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STOCK COMPARISON

Caterpillar vs Metso Oyj: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Caterpillar (CAT) and Metso Oyj (METSO) compare, as of Sep 5, 2026.

As of Sep 5, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Metso Oyj as the less overvalued of the two: Caterpillar trades at $800 versus a fair value of $308 (-62%), while Metso Oyj trades at €17.74 versus €10.73 (-40%).
Caterpillar
CAT · USD · Industrials
-62%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$800
Fair Value$308
Quality65/100
Metso Oyj
METSO.HE · EUR · Industrials
-40%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price€17.74
Fair Value€10.73
Quality65/100
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Head-to-head numbers

Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).

CaterpillarMetso Oyj
Valuation
40.1×P/E (TTM)26.3×
6.11×P/S (TTM)2.78×
20.27×P/B5.51×
31.1×EV/EBITDA18.1×
2.25×PEG1.37×
−61.5%Fair value upside−39.5%
0.8%Dividend yield2.3%
$6.04Dividend per share€0.40
Profitability
18%Operating margin13%
1.52×EBIT margin trend (5Y)1.94×
51%Return on equity18%
9%Return on assets6%
Growth
22%Revenue growth (YoY)3%
4.4%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)-0.3%
10.1%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)9.6%
+12.8%Value creation/yr+24.6%
Balance & size
10.9×Interest coverage (EBIT/interest)6.9×
1.44×Debt / equity0.51×
$432BMarket cap$15B
healthyGrowth qualityhealthy

Metso Oyj leads: 5 to 10 metric wins.

Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

Caterpillarof which business quality 62 · market factors 58 Metso Oyjof which business quality 64 · market factors 72
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
61
48
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
22
50
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
68
70
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
51
58
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
72
87
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
32
49
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
62
72
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
80
100
Net IssuanceBuybacks instead of dilution
100
81

What the models say

How far the median fair value (base case) per model family sits from the current price, in percent. The amount in the currency of the trading venue is shown underneath.

above the price, more than 15% above close to the price, 85% to 115% of the price below the price, more than 15% below

Model familyCaterpillarPrice $800Metso OyjPrice €17.74
DCF Models-54%below the price$365-21%below the price€13.98
Earnings-Based-81%below the price$151-63%below the price€6.61
Dividend Discount-86%below the price$111-62%below the price€6.69
Multiples-61%below the price$314-41%below the price€10.54
Asset-Based-96%below the price$31.01-88%below the price€2.15
Growth DCF-59%below the price$326-15%close to the price€15.11
Economic Profit-72%below the price$220-62%below the price€6.80
Growth Earnings-55%below the price$361-44%below the price€9.98
Minimum-96%below the price$31.01-88%below the price€2.15
Maximum-54%below the price$365-15%close to the price€15.11
Median-67%below the price$267-53%below the price€8.39
Geometric mean-77%below the price$188-56%below the price€7.84

Minimum, maximum, median and geometric mean refer to the family values in this table. Geometric because deviations are ratios: half the price and twice the price average to 100%, not 125%.

Caterpillar: 26 of 26 models see the stock below the current price.

Metso Oyj: 26 of 26 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear case to the optimistic bull case. The white tick is the current price: left of fair value means room to run.

Caterpillar
Bear $192Fair Value $308Bull $403
$800 = current price (white tick)
Metso Oyj
Bear €7.24Fair Value €10.73Bull €13.41
€17.74 = current price (white tick)

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

Caterpillar · Industrials

Quality score65 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-62% · bottom 25%

Metso Oyj · Industrials

Quality score65 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-40% · below median

Bottom line

As of Sep 5, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Metso Oyj as the less overvalued of the two: Caterpillar trades at $800 versus a fair value of $308 (-62%), while Metso Oyj trades at €17.74 versus €10.73 (-40%).

Metso Oyj has the higher quality score (65/100).

See the full analysis →
Caterpillar · Metso Oyj

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 26 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.