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STOCK COMPARISON

ConocoPhillips vs Petro Rio S.A.: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how ConocoPhillips (COP) and Petro Rio S.A. (PRIO3) compare, as of Sep 27, 2026.

As of Sep 27, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees ConocoPhillips as the less overvalued of the two: ConocoPhillips trades at $127 versus a fair value of $90.15 (−29.2%), while Petro Rio S.A. trades at BRL 59.35 versus BRL 28.91 (−51.3%).
ConocoPhillips
COP · USD · Energy
−29.2%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$127
Fair Value$90.15
Quality58/100
Petro Rio S.A.
PRIO3.SA · BRL · Energy
−51.3%
upside to fair value
overvalued
PriceBRL 59.35
Fair ValueBRL 28.91
Quality39/100
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Head-to-head numbers

Green is the better side of a row, red the weaker one (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper). Grey rows are for reference only and are not scored.

betterweakerfor reference, not scored

ConocoPhillipsPetro Rio S.A.
Valuation
21.4×P/E (TTM)12.4×
20.7×P/E ex one-offs (FY2025)17.6×
12.0×Forward P/E (FY2026)6.0×
2.69×P/S (TTM)2.25×
2.47×P/B1.86×
7.5×EV/EBITDA5.6×
0.94×PEG13.68×
−29.2%Fair value upside−51.3%
2.5%Dividend yieldn/a
$3.24Dividend per sharen/a
Profitability
22.1%Operating margin39.9%
n/aEBIT margin trend (5Y)0.28×
11.3%Return on equity14.2%
5.9%Return on assets6.6%
Growth
-5.3%Revenue growth (YoY)110.8%
-9.3%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)34.8%
25.6%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)52.3%
+3.7%Value creation/yr+17.1%
Balance & size
9.3×Interest coverage (EBIT/interest)1.2×
0.34×Debt / equity0.99×
$160BMarket cap$9B
weakGrowth qualityexpensive
The P/E excluding one-off items is scored: for at least one of the two companies, special items (write-downs, restructuring, litigation) move the reported P/E by 15 % or more. The trailing P/E is shown for reference.

Petro Rio S.A. leads: 4 to 10 metric wins.

n/a = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

ConocoPhillipsof which business quality 61 · market factors 72 Petro Rio S.A.of which business quality 38 · market factors 70
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
42
31
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
31
18
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
96
50
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
69
30
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
62
0
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
82
77
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
63
60
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
76
80
Net IssuanceShare count: buybacks or dilution?
54
92

What the models say

How far the median fair value (base case) per model family sits from the current price, in percent. The amount in the currency of the trading venue is shown underneath.

above the price, more than 15% above close to the price, 85% to 115% of the price below the price, more than 15% below

Model familyConocoPhillipsPrice $127Petro Rio S.A.Price BRL 59.35
DCF Models+10.0%close to the price$140n/a
Earnings-Based−66.7%below the price$42.34+66.5%above the priceBRL 98.81
Dividend Discount−56.8%below the price$54.97n/a
Multiples−31.9%below the price$86.74−39.4%below the priceBRL 35.98
Asset-Based−72.1%below the price$35.46−63.5%below the priceBRL 21.66
Growth DCF+25.2%above the price$159n/a
Economic Profit−57.4%below the price$54.19−50.8%below the priceBRL 29.21
Growth Earnings−35.9%below the price$81.65+95.1%above the priceBRL 116
Minimum−72.1%below the price$35.46−63.5%below the priceBRL 21.66
Maximum+25.2%above the price$159+95.1%above the priceBRL 116
Median−46.3%below the price$68.31−39.4%below the priceBRL 35.98
Geometric mean−43.6%below the price$71.81−18.8%below the priceBRL 48.21

Minimum, maximum, median and geometric mean refer to the family values in this table. Geometric because deviations are ratios: half the price and twice the price average to 100%, not 125%.

ConocoPhillips: 20 of 26 models see the stock below the current price.

Petro Rio S.A.: 6 of 10 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear scenario to the optimistic bull scenario. The white tick is the current price (value above it), the green tick the fair value (value below it): if the price sits left of the fair value, there is room to rise.

ConocoPhillips
Price $127
Fair Value $90.15
Bear $67.61Bull $131
Petro Rio S.A.
Price BRL 59.35
Fair Value BRL 28.91
Bear BRL 25.63Bull BRL 29.31

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

ConocoPhillips · Energy

Quality score58 · above median
Fair value upside−29.2% · below median

Petro Rio S.A. · Energy

Quality score39 · below median
Fair value upside−51.3% · bottom 25%

Bottom line

As of Sep 27, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees ConocoPhillips as the less overvalued of the two: ConocoPhillips trades at $127 versus a fair value of $90.15 (−29.2%), while Petro Rio S.A. trades at BRL 59.35 versus BRL 28.91 (−51.3%).

ConocoPhillips has the higher quality score (58/100).

Open ConocoPhillips live analysis →

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 26 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.