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STOCK COMPARISON

Murphy USA vs Caseys General Stores: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Murphy USA (MUSA) and Caseys General Stores (CASY) compare, as of Aug 8, 2026.

As of Aug 8, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Murphy USA as the less overvalued of the two: Murphy USA trades at $536 versus a fair value of $423 (-21%), while Caseys General Stores trades at $832 versus $405 (-51%).
Murphy USA
MUSA · USD · Consumer Discretionary
-21%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$536
Fair Value$423
Quality62/100
Caseys General Stores
CASY · USD · Consumer Staples
-51%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$832
Fair Value$405
Quality70/100

Head-to-head numbers

Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).

Murphy USACaseys General Stores
Valuation
21.5×P/E (TTM)43.2×
0.66×P/S (TTM)1.75×
18.32×P/B7.75×
11.9×EV/EBITDA21.7×
1.51×PEG3.70×
0.4%Dividend yield0.3%
$2.29Dividend per share$2.21
Profitability
3%Net margin4%
5%Operating margin5%
80%Return on equity19%
11%Return on assets8%
Growth
7%Revenue growth (YoY)15%
-6.1%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)5.2%
11.5%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)15.1%
Balance & size
3.47×Debt / equity0.59×
$11BMarket cap$31B
mixedGrowth qualityhealthy

Even match: 7 to 7 metric wins.

Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

Murphy USAof which business quality 54 · market factors 71 Caseys General Storesof which business quality 64 · market factors 79
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
64
67
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
19
64
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
37
48
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
32
70
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
92
49
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
73
77
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
67
74
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
77
89
Net IssuanceBuybacks instead of dilution
100
84

What the models say

The median fair value (base case) per model family, each in the currency of its trading venue. Green = above the current price, red = below.

Murphy USA

DCF Models$279
Earnings-Based$248
Dividend Discount$25.05
Multiples$471
Asset-Based$22.62
Growth DCF$246
Economic Profit$388
Growth Earnings$386

22 of 24 models see the stock below the current price.

Caseys General Stores

DCF Models$364
Earnings-Based$190
Dividend Discount$39.53
Multiples$357
Asset-Based$71.55
Growth DCF$357
Economic Profit$215
Growth Earnings$317

26 of 26 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear case to the optimistic bull case. The white tick is the current price: left of fair value means room to run.

Murphy USA
Bear $275Fair Value $423Bull $550
$536 = current price (white tick)
Caseys General Stores
Bear $218Fair Value $405Bull $507
$832 = current price (white tick)

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

Murphy USA · Consumer Discretionary

Quality score62 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-21% · below median

Caseys General Stores · Consumer Staples

Quality score70 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-51% · bottom 25%

Bottom line

As of Aug 8, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Murphy USA as the less overvalued of the two: Murphy USA trades at $536 versus a fair value of $423 (-21%), while Caseys General Stores trades at $832 versus $405 (-51%).

Caseys General Stores has the higher quality score (70/100).

See the full analysis →

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 21 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.