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STOCK COMPARISON

Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLEN vs Saudi Aramco: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLEN (PKN) and Saudi Aramco (2222) compare, as of Aug 8, 2026.

As of Aug 8, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Saudi Aramco as the less overvalued of the two: Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLEN trades at PLN 153 versus a fair value of PLN 73.60 (-52%), while Saudi Aramco trades at SAR 26.50 versus SAR 20.14 (-24%).
Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLEN
PKN.WAR · PLN · Energy
-52%
upside to fair value
overvalued
PricePLN 153
Fair ValuePLN 73.60
Quality70/100
Saudi Aramco
2222.SR · SAR · Energy
-24%
upside to fair value
overvalued
PriceSAR 26.50
Fair ValueSAR 20.14
Quality75/100

Head-to-head numbers

Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).

Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLENSaudi Aramco
Valuation
26.3×P/E (TTM)17.0×
0.17×P/S (TTM)0.99×
0.30×P/B1.13×
1.0×EV/EBITDA1.9×
1.16×PEG4.27×
5.5%Dividend yield5.1%
PLN 8.00Dividend per shareSAR 1.34
Profitability
2%Net margin22%
17%Operating margin48%
4%Return on equity22%
7%Return on assets19%
Growth
3%Revenue growth (YoY)9%
-1.2%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)-9.7%
25.5%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)14.2%
Balance & size
0.16×Debt / equity0.14×
$46BMarket cap$1.7T
mixedGrowth qualitymixed

Even match: 7 to 7 metric wins.

Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLENof which business quality 60 · market factors 90 Saudi Aramcoof which business quality 70 · market factors 68
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
33
70
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
48
26
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
51
72
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
79
82
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
77
80
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
80
100
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
90
48
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
100
65
Net IssuanceBuybacks instead of dilution
82
82

What the models say

The median fair value (base case) per model family, each in the currency of its trading venue. Green = above the current price, red = below.

Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLEN

DCF ModelsPLN 291
Earnings-BasedPLN 35.84
Dividend DiscountPLN 106
MultiplesPLN 161
Asset-BasedPLN 87.93
Growth DCFPLN 299
Economic ProfitPLN 148
Growth EarningsPLN 33.38

13 of 25 models see the stock below the current price.

Saudi Aramco

DCF ModelsSAR 22.50
Earnings-BasedSAR 18.95
Dividend DiscountSAR 19.16
MultiplesSAR 23.64
Asset-BasedSAR 4.13
Growth DCFSAR 19.90
Economic ProfitSAR 15.52
Growth EarningsSAR 22.72

19 of 25 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear case to the optimistic bull case. The white tick is the current price: left of fair value means room to run.

Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLEN
Bear PLN 38.21Fair Value PLN 73.60Bull PLN 99.23
PLN 153 = current price (white tick)
Saudi Aramco
Bear SAR 14.55Fair Value SAR 20.14Bull SAR 25.18
SAR 26.50 = current price (white tick)

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLEN · Energy

Quality score70 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-52% · below median

Saudi Aramco · Energy

Quality score75 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-24% · below median

Bottom line

As of Aug 8, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Saudi Aramco as the less overvalued of the two: Polski Koncern Naftowy ORLEN trades at PLN 153 versus a fair value of PLN 73.60 (-52%), while Saudi Aramco trades at SAR 26.50 versus SAR 20.14 (-24%).

Saudi Aramco has the higher quality score (75/100).

See the full analysis →

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 21 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.