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STOCK COMPARISON

Orchid Island Capital vs Annaly Capital Management: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Orchid Island Capital (ORC) and Annaly Capital Management (NLY) compare, as of Aug 8, 2026.

As of Aug 8, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Annaly Capital Management as the less overvalued of the two: Orchid Island Capital trades at $6.42 versus a fair value of $5.32 (-17%), while Annaly Capital Management trades at $22.66 versus $19.41 (-14%).
Orchid Island Capital
ORC · USD · Financials
-17%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$6.42
Fair Value$5.32
Quality39/100
Annaly Capital Management
NLY · USD · Financials
-14%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$22.66
Fair Value$19.41
Quality36/100

Head-to-head numbers

Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).

Orchid Island CapitalAnnaly Capital Management
Valuation
7.1×P/E (TTM)7.2×
9.24×P/S (TTM)6.51×
0.98×P/B1.01×
1.4×EV/EBITDA6.7×
—PEG32.03×
21.8%Dividend yield12.6%
$1.44Dividend per share$2.80
Profitability
84%Net margin87%
159%Operating margin81%
11%Return on equity15%
1%Return on assets2%
Growth
1003%Revenue growth (YoY)49%
—Avg. growth/yr (3Y)17.3%
69.9%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)35.2%
Balance & size
0.01×Debt / equity1.98×
$1BMarket cap$16B
mixedGrowth qualitymixed

Orchid Island Capital leads: 8 to 4 metric wins.

Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

Orchid Island Capitalof which business quality 38 · market factors 41 Annaly Capital Managementof which business quality 22 · market factors 58
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
36
38
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
48
59
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
79
12
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
21
5
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
33
27
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
52
66
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
36
46
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
36
71
Net IssuanceBuybacks instead of dilution
0
0

What the models say

The median fair value (base case) per model family, each in the currency of its trading venue. Green = above the current price, red = below.

Orchid Island Capital

DCF Models$7.86
Earnings-Based$12.51
Dividend Discount$5.39
Multiples$6.17
Asset-Based$2.07
Growth DCF$7.58
Economic Profit$4.79
Growth Earnings$16.12

11 of 24 models see the stock below the current price.

Annaly Capital Management

DCF Models$6.23
Earnings-Based$38.93
Dividend Discount$18.66
Multiples$22.84
Asset-Based$6.07
Economic Profit$26.32
Growth Earnings$50.40

8 of 16 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear case to the optimistic bull case. The white tick is the current price: left of fair value means room to run.

Orchid Island Capital
Bear $4.85Fair Value $5.32Bull $6.34
$6.42 = current price (white tick)
Annaly Capital Management
Bear $14.56Fair Value $19.41Bull $24.27
$22.66 = current price (white tick)

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

Orchid Island Capital · Financials

Quality score39 · bottom 25%
Fair value upside-17% · below median

Annaly Capital Management · Financials

Quality score36 · bottom 25%
Fair value upside-14% · below median

Bottom line

As of Aug 8, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Annaly Capital Management as the less overvalued of the two: Orchid Island Capital trades at $6.42 versus a fair value of $5.32 (-17%), while Annaly Capital Management trades at $22.66 versus $19.41 (-14%).

Orchid Island Capital has the higher quality score (39/100).

See the full analysis →
Orchid Island Capital · Annaly Capital Management

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 21 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.