Prologis vs Simon Property Group: Fair Value & Quality
Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Prologis (PLD) and Simon Property Group (SPG) compare, as of Aug 22, 2026.
As of Aug 22, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Prologis as the less overvalued of the two: Prologis trades at $142 versus a fair value of $61.28 (-57%), while Simon Property Group trades at $218 versus $84.26 (-61%).
Prologis
PLD · USD · Real Estate
-57%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$142
Fair Value$61.28
Quality49/100
Simon Property Group
SPG · USD · Real Estate
-61%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$218
Fair Value$84.26
Quality57/100
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Head-to-head numbers
Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).
PrologisSimon Property Group
Valuation
35.0×P/E (TTM)14.9×
14.50×P/S (TTM)12.26×
2.56×P/B15.65×
25.9×EV/EBITDA22.2×
110.59×PEG8.74×
2.9%Dividend yield4.0%
$4.10Dividend per share$8.65
Profitability
40%Net margin71%
38%Operating margin43%
7%Return on equity114%
2%Return on assets6%
Growth
8%Revenue growth (YoY)19%
13.7%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)6.3%
14.6%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)6.7%
Balance & size
0.66×Debt / equity5.46×
$136BMarket cap$82B
expensiveGrowth qualityhealthy
Simon Property Group leads: 4 to 10 metric wins.
Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.
Quality in detail
The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.
Prologisof which business quality 48 · market factors 61Simon Property Groupof which business quality 54 · market factors 67
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
36
59
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
28
70
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
60
35
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
60
63
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
54
61
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
77
83
Net IssuanceBuybacks instead of dilution
55
83
What the models say
The median fair value (base case) per model family, each in the currency of its trading venue. Green = above the current price, red = below.
Prologis
DCF Models$95.31
Dividend Discount$71.05
Multiples$61.28
Asset-Based$38.23
Growth DCF$64.30
Economic Profit$48.24
16 of 16 models see the stock below the current price.
Simon Property Group
DCF Models$96.96
Dividend Discount$144
Multiples$128
Asset-Based$10.76
Growth DCF$77.98
Economic Profit$92.53
16 of 16 models see the stock below the current price.
Scenario ranges
From our cautious bear case to the optimistic bull case. The white tick is the current price: left of fair value means room to run.
Prologis
Bear $44.64Fair Value $61.28Bull $76.60
$142 = current price (white tick)
Simon Property Group
Bear $61.87Fair Value $84.26Bull $159
$218 = current price (white tick)
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Ranked within their sector
Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.
Prologis · Real Estate
Quality score49 · below median
Fair value upside-57% · bottom 25%
Simon Property Group · Real Estate
Quality score57 · above median
Fair value upside-61% · bottom 25%
Bottom line
As of Aug 22, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Prologis as the less overvalued of the two: Prologis trades at $142 versus a fair value of $61.28 (-57%), while Simon Property Group trades at $218 versus $84.26 (-61%).
Simon Property Group has the higher quality score (57/100).
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A model-based valuation snapshot from 26 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.
