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Guzman y Gomez Limited (GYG) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · AU · Market cap A$1.9B

PriceA$18.86
Fair ValueA$3.83
Upside-79.7%
Quality95/100
Evidence: Medium Range A$3.69 – A$4.08

Analysis

Guzman y Gomez Limited (GYG) currently trades at A$18.86, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$3.83 — implying the stock looks roughly 79.7% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

About the company

Guzman y Gomez Limited operates and manages quick service restaurants in Australia, Singapore, Japan, and the United States. Its restaurants offer Mexican-inspired food through a chain of quick service restaurants, as well as drive thru, delivery, digital channels, strip, and drive thru formats. The company also manages a franchise network of quick service restaurants. Guzman y Gomez Limited was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Surry Hills, Australia.

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.