STOCK COMPARISON
BHP Group vs RIO: Fair Value & Quality
Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how BHP Group (BHP) and RIO (RIO) compare, as of Aug 8, 2026.
As of Aug 8, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees RIO as the less overvalued of the two: BHP Group trades at A$62.82 versus a fair value of A$30.09 (-52%), while RIO trades at $99.65 versus $83.82 (-16%).
BHP Group
BHP.AU · AUD · Materials
-52%
upside to fair value
overvalued
PriceA$62.82
Fair ValueA$30.09
Quality70/100
RIO
RIO · USD · Materials
-16%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$99.65
Fair Value$83.82
Quality62/100
Head-to-head numbers
Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).
BHP GroupRIO
Valuation
20.0×P/E (TTM)14.9×
3.87×P/S (TTM)2.56×
4.52×P/B2.37×
8.3×EV/EBITDA7.9×
2.93×PEG5.69×
2.3%Dividend yield4.5%
A$1.33Dividend per share$4.02
Profitability
19%Net margin17%
41%Operating margin25%
25%Return on equity16%
12%Return on assets8%
Growth
11%Revenue growth (YoY)15%
-7.7%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)1.3%
3.6%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)5.3%
Balance & size
0.44×Debt / equity0.34×
$209BMarket cap$147B
expensiveGrowth qualityexpensive
RIO leads: 5 to 9 metric wins.
Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.
Quality in detail
The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.
BHP Groupof which business quality 63 · market factors 81
RIOof which business quality 54 · market factors 76
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
58
47
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
34
31
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
75
56
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
67
66
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
61
38
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
73
78
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
79
67
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
95
89
Net IssuanceBuybacks instead of dilution
81
79
What the models say
The median fair value (base case) per model family, each in the currency of its trading venue. Green = above the current price, red = below.
BHP Group
DCF ModelsA$30.27
Earnings-BasedA$26.72
Dividend DiscountA$21.24
MultiplesA$31.40
Asset-BasedA$6.10
Growth DCFA$27.73
Economic ProfitA$22.02
Growth EarningsA$29.44
24 of 25 models see the stock below the current price.
RIO
DCF Models$76.17
Earnings-Based$49.20
Dividend Discount$62.81
Multiples$113
Asset-Based$25.44
Growth DCF$56.72
Economic Profit$63.08
Growth Earnings$104
17 of 26 models see the stock below the current price.
Scenario ranges
From our cautious bear case to the optimistic bull case. The white tick is the current price: left of fair value means room to run.
BHP Group
Bear A$19.06Fair Value A$30.09Bull A$37.72
A$62.82 = current price (white tick)
RIO
Bear $42.21Fair Value $83.82Bull $130
$99.65 = current price (white tick)
Compare two other stocks
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Ranked within their sector
Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.
BHP Group · Materials
Quality score70 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-52% · below median
RIO · Materials
Quality score62 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-16% · above median
Bottom line
As of Aug 8, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees RIO as the less overvalued of the two: BHP Group trades at A$62.82 versus a fair value of A$30.09 (-52%), while RIO trades at $99.65 versus $83.82 (-16%).
BHP Group has the higher quality score (70/100).
See the full analysis →
More comparisons
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A model-based valuation snapshot from 21 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.
