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STOCK COMPARISON

Guzman Y GOMEZ vs McDonald’s: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Guzman Y GOMEZ (GYG) and McDonald’s (MCD) compare, as of Sep 24, 2026.

As of Sep 24, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees McDonald’s as the less overvalued of the two: Guzman Y GOMEZ trades at A$25.05 versus a fair value of A$3.72 (-85%), while McDonald’s trades at $238 versus $162 (-32%).
Guzman Y GOMEZ
GYG.AU · AUD · Consumer Discretionary
-85%
upside to fair value
overvalued
PriceA$25.05
Fair ValueA$3.72
Quality48/100
McDonald’s
MCD · USD · Consumer Discretionary
-32%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$238
Fair Value$162
Quality69/100
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Head-to-head numbers

Green is the better side of a row, red the weaker one (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper). Grey rows are for reference only and are not scored.

betterweakerfor reference, not scored

Guzman Y GOMEZMcDonald’s
Valuation
147.4×P/E (TTM)20.6×
3.61×P/S (TTM)7.11×
4.90×P/BNegative equity
29.2×EV/EBITDA15.8×
n/aPEG2.56×
−85.1%Fair value upside−32.0%
0.8%Dividend yield2.9%
A$0.20Dividend per share$7.26
Profitability
8%Operating margin44%
0.68×EBIT margin trend (5Y)1.21×
5%Return on equityNegative equity
3%Return on assets14%
Growth
23%Revenue growth (YoY)9%
39.3%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)5.1%
n/aAvg. growth/yr (5Y)7.0%
+29.1%Value creation/yr+11.6%
Balance & size
1.2×Interest coverage (EBIT/interest)7.8×
n/aDebt / equityNegative equity
$2BMarket cap$195B
expensiveGrowth qualityhealthy

McDonald’s leads: 3 to 9 metric wins.

n/a = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

Guzman Y GOMEZof which business quality 51 · market factors 61 McDonald’sof which business quality 65 · market factors 40
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
39
64
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
96
46
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
41
76
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
76
53
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
13
57
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
44
95
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
78
23
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
51
6
Net IssuanceShare count: buybacks or dilution?
35
91

What the models say

How far the median fair value (base case) per model family sits from the current price, in percent. The amount in the currency of the trading venue is shown underneath.

above the price, more than 15% above close to the price, 85% to 115% of the price below the price, more than 15% below

Model familyGuzman Y GOMEZPrice A$25.05McDonald’sPrice $238
DCF Modelsn/a-43%below the price$137
Earnings-Based-80%below the priceA$5.09-57%below the price$102
Dividend Discountn/a-59%below the price$98.39
Multiples-82%below the priceA$4.46-6%close to the price$225
Asset-Based-90%below the priceA$2.56n/a
Growth DCFn/a-68%below the price$76.15
Economic Profit-86%below the priceA$3.50-52%below the price$113
Growth Earnings-73%below the priceA$6.76-12%close to the price$209
Minimum-90%below the priceA$2.56-68%below the price$76.15
Maximum-73%below the priceA$6.76-6%close to the price$225
Median-82%below the priceA$4.46-52%below the price$113
Geometric mean-83%below the priceA$4.24-46%below the price$128

Minimum, maximum, median and geometric mean refer to the family values in this table. Geometric because deviations are ratios: half the price and twice the price average to 100%, not 125%.

Guzman Y GOMEZ: 14 of 14 models see the stock below the current price.

McDonald’s: 19 of 21 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear scenario to the optimistic bull scenario. The white tick is the current price (value above it), the green tick the fair value (value below it): if the price sits left of the fair value, there is room to rise.

Guzman Y GOMEZ
Price A$25.05
Fair Value A$3.72
Bear A$3.34Bull A$4.10
McDonald’s
Price $238
Fair Value $162
Bear $91.48Bull $251

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

Guzman Y GOMEZ · Consumer Discretionary

Quality score48 · below median
Fair value upside-85% · bottom 25%

McDonald’s · Consumer Discretionary

Quality score69 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-32% · below median

Bottom line

As of Sep 24, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees McDonald’s as the less overvalued of the two: Guzman Y GOMEZ trades at A$25.05 versus a fair value of A$3.72 (-85%), while McDonald’s trades at $238 versus $162 (-32%).

McDonald’s has the higher quality score (69/100).

Open McDonald’s live analysis →

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 26 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.