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Shenzhen Zhongheng Huafa Co (000020) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · CN · Market cap 3.4B CNY

SZ Shenzhen Zhongheng Huafa Co 000020 · SHE
Price¥11.15
Fair Value¥2.42
Upside-78.3%
Quality72/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 4.4% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (4/13)
Narrow moat 36/100
Evidence: High Range ¥1.82 – ¥3.03 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 5, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 36 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 5, 2026, revised from ¥4.06 to ¥2.42 (−40.4%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +5.2% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 78% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A high-quality business (quality 72/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥3.03). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥23.33 ¥7.62 Fair Value ¥2.42 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 5, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥7.62 – ¥23.33 · fair‑value band ¥1.82 – ¥3.03 · the ¥11.15 price screens above the ¥2.42 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 5, 2026.

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Analysis

Shenzhen Zhongheng Huafa Co (000020) currently trades at ¥11.15, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.42, implying the stock looks roughly 78.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 72/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Shenzhen Zhongheng Huafa Co generated revenue of 798M CNY at a net margin of 4.4%. Revenue declined 28.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 203M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 5, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥1.82 (bear case) to ¥3.03 (bull case); at ¥11.15, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 57% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -73% fair-value upside, at -78%, 000020 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely (¥0.0600 to ¥6.97). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥4.50 ¥6.84 ¥10.43 80
Residual Income ¥1.20 ¥1.30 ¥1.75 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥2.84 ¥3.88 ¥5.16 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥4.50 ¥6.97 ¥10.87 38
Owner Earnings ¥2.07 ¥2.95 ¥4.34 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥2.84 ¥3.85 ¥5.10 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥3.11 ¥4.36 ¥5.84 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥3.18 ¥4.50 ¥5.93 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥3.37 ¥4.46 ¥5.93 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥3.57 ¥4.82 ¥6.51 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥3.62 ¥4.92 ¥6.58 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥0.8800 ¥3.49 ¥4.74 54
Lynch FV ¥0.8600 ¥1.23 ¥1.60 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥0.8600 ¥1.23 ¥1.60 46
EPV ¥1.88 ¥2.06 ¥2.22 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.0300 ¥0.0700 ¥0.1000 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.0300 ¥0.0600 ¥0.0700 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥1.95 ¥2.59 ¥3.24 63
P/S Multiple ¥1.65 ¥2.20 ¥2.76 58
P/B Multiple ¥1.65 ¥2.20 ¥2.76 55
EV/EBIT ¥2.63 ¥3.27 ¥3.91 53
EV/EBITDA ¥2.54 ¥3.15 ¥3.76 54
EV/Revenue ¥2.01 ¥2.56 ¥3.12 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥0.7100 ¥0.9500 ¥1.43 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥4.50 ¥6.84 ¥10.43 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥2.84 ¥3.88 ¥5.16 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥1.20 ¥1.30 ¥1.75 76
ROIC Compounder ¥1.99 ¥2.38 ¥2.87 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥1.49 ¥2.12 ¥2.76 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥4.46) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.0600). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 798M CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -28.1%
Net margin 4.4%
Return on equity 8.1%
Free cash flow 92.6M CNY FY2024
P/E ratio 99.6
More key figures
Operating margin 5.0%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.1200
EPS growth (YoY) -12.0%
Net cash 203M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 72/100

Of which business quality 73 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 25

Profitability 46
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 57
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 73
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 98
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 89
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 65
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 10
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 6
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Shenzhen Zhongheng Huafa Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells injection molded parts, foam parts, and liquid crystal display monitors. The company is also involved in property leasing and management businesses. The company was formerly known as Shenzhen Huafa Electronics Co.,Ltd.

Full company description

Shenzhen Zhongheng Huafa Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells injection molded parts, foam parts, and liquid crystal display monitors. The company is also involved in property leasing and management businesses. The company was formerly known as Shenzhen Huafa Electronics Co.,Ltd. and changed its name to Shenzhen Zhongheng Huafa Co., Ltd. in September 2007. Shenzhen Zhongheng Huafa Co., Ltd. was founded in 1981 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years

Shenzhen Zhongheng Huafa Co reported revenue of ¥817M in FY2024 versus ¥692M in FY2020, a compound +4.2%/yr. Reported net income was ¥36.7M in FY2024, compounding +52.3%/yr from FY2020.

Growth Quality 55/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2024)
817M CNY
Latest YoY
+12.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.5%
Avg. growth/yr (33Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.7%
Revenue +4.2%/yr
FY20 ¥692M
FY21 ¥766M
FY22 ¥664M
FY23 ¥727M
FY24 ¥817M
Net income +52.3%/yr
FY20 ¥6.8M
FY21 ¥7.2M
FY22 ¥10.1M
FY23 ¥13.3M
FY24 ¥36.7M

000020 screens 78% overvalued. Compare with Delta Electronics, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shenzhen Zhongheng Huafa Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/000020

Peer Group

Electronic Components · 625 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 72 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −78% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Revenue growth -28% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 99.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 8.38× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 4.24× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 5.4× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 64.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 32
PAST 33 · sector 24
HEALTH 100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 25

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Electronic Components stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 5, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Delta Electronics, Inc 2308 1,880 TWD 515.23 TWD -73%
Hon Hai Precision Industry Co 2317 242.50 TWD 270.47 TWD +12%
Luxshare Precision Industry Co 002475 ¥62.14 ¥38.44 -38%
Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co 009150 1,260,000 KRW 166,421 KRW -87%
Elite Material Co 2383 4,990 TWD 714.36 TWD -86%
Yageo Corporation 2327 699.00 TWD 216.55 TWD -69%
Shengyi Technology Co 600183 ¥132.29 ¥27.45 -79%
Shennan Circuits Co 002916 ¥364.00 ¥93.50 -74%
Victory Giant Technology (HuiZhou) Co 2476 HK$297.00 HK$103.98 -65%
Wus Printed Circuit (Kunshan) Co 002463 ¥127.80 ¥31.95 -75%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Shenzhen Zhongheng Huafa Co (000020) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥2.42 versus a price of ¥11.15, about −78% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 000020?
Our model-based fair value for Shenzhen Zhongheng Huafa Co is ¥2.42 (as of Jul 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥11.15.
What is the quality score of 000020?
Shenzhen Zhongheng Huafa Co has a Quality Score of 72/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Shenzhen Zhongheng Huafa Co (000020)?
Shenzhen Zhongheng Huafa Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 798M CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 5, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 000020?
The net profit margin of Shenzhen Zhongheng Huafa Co is about 4.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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