth DCFA$2.86
Economic ProfitA$1.68
Growth EarningsA$2.88
20 of 24 models see the stock below the current price.
Union Pacific
DCF Models$122
Earnings-Based$97.30
Multiples$180
Asset-Based$20.84
Growth DCF$69.97
Economic Profit$121
Growth Earnings$204
23 of 23 models see the stock below the current price.
Scenario ranges
From our cautious bear case to the optimistic bull case. The white tick is the current price: left of fair value means room to run.
Aurizon Holdings
Bear A$2.02Fair Value A$2.69Bull A$4.19
A$4.19 = current price (white tick)
Union Pacific
Bear $89.73Fair Value $145Bull $266
$293 = current price (white tick)
Compare two other stocks
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Ranked within their sector
Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.
Aurizon Holdings · Industrials
Quality score56 · above median
Fair value upside-36% · below median
Union Pacific · Industrials
Quality score67 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-51% · below median
Bottom line
As of Aug 10, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Aurizon Holdings as the less overvalued of the two: Aurizon Holdings trades at A$4.19 versus a fair value of A$2.69 (-36%), while Union Pacific trades at $293 versus $145 (-51%).
Union Pacific has the higher quality score (67/100).
See the full analysis →
More comparisons
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A model-based valuation snapshot from 21 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.
