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STOCK COMPARISON

Grindrod vs United Parcel Service: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Grindrod (GNDP) and United Parcel Service (UPS) compare, as of Aug 15, 2026.

As of Aug 15, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees United Parcel Service as the less overvalued of the two: Grindrod trades at ZAR 105 versus a fair value of ZAR 17.42 (-83%), while United Parcel Service trades at $105 versus $103 (-1%).
Grindrod
GNDP.JSE · ZAC · Industrials
-83%
upside to fair value
overvalued
PriceZAR 105
Fair ValueZAR 17.42
Quality74/100
United Parcel Service
UPS · USD · Industrials
-1%
upside to fair value
fairly valued
Price$105
Fair Value$103
Quality62/100

Head-to-head numbers

Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).

GrindrodUnited Parcel Service
Valuation
4.0×P/E (TTM)19.0×
P/S (TTM)1.13×
P/B6.14×
EV/EBITDA9.9×
PEG1.85×
Dividend yield5.6%
ZAR 0.48Dividend per share$6.56
Profitability
38%Net margin6%
23%Operating margin6%
22%Return on equity33%
4%Return on assets7%
Growth
27%Revenue growth (YoY)-2%
-2.4%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)-3.9%
7.8%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)1.0%
Balance & size
0.12×Debt / equity1.45×
$4MMarket cap$100B
mixedGrowth qualityweak

Grindrod leads: 7 to 2 metric wins.

Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

Grindrodof which business quality 68 · market factors 64 United Parcel Serviceof which business quality 59 · market factors 59
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
58
64
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
83
31
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
67
45
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
55
47
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
80
95
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
82
63
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
48
54
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
70
64
Net IssuanceBuybacks instead of dilution
84
89

What the models say

The median fair value (base case) per model family, each in the currency of its trading venue. Green = above the current price, red = below.

Grindrod

DCF ModelsZAR 20.91
Earnings-BasedZAR 21.59
Dividend DiscountZAR 3.43
MultiplesZAR 24.50
Asset-BasedZAR 8.59
Growth DCFZAR 17.01
Economic ProfitZAR 14.51
Growth EarningsZAR 45.13

24 of 24 models see the stock below the current price.

United Parcel Service

DCF Models$103
Earnings-Based$69.77
Multiples$141
Asset-Based$14.56
Growth DCF$89.84
Economic Profit$77.20
Growth Earnings$127

11 of 23 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear case to the optimistic bull case. The white tick is the current price: left of fair value means room to run.

Grindrod
Bear ZAR 13.84Fair Value ZAR 17.42Bull ZAR 27.68
ZAR 105 = current price (white tick)
United Parcel Service
Bear $57.36Fair Value $103Bull $165
$105 = current price (white tick)

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

Grindrod · Industrials

Quality score74 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-83% · bottom 25%

United Parcel Service · Industrials

Quality score62 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-1% · above median

Bottom line

As of Aug 15, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees United Parcel Service as the less overvalued of the two: Grindrod trades at ZAR 105 versus a fair value of ZAR 17.42 (-83%), while United Parcel Service trades at $105 versus $103 (-1%).

Grindrod has the higher quality score (74/100).

See the full analysis →

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 21 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.