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STOCK COMPARISON

BHP Group vs Freeport-McMoran Copper & Gold: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how BHP Group (BHP) and Freeport-McMoran Copper & Gold (FCX) compare, as of Aug 26, 2026.

As of Aug 26, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees BHP Group as the less overvalued of the two: BHP Group trades at £35.35 versus a fair value of £19.35 (-45%), while Freeport-McMoran Copper & Gold trades at $79.91 versus $22.81 (-71%).
BHP Group
BHP.LSE · GBX · Materials
-45%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price£35.35
Fair Value£19.35
Quality64/100
Freeport-McMoran Copper & Gold
FCX · USD · Materials
-71%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$79.91
Fair Value$22.81
Quality53/100
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Head-to-head numbers

Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).

BHP GroupFreeport-McMoran Copper & Gold
Valuation
19.8×P/E (TTM)31.5×
3.89×P/S (TTM)3.29×
4.54×P/B4.60×
8.3×EV/EBITDA9.6×
—PEG3.87×
3.8%Dividend yield0.8%
£1.33Dividend per share$0.60
Profitability
19%Net margin10%
41%Operating margin31%
25%Return on equity16%
12%Return on assets8%
Growth
11%Revenue growth (YoY)9%
-7.7%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)3.3%
3.6%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)13.2%
Balance & size
0.44×Debt / equity0.53×
$210BMarket cap$87B
expensiveGrowth qualitymixed

BHP Group leads: 10 to 3 metric wins.

Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

BHP Groupof which business quality 63 · market factors 79 Freeport-McMoran Copper & Goldof which business quality 53 · market factors 69
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
58
35
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
34
31
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
75
52
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
67
65
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
61
53
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
70
26
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
73
80
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
100
100
Net IssuanceBuybacks instead of dilution
81
83

What the models say

The median fair value (base case) per model family, each in the currency of its trading venue. Green = above the current price, red = below.

BHP Group

DCF Models£27.19
Earnings-Based£25.15
Dividend Discount£19.67
Multiples£28.74
Asset-Based£6.10
Growth DCF£22.49
Economic Profit£20.84
Growth Earnings£25.38

21 of 25 models see the stock below the current price.

Freeport-McMoran Copper & Gold

DCF Models$22.39
Earnings-Based$20.68
Dividend Discount$10.59
Multiples$26.06
Asset-Based$8.81
Growth DCF$16.95
Economic Profit$24.45
Growth Earnings$22.81

25 of 25 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear case to the optimistic bull case. The white tick is the current price: left of fair value means room to run.

BHP Group
Bear £12.88Fair Value £19.35Bull £27.71
£35.35 = current price (white tick)
Freeport-McMoran Copper & Gold
Bear $11.69Fair Value $22.81Bull $32.58
$79.91 = current price (white tick)

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

BHP Group · Materials

Quality score64 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-45% · below median

Freeport-McMoran Copper & Gold · Materials

Quality score53 · above median
Fair value upside-71% · bottom 25%

Bottom line

As of Aug 26, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees BHP Group as the less overvalued of the two: BHP Group trades at £35.35 versus a fair value of £19.35 (-45%), while Freeport-McMoran Copper & Gold trades at $79.91 versus $22.81 (-71%).

BHP Group has the higher quality score (64/100).

See the full analysis →
BHP Group · Freeport-McMoran Copper & Gold

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 26 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.