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BBMG Jidong Cement Group (000401) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 10.2B CNY

BJ BBMG Jidong Cement Group 000401 · SHE
Price¥3.58
Fair Value¥1.84
Upside-48.6%
Quality57/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 0.4% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.60% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/15)
Narrow moat 11/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥1.35 – ¥2.38 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 21, 2026, revised from ¥1.43 to ¥1.84 (+28.6%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +3.8% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 49% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥2.38). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥13.30 ¥3.34 Fair Value ¥1.84 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥3.34 – ¥13.30 · fair‑value band ¥1.35 – ¥2.38 · the ¥3.58 price screens above the ¥1.84 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

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Analysis

BBMG Jidong Cement Group (000401) currently trades at ¥3.58, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.84, implying the stock looks roughly 48.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, BBMG Jidong Cement Group generated revenue of 23.6B CNY at a net margin of 0.4%. Revenue declined 22.8% year over year. Net debt stands at 15.2B CNY. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 128.3. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥1.35 (bear case) to ¥2.38 (bull case); at ¥3.58, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -59% fair-value upside, at -49%, 000401 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥7.90 ¥14.51 ¥25.50 80
Residual Income ¥7.01 ¥6.58 ¥4.72 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥4.11 ¥7.20 ¥11.12 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥7.92 ¥14.99 ¥26.96 38
Owner Earnings ¥8.32 ¥15.69 ¥28.18 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥4.11 ¥7.16 ¥11.12 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥9.38 ¥17.83 ¥28.30 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥2.28 ¥3.47 ¥4.67 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥5.21 ¥8.50 ¥13.17 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥8.80 ¥16.23 ¥27.29 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥4.13 ¥5.82 ¥7.87 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥0.5600 ¥2.42 ¥3.31 54
Lynch FV ¥0.6200 ¥0.8900 ¥1.16 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥0.6200 ¥0.8900 ¥1.16 46
EPV ¥0.7200 ¥1.08 ¥1.39 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.9200 ¥1.91 ¥3.03 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.9200 ¥1.61 ¥2.00 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥1.05 ¥1.40 ¥1.75 63
P/S Multiple ¥1.05 ¥1.40 ¥1.75 58
P/B Multiple ¥1.05 ¥1.40 ¥1.75 55
EV/EBIT ¥2.91 ¥4.35 ¥5.79 53
EV/EBITDA ¥11.14 ¥15.33 ¥19.51 54
EV/Revenue ¥2.33 ¥3.93 ¥5.54 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥5.13 ¥6.87 ¥10.26 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥7.90 ¥14.51 ¥25.50 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥4.11 ¥7.20 ¥11.12 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥7.01 ¥6.58 ¥4.72 76
ROIC Compounder ¥0.7200 ¥1.08 ¥1.39 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥0.9200 ¥1.32 ¥1.72 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥8.50) versus Earnings-Based (¥0.8900). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 23.6B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -22.8%
Net margin 0.4%
Return on equity 0.0%
Free cash flow 2.0B CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 128.3
More key figures
Operating margin -32.1%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.0300
Dividend yield 2.6%
EPS growth (YoY) -69.2%
Net debt 15.2B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34

Profitability 19
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 65
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 59
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 38
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 92
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 86
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 17
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 6
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 95
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

BBMG Jidong Cement Group Co., Ltd engages in the production and sale of cement clinker, silicate cement, and related building material products in China. It is also involved in sand and gravel aggregates, environmental protection, mineral powder, admixtures and new materials business.

Full company description

BBMG Jidong Cement Group Co., Ltd engages in the production and sale of cement clinker, silicate cement, and related building material products in China. It is also involved in sand and gravel aggregates, environmental protection, mineral powder, admixtures and new materials business. In addition, the company offers silicate cement that are used in municipal and infrastructure projects and the real estate under the Dunshi, Jinyu, and BBMG brand names. Further, it develops and produces special cement and customized products for various sectors, such as water conservancy, airports, nuclear power, oil fields, home decoration, and mines. The company was formerly known as Tangshan Jidong Cement Co.,Ltd. and change its name to BBMG Jidong Cement Group Co., Ltd in September 2025. BBMG Jidong Cement Group Co., Ltd was founded in 1994 and is based in Tangshan, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

BBMG Jidong Cement Group reported revenue of ¥24.4B in FY2025 versus ¥36.3B in FY2021, a compound −9.5%/yr. Reported net income was ¥219M in FY2025, compounding −47.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
24.4B CNY
Latest YoY
−3.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−11.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−7.2%
Avg. growth/yr (32Y)
+13.1%
Revenue −9.5%/yr
FY21 ¥36.3B
FY22 ¥34.5B
FY23 ¥28.2B
FY24 ¥25.3B
FY25 ¥24.4B
Net income −47.2%/yr
FY21 ¥2.8B
FY22 ¥1.4B
FY23 −¥1.5B
FY24 −¥991M
FY25 ¥219M

000401 screens 49% overvalued. Compare with CRH plc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "BBMG Jidong Cement Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/000401

Peer Group

Building Materials · 254 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 57 · Above median
Fair Value upside −49% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) -32% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -23% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.6% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.36× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Building Materials median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 128.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 0.38× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.43× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.8× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 3.7× · Cheaper than median
PEG 0.18× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 28
FUTURE 0 · sector 2
PAST 0 · sector 15
HEALTH 82 · sector 92
DIVIDEND 52 · sector 42

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Building Materials stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
CRH plc CRH $102.92 $70.57 -31%
UltraTech Cement Limited ULTRACEMCO ₹11,711 ₹4,719 -60%
China Jushi Co 600176 ¥54.52 ¥13.95 -74%
Grasim Industries Limited GRASIM ₹3,073 ₹1,245 -59%
CEMEX, S.A. CEMEXCPO 21.71 MXN 15.42 MXN -29%
Anhui Conch Cement Company 600585 ¥16.99 ¥26.14 +54%
Ambuja Cements Limited AMBUJACEM ₹435.25 ₹227.96 -48%
Shree Cement Limited SHREECEM ₹26,930 ₹8,215 -69%
TCC Group 1101B 43.70 TWD 10.48 TWD -76%
Taiwan Glass Ind. Corp 1802 53.30 TWD 13.98 TWD -74%

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Frequently asked questions

Is BBMG Jidong Cement Group (000401) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥1.84 versus a price of ¥3.58, about −49% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 000401?
Our model-based fair value for BBMG Jidong Cement Group is ¥1.84 (as of Jul 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥3.58.
What is the quality score of 000401?
BBMG Jidong Cement Group has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of BBMG Jidong Cement Group (000401)?
BBMG Jidong Cement Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 23.6B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 21, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 000401?
The net profit margin of BBMG Jidong Cement Group is about 0.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does BBMG Jidong Cement Group pay a dividend?
BBMG Jidong Cement Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.60% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 21, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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